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Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Plymouth
03/05/2025 06:30
Leeds

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Plymouth Argyle are on their way back to League One. They are 23rd in the Championship and end the season with a home game against league leaders Leeds United. Can the Whites beat the Pilgrims and win the title? Read our match prediction.

The home side are three points from safety but even beating Leeds is unlikely to save them. They have an appalling -36 goal difference after conceding 86 league goals and relegation beckons.

They have tried their best to survive though with their last three home league games all being won. Last week they also won at Preston but they remain in the bottom three. Eight of their last nine home league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.

Leeds United top the table and have already been promoted. They have 97 points but only lead Burnley on goal difference. The Whites are in top form with their last five games being won and the last two matches have been won by an aggregate score of 10-0.

United have won ten away league games this season with only 17 goals conceded in 22 fixtures. They won the reverse fixture against Plymouth 3-0 last November. We tip over 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Plymouth v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
10 6.25 1.25
Betfred
12 6.5 1.25
Ladbrokes
11 6 1.25
NetBet
9.75 5.7 1.17
1xbet
11.5 6.35 1.24
Check all Plymouth vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Plymouth and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Plymouth vs Leeds match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Plymouth and Leeds in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.33% for a win of Plymouth against Leeds with odds of 12 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Plymouth vs Leeds is 20.58% with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 56.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Plymouth with odds of 1.3 at Stake.

Plymouth vs Leeds Form

Plymouth and Leeds's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Leeds
Leeds
97 45 28 13 4 64
23
Plymouth
Plymouth
46 45 11 13 21 -36

Plymouth and Leeds Last Matches

Plymouth
Plymouth Last matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  2
Plymouth

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
3 :  1
Coventry City

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Plymouth

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  1
Sheffield United

9 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Plymouth

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  1
Norwich
D L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
3 :  1
Coventry City

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  1
Sheffield United

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  1
Norwich

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  3
Sheffield Wednesday

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  1
Cardiff
L W D L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  2
Plymouth

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Plymouth

9 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Plymouth

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Plymouth

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Plymouth

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Hull
2 :  0
Plymouth
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Bristol City

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Leeds

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Preston North End

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Leeds

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Bristol City

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  1
Preston North End

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Swansea

12 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Millwall

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Leeds
1 :  1
West Brom
W L D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Leeds

8 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Leeds

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
1 :  1
Leeds

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Leeds

9 Mar 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  0
Leeds

24 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
1 :  3
Leeds

Plymouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Plymouth

0 %

Draw

25 %

Leeds

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  0
Plymouth

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  2
Leeds

6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Plymouth
1 :  4
Leeds

27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Leeds
1 :  1
Plymouth
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Plymouth vs Leeds last Lineups

Plymouth

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

21
C. Hazard
44
V. Palsson
25
N. Katic
5
J. Pleguezuelo
6
K. Szucs
18
D. Gyabi
20
A. Randell
2
B. Mumba
9
R. Hardie
26
M. Tijani
15
M. Bundu
10
J. Piroe
14
M. Solomon
11
B. Aaronson
29
G. Wilfried
44
I. Gruev
22
A. Tanaka
3
J. Firpo
4
E. Ampadu
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
26
K. Darlow

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Leeds

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Plymouth
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Scotland R. Hardie (11 Goals)
M. Bundu (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands J. Piroe (19 Goals)
Best assists
M. Bundu (4 Assists)
Best assists
Israel M. Solomon (13 Assists)

Plymouth and Leeds Stats in Championship

Plymouth
Plymouth
Leeds
Leeds
24%
Victories
62%
29%
Draw
29%
47%
Defeats
9%
3.02
Total goals per match
2.71
1.11
Goals scored per match
2.07
1.91
Goals conceded per match
0.64
60%
Over 2.5
44%
40%
Under 2.5
56%
56%
BTTS
36%
7%
No goals conceded
56%

Plymouth - Leeds Key Points

  1. 27 of Plymouth's 45 league games this season have had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. The 22 home league games played by Plymouth have seen 76 goals scored.
  3. Leeds won the reverse fixture 3-0.
  4. Leeds have scored ten goals in their last two games.
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Our Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction

Their atrocious goal difference was never going to help Plymouth. Although they are three points from safety, they'd probably need to beat Leeds by at least a seven-goal margin to possibly avoid relegation.

It's just their luck they face a title-chasing Leeds United in their final fixture. The away side will be in the Premier League next season but would love to go up as champions. They have scored ten goals in their last two games.

Our Plymouth v Leeds prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction
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