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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
Stadion Slaski will light up on Sunday night when Poland play host to Finland in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. The White and Reds and the Eagle-owls are in third and fourth place in UEFA Group G, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Poland have featured in the last two World Cups and are right in contention to do so again in 2026, having taken seven points from their four qualification matches so far.
The White and Reds are level on points with group leaders Netherlands, who they held to a 1-1 draw in midweek. However, they have played one game more than Oranje in this competition.
The hosts won their two home games in this competition in March and beat Moldova on home soil in a June friendly. They also kept clean sheets in each of those victories.
Meanwhile, Finland have an identical record to their upcoming opponents in this competition (W2 D1 L1), and beat Poland when they met at Helsingin olympiastadion back in June.
The Eagle-owls did not have a match in this competition in midweek, though they did use the opportunity to play a friendly against Norway, which they lost 1-0.
The visitors have taken four points from their two away games in these qualifiers, but have not beaten this opponent in their last three encounters on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Poland v Finland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.54 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.9 | 6.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Poland and Finland?
Our prediction for the Poland vs Finland match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/09/2025 between Poland and Finland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.27% for a win of Poland against Finland with odds of 1.75 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Poland vs Finland is 16.73% with odds of 4.08 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 28% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs Poland with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
Poland vs Finland Form
Poland and Finland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
|
3
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Poland and Finland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
Most goals and assists
Poland
Finland
K. Swiderski
(2 Goals)
J. Pohjanpalo
(2 Goals)
Poland - Finland Key Points
- Six of Poland’s last nine matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Poland have only failed to score in one of their last 16 matches.
- Five of Finland’s last nine matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Finland have scored in both their away games in this competition.
- The last two matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Poland vs Finland Prediction
While the Netherlands are the favourites to secure top spot in this group, their odds did shorten slightly after Poland produced a fighting performance to hold Oranje to a 1-1 draw on Thursday night.
The hosts are fancied to win this match, but it is Finland that has the psychological advantage, having beaten this opponent 2-1 when they met in Helsinki a couple of months ago. Given these sides’ records, we are expecting a few goals in this match. Our Poland vs Finland prediction is both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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