Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal

Portugal - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
18/12/2025 13:45
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Injury-hit Sporting will take a break from league action to face Santa Clara in their Portuguese Cup defence. These two will be vying for a place in the quarter-finals, and below we have a prediction of the match.

The winner here will set up a match against either Vitoria Guimaraes or AFS. Santa Clara, the hosts, have already lost to Sporting this season in a Primeira Liga game.

That was their second straight defeat against this opponent in a fixture they rarely do well in. A 3-0 win against Industria sent them to this stage, and they are yet to concede a goal in this competition.

Across their last 10 matches, Santa Clara managed just three wins.

Sporting recovered from two tough outings with a comfortable win in their last outing. After drawing 1-1 with Benfica and losing 3-1 to Bayern Munich, they thrashed AFS 6-0.

That was the third time in the last five matches that they scored at least three goals. Having seen their 12-game unbeaten run go up in smoke, the target is to start another impressive streak.

Sporting have beaten Santa Clara seven times in the last 10 meetings and will still be favorites to advance here. The current holders, Sporting, are seeking a 19th triumph and started well with wins over Pacos Ferreira and Marinhense.

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Santa Clara v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
8.4 4.1 1.39
Melbet
8.93 4.41 1.4
Betwinner
8.93 4.41 1.4
Bet365
8 4.1 1.38
Roobet
8.6 4.2 1.4
Check all Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.01% for a win of Santa Clara against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 8.93 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon is 16.1% with odds of 4.41 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara with odds of 1.52 at LSbet.

Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:

Santa Clara Sporting Lisbon Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 54.89% 1.52 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 61% 2.27 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 57.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon 33.41% 4 at LSbet

Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches

Santa Clara
Santa Clara Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Santa Clara

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
Santa Clara

23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
3 :  0
Uf Comercio E Industria Setubal

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

3 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Santa Clara
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

23 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
3 :  0
Uf Comercio E Industria Setubal

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Tondela

20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
L D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  0
Santa Clara

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  1
Santa Clara

3 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Santa Clara

29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

SC Braga
5 :  0
Santa Clara

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

SC Espinho
0 :  0
Santa Clara

4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  1
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Club Brugge

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
AC Marinhense
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Club Brugge

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
AC Marinhense

31 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
W W D W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Pacos Ferreira
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Santa Clara

17 %

Draw

0 %

Sporting Lisbon

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

18 Dec 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Santa Clara

30 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Santa Clara

1 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Santa Clara

8 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups

Santa Clara

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
S. Pena de Lima
10
Gabriel Silva
35
S. Lobo Araujo
12
H. Junior
94
H. Fernandes da Silva
65
J. Rocha Tavares
17
J. Costa
32
MT
28
Luquinhas
21
F. Venancio
42
L. Soares de Almeida
42
M. Hjulmand
20
M. Araujo
97
L. Suarez
72
Quaresma
17
F. Trincao
2
M. Reis
12
J. Virginia
27
A. Santos
52
J. Simoes
25
Goncalo Inacio
22
I. Fresneda

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sporting Lisbon

Substitutes

Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Goalkeeper

G. Batista

Defender

L. Rocha

F. Venancio 60'

P. Victor

S. Pena de Lima 60'

Midfielder

P. Ferreira

J. Rocha Tavares 81'

Adriano

Gabriel Silva 96'

Forward

E. Manoel

A. Moraes

B. Santos

J. Costa 68'

T. Duarte

L. Soares de Almeida 68'

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

R. Silva

Defender

Romulo

R. Mangas

M. Araujo 90'

G. Vagiannidis

Midfielder

S. Blopa

M. Reis 76'

G. Kochorashvili

J. Simoes 76'

Forward

R. Ribeiro

F. Goncalves

F. Ioannidis

A. Santos 66'

Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. Sporting are on seven wins in their last 10 matches.
  2. Santa Clara failed to win in six of their last 10 home games.
  3. Sporting have won seven of the last 10 meetings with Santa Clara.
  4. Santa Clara won just one of their last 10 home matches against Sporting.
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Our Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Santa Clara’s quest for a first-ever Taca de Portugal title encounters a tough draw as they are set to face the holders. While the hosts are seeking a first such honor, Sporting ranks among the most successful in this competition.

The visitors are eying a 19th win and are favorites to advance to the quarter-finals here. They have only lost once in their last 10 visits to Santa Clara and have generally dominated this fixture. Our prediction for Santa Clara v Sporting is that Sporting wins.

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santa Clara Sporting Lisbon

Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Santa Clara wins 6.72 8.93 +32.9%
Draw 4.5 4.41 -2.0%
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.4 1.52 +8.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 65.8% (-5.6%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction