Porto vs Famalicao Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal

Portugal - Taca de Portugal

Porto
18/12/2025 15:45
Famalicao

Prediction :

 

Porto to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Porto have another favorable draw in the fifth round of the Portuguese Cup as they host Famalicao. The two will be battling for a place in the quarter-finals, with the winner scheduled to face Farense or Benfica. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

The second-most successful side in this competition, Porto negotiated the last two rounds comfortably. They scored seven times in wins against Celoricense and Sintrense.

Facing Primeira Liga opposition means things get tougher, but the hosts are expected to weather the storm. They are on a three-match winning run and have only lost once in the last 10 matches. Six of those 10 games in that run produced over 2.5 goals.

Famalicao will enter this game looking to stop the 20-time cup winners to propel their own ambitions for a first one. However, history suggests this will not be an easy outing for them.

The visitors have now won in the last six meetings with Porto, though their last win in this matchup was in this competition. In their latest meeting, in November, Porto won 1-0.

Famalicao, coming off a 4-0 win at home to Estoril, will feel well motivated for this encounter. They will also be encouraged by their current run of two losses only in the last 11 matches.

One of those defeats was against Porto, though.

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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Famalicao Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 4.33 7.5
Betfred
1.36 4.2 7.5
William Hill
1.36 4.2 7
Unibet
1.33 4.6 8
Betway
1.36 4.5 7.5
Check all Porto vs Famalicao odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Famalicao?

Our prediction for the Porto vs Famalicao match is: Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between Porto and Famalicao in Taca de Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.37% for a win of Porto against Famalicao with odds of 1.4 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Famalicao is 24.81% with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Famalicao vs Porto with odds of 8.75 at Shangrila.

Porto vs Famalicao Form

Porto and Famalicao Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Estrela Amadora

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Porto
2 :  1
Malmo

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  2
Porto

4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Porto
1 :  3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Estoril

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Porto
3 :  0
Nice
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  1
Estrela Amadora

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Porto
2 :  1
Malmo

4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Porto
1 :  3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Estoril

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Porto
3 :  0
Nice

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Sintrense
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  2
Porto

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
1 :  1
Porto

27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Porto

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Porto

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

CD Celoricense
0 :  4
Porto
Famalicao
Famalicao Last matches
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
4 :  0
Estoril

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
SC Braga

29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  2
Famalicao

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Famalicao

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto

1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
0 :  1
Famalicao
L D W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
4 :  0
Estoril

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
SC Braga

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto

26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  0
Rio Ave

13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon
D D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  2
Famalicao

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Famalicao

1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
0 :  1
Famalicao

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

SC Sao Joao De Ver
0 :  3
Famalicao

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  1
Famalicao

21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Famalicao

Porto vs Famalicao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Porto

67 %

Draw

33 %

Famalicao

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto

18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Famalicao

7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Porto

13 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Famalicao

2 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  3
Porto

20 May 2023 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
2 :  4
Porto

Porto vs Famalicao last Lineups

Porto

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

99
D. Costa
20
A. Costa
5
J. Bednarek
4
J. Kiwior
74
F. Moura
8
V. Froholdt
22
A. Varela
86
R. Mora
11
Pepe
9
S. Aghehowa
17
B. Sainz
21
Y. Zabiri
7
Sorriso
20
G. Sa
23
G. Dias
14
M. De Amorim
6
T. Van de Looi
28
Pedro Bondo
3
L. Realpe
16
J. De Haas
17
R. Pinheiro Ferreira
25
L. Carevic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Famalicao

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Porto
CD Huachipato Famalicao
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Aghehowa (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal G. Sa (4 Goals) Morocco Y. Zabiri (4 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Pepe (4 Assists)
Denmark V. Froholdt (4 Assists)
Spain G. Veiga (4 Assists)
Portugal A. Costa (4 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal G. Dias (4 Assists)
Brazil Sorriso (4 Assists)

Porto - Famalicao Key Points

  1. Porto have posted eight wins in their last 10 matches.
  2. Six of Porto’s latest 10 outings produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. Famalicao beat Porto only once in their latest 10 meetings.
  4. Porto are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Famalicao.
  5. Eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Porto vs Famalicao Prediction

FC Porto are flying high this season. They’ve only lost two matches so far, and only one of them was a domestic game. This game is another chance to extend their dominance, and they have a great record in this competition as well.

Their visitors, Famalicão, have only managed one win in 10 in this fixture, but they have a good scoring run. Their attack could pose some tough questions to Porto, though Porto are likely to outscore them. Our prediction for FC Porto v Famalicao is for Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Porto to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Porto vs Famalicao Prediction