Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto suffered a shock loss in their last outing and will be looking to bounce back when they host Moreirense. Primeira Liga has just three more games to play, with Porto fourth and Moreirense 10th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Porto have so far garnered 62 points. The highest they can rise is third, but two more points secure them the fourth spot. The Portuguese giants have had low moments, but none gets lower than their latest result.
They fell 2-0 at relegation-threatened Estrela, which marked their third defeat in the last seven matches. Porto can bank on home form, though, where they have only lost once in 15 league games this season.
In the Portuguese Cup this season, back in November, Moreirense claimed a 2-1 win over Porto. However, in the reverse league meeting, they fell 3-0.
In the league, Moreirense are winless in 13 matches against Porto, and this will place them as underdogs coming into this match as well. The visitors may be some distance from the relegation region, but they still need one point to confirm survival.
Going by their record in this fixture, that might fail to happen this weekend. Moreirense arrive for this match winless in the last three, having lost twice in the process.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Moreirense Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 9 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.75 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Moreirense?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Moreirense match is: Porto to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2025 between Porto and Moreirense in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.57% for a win of Porto against Moreirense with odds of 1.37 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Moreirense is 26.87% with odds of 5.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Moreirense vs Porto with odds of 10 at Unibet.
Porto - Moreirense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Moreirense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 57.57% | 1.37 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.12% | 2.25 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 24.77% | 4 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Moreirense Form
Porto and Moreirense's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 35 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -8 |
Porto and Moreirense Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Moreirense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
24 Nov 2024 - Taca de Portugal
31 Oct 2024 - Portugal League Cup
20 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
14 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2022 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Moreirense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Porto
Moreirense
S. Aghehowa
(25 Goals)
Alan
(7 Goals)
F. Moura
(9 Assists)
Alan
(5 Assists)
Porto - Moreirense Key Points
- Moreirense failed to score only twice in their last 10 matches.
- Both teams scored in six of Moreirense’s last 10 outings.
- In three of Porto’s last five league games, both teams scored.
- Porto won 11 of their 15 home league matches this season.
- In 18 away fixtures this season, Moreirense lost 12 times.
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Our Porto vs Moreirense Prediction
Moreirense will once again be the underdogs in this fixture. The visitors haven't beaten Porto in the league in their last 13 attempts. As survival is almost guaranteed, they will not have much to play for in this game.
Porto may want a win more here, as they are still pushing for the Europa League spot. Last week they missed a golden chance and will want to make up for it. Our prediction for FC Porto v Moreirense is for Porto to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Moreirense
| Porto vs Moreirense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.25 | +5.0% |
| Moreirense wins | 9 | 8 | -11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 75.2% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Moreirense game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Porto and Moreirense? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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