Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Portsmouth
01/09/2026 14:45
Derby County

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

Portsmouth will play host to Derby County in the fourth round of matches in the Championship. Both teams haven’t had great starts to the season, Portsmouth being 15th and a winless Derby 21st. A total of 21 goals have been scored in their opening three rounds, signaling a high-scoring encounter, as our prediction will show. 

Portsmouth will be eyeing a second win here. Their only one in the league was against Lincoln, a 3-1 victory sitting in the middle of two defeats, the latest a 2-1 setback at Bristol City. 

Pompey, who fell 3-1 to West Ham United in the League Cup, have now conceded nine times in four games.

Derby are coming here in a worse situation; they suffered their heaviest defeat of the season in the last round, a 3-0 loss at home against Swansea. 

While that was the first time the Rams failed to score this season, it marked a fourth straight match in which they conceded two or more goals. Their only point in the league thus far was registered after a 2-2 draw with Cardiff. 

As they look to improve, Derby will most likely be let down by their away form, having lost seven times in the last 10 matches on the road.

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Portsmouth v Derby County Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.2 3.3 3.15
1xbet
2.2 3.3 3.23
Melbet
2.2 3.3 3.23
Betwinner
2.2 3.3 3.23
22bet
2.19 3.28 3.27
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What is the prediction for the football match between Portsmouth and Derby County?

Our prediction for the Portsmouth vs Derby County match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/09/2026 between Portsmouth and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.52% for a win of Portsmouth against Derby County with odds of 2.23 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Portsmouth vs Derby County is 28.47% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Portsmouth with odds of 3.5 at Shangrila.

Portsmouth vs Derby County Form

Portsmouth and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Portsmouth
3 3 1 0 2 -1
21 Derby County
1 3 0 1 2 -4

Portsmouth and Derby County Last Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth Last matches
D D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Portsmouth

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Lincoln City
1 :  3
Portsmouth

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  3
QPR

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

West Ham
3 :  1
Portsmouth

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Darmstadt
0 :  0
Portsmouth

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Farnborough FC
1 :  1
Portsmouth
L D W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  3
QPR

2 May 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
Birmingham

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Leicester

14 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  0
Ipswich Town

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Oxford United

16 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Derby County
L D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Portsmouth

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Lincoln City
1 :  3
Portsmouth

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

West Ham
3 :  1
Portsmouth

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Darmstadt
0 :  0
Portsmouth

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Farnborough FC
1 :  1
Portsmouth

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Wycombe Wanderers
3 :  1
Portsmouth
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  2
Valencia

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  3
Freiburg

2 May 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Sheffield United
W W W L D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mansfield Town
1 :  3
Derby County

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Alfreton
0 :  2
Derby County

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  3
Derby County

Portsmouth vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Portsmouth

0 %

Draw

67 %

Derby County

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

16 Mar 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Derby County

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Portsmouth

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Derby County

13 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
4 :  0
Portsmouth

2 Apr 2024 - League One

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Derby County

18 Nov 2022 - League One

Portsmouth
0 :  0
Derby County
Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Portsmouth vs Derby County last Lineups

Portsmouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Schmid
24
T. Devlin
2
B. Arthur
6
C. Shaughnessy
22
Z. Swanson
7
M. Pack
19
R. Shein
11
A. Kamara
10
A. Segecic
25
R. Kavuma-Mcqueen
9
C. Bishop
15
L. Salvesen
33
C. Blackett-Taylor
26
R. Hedges
8
B. Clark
20
A. Mowatt
27
L. Travis
18
C. Taylor
6
S. Langas
28
D. Sanderson
22
M. Johnston
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Derby County

Substitutes

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

D. Bielica

Defender

M. Dia

R. Poole

Midfielder

L. Brooke-Smith

E. Adams

O. Bailey

J. Swift

Forward

Marezi

H. Blair

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

C. Forsyth

R. Nyambe

Midfielder

O. Eames

S. Szmodics

J. Ward

F. Bilbija

O. Fraulo

Forward

R. Brewster

Missing players

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Goalkeeper

J. Bursik

Defender

C. Ogilvie

J. Farrell

Midfielder

K. Anderson

M. Kosznovszky

Forward

H. Blair

T. Waddingham

F. Umeh Chibueze

Derby County
Derby County
Defender

M. Clarke

Midfielder

S. Szmodics

Forward

P. Agyemang

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Portsmouth
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Northern Ireland T. Devlin (1 Goals)
Gambia E. Adams (1 Goals)
Croatia A. Segecic (1 Goals)
England R. Kavuma-Mcqueen (1 Goals)
Serbia Marezi (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (1 Goals) England C. Morris (1 Goals) England B. Clark (1 Goals)
Best assists
Gambia E. Adams (1 Assists)
England A. Kamara (1 Assists)
Best assists
England C. Morris (1 Assists)
England B. Clark (1 Assists)

Portsmouth and Derby County Stats in Championship

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Derby County
Derby County
33%
Wins
0%
67%
Losses
67%
0%
Draws
33%
3.67
Average goals per match
3.33
1.67
Goals scored per match
1
2
Goals conceded per match
2.33
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
67%

Portsmouth - Derby County Key Points

  1. Five of these sides’ last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. In seven of the last 10 meetings between these two, both sides scored.
  3. Each of Portsmouth’s last four matches ended in over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
  4. 13 goals were netted in Derby County’s opening four matches of the season.
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Our Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

Across the last 10 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth failed to score three times and Derby County once. Both teams scoring is a regular occurrence in this fixture, and we can’t rule that out, especially when looking at the teams’ recent performances.

With both looking to rise from losing outings and generally tough starts to the campaign, the chase for a win could occasion another high-scoring fixture. Our prediction for Portsmouth v Derby County is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.