Porto vs Famalicao Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal
Portugal - Taca de Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Porto have another favorable draw in the fifth round of the Portuguese Cup as they host Famalicao. The two will be battling for a place in the quarter-finals, with the winner scheduled to face Farense or Benfica. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
The second-most successful side in this competition, Porto negotiated the last two rounds comfortably. They scored seven times in wins against Celoricense and Sintrense.
Facing Primeira Liga opposition means things get tougher, but the hosts are expected to weather the storm. They are on a three-match winning run and have only lost once in the last 10 matches. Six of those 10 games in that run produced over 2.5 goals.
Famalicao will enter this game looking to stop the 20-time cup winners to propel their own ambitions for a first one. However, history suggests this will not be an easy outing for them.
The visitors have now won in the last six meetings with Porto, though their last win in this matchup was in this competition. In their latest meeting, in November, Porto won 1-0.
Famalicao, coming off a 4-0 win at home to Estoril, will feel well motivated for this encounter. They will also be encouraged by their current run of two losses only in the last 11 matches.
One of those defeats was against Porto, though.
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Porto v Famalicao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.56 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.25 | 6.21 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Famalicao?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Famalicao match is: Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between Porto and Famalicao in Taca de Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.92% for a win of Porto against Famalicao with odds of 1.58 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Famalicao is 24.47% with odds of 4.56 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Famalicao vs Porto with odds of 6.9 at Melbet.
Porto - Famalicao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Famalicao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 51.92% | 1.58 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.09% | 1.91 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 23.25% | 2.35 at LSbet |
Porto vs Famalicao Form
Porto and Famalicao Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Famalicao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
20 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Famalicao last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Ramos
DefenderA. Costa
J. Kiwior
MidfielderR. Mora
A. Varela
S. Eustaquio
ForwardA. Alarcon
S. Aghehowa
B. Sainz
Gabriel Cabral
DefenderR. Pinheiro Ferreira
L. Realpe
MidfielderP. Costa Santos
M. Pena
O. Mamageishvili
ForwardSorriso
R. Beney
Y. Zabiri
Missing players
T. Moffi
Porto - Famalicao Key Points
- Porto have posted eight wins in their last 10 matches.
- Six of Porto’s latest 10 outings produced over 2.5 goals.
- Famalicao beat Porto only once in their latest 10 meetings.
- Porto are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Famalicao.
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Porto vs Famalicao Prediction
FC Porto are flying high this season. They’ve only lost two matches so far, and only one of them was a domestic game. This game is another chance to extend their dominance, and they have a great record in this competition as well.
Their visitors, Famalicão, have only managed one win in 10 in this fixture, but they have a good scoring run. Their attack could pose some tough questions to Porto, though Porto are likely to outscore them. Our prediction for FC Porto v Famalicao is for Porto to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Famalicao
| Porto vs Famalicao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.4 | 1.58 | +12.9% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.56 | +1.3% |
| Famalicao wins | 7.5 | 6.9 | -8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 63.3% (-8.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
