Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Portsmouth will play host to Derby County in the fourth round of matches in the Championship. Both teams haven’t had great starts to the season, Portsmouth being 15th and a winless Derby 21st. A total of 21 goals have been scored in their opening three rounds, signaling a high-scoring encounter, as our prediction will show.
Portsmouth will be eyeing a second win here. Their only one in the league was against Lincoln, a 3-1 victory sitting in the middle of two defeats, the latest a 2-1 setback at Bristol City.
Pompey, who fell 3-1 to West Ham United in the League Cup, have now conceded nine times in four games.
Derby are coming here in a worse situation; they suffered their heaviest defeat of the season in the last round, a 3-0 loss at home against Swansea.
While that was the first time the Rams failed to score this season, it marked a fourth straight match in which they conceded two or more goals. Their only point in the league thus far was registered after a 2-2 draw with Cardiff.
As they look to improve, Derby will most likely be let down by their away form, having lost seven times in the last 10 matches on the road.
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Portsmouth v Derby County Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.2 | 3.3 | 3.15 |
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2.2 | 3.3 | 3.23 |
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2.2 | 3.3 | 3.23 |
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2.2 | 3.3 | 3.23 |
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2.19 | 3.28 | 3.27 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Derby County match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/09/2026 between Portsmouth and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.52% for a win of Portsmouth against Derby County with odds of 2.23 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Derby County is 28.47% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.5 at Shangrila.
Portsmouth vs Derby County Form
Portsmouth and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
|
21
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
Portsmouth and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
Portsmouth vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
2 Apr 2024 - League One
18 Nov 2022 - League One
Portsmouth vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Bielica
DefenderM. Dia
R. Poole
MidfielderL. Brooke-Smith
E. Adams
O. Bailey
J. Swift
ForwardMarezi
H. Blair
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
R. Nyambe
MidfielderO. Eames
S. Szmodics
J. Ward
F. Bilbija
O. Fraulo
ForwardR. Brewster
Missing players
J. Bursik
DefenderC. Ogilvie
J. Farrell
MidfielderK. Anderson
M. Kosznovszky
ForwardH. Blair
T. Waddingham
F. Umeh Chibueze
M. Clarke
MidfielderS. Szmodics
ForwardP. Agyemang
Most goals and assists
Portsmouth and Derby County Stats in Championship
Portsmouth - Derby County Key Points
- Five of these sides’ last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- In seven of the last 10 meetings between these two, both sides scored.
- Each of Portsmouth’s last four matches ended in over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
- 13 goals were netted in Derby County’s opening four matches of the season.
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Our Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction
Across the last 10 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth failed to score three times and Derby County once. Both teams scoring is a regular occurrence in this fixture, and we can’t rule that out, especially when looking at the teams’ recent performances.
With both looking to rise from losing outings and generally tough starts to the campaign, the chase for a win could occasion another high-scoring fixture. Our prediction for Portsmouth v Derby County is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.