Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder will face off at the Mortgage Matchup Center in the NBA on Sunday night. The Suns (20-14) are in seventh place, while OKC (30-5) lead the Western Conference standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Phoenix Suns have largely defied expectations this season and racked up their fifth win in six games with a 129-102 victory over the Sacramento Kings at this venue on Friday.
With KD and Bradley Beal gone, Devin Booker is the leader of the Suns now, and he is the team’s top scorer, averaging 25.7 PPG. Dillon Brooks is also having an excellent season (21.4 PPG).
Phoenix have won their last three home games and are 11-5 here this term, but they have already lost to this opponent twice this season.
Meanwhile, after a few unexpected defeats last month, the Oklahoma City Thunder are rumbling once again, now on a four-match win streak following a 131-94 victory over the Warriors on Friday.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up 30 points against GSW and is averaging 32.1 PPG this season. Seven Thunder players ended that match in double-digits, and as a team, they made 16 of 38 threes.
OKC boast the best defence in the league this season by some distance, and rank fifth offensively. They have also won their last eight games in a row against this opponent.
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The Best Betting Odds for Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.1 | 1.26 |
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4 | 1.25 |
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4.3 | 1.24 |
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3.75 | 1.25 |
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4 | 1.22 |
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Who will win the Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 04/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Phoenix Suns has a 26.08% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 4.3.
- There is a probability of 73.92% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Phoenix Suns with odds of 1.27 at Shangrila.
Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1
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0.811 | 37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
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7
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0.583 | 36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
31 Dec 2025 - NBA
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28 Dec 2025 - NBA
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18 Dec 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
2 Jan 2026 - NBA
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30 Nov 2025 - NBA
Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
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Phoenix Suns - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Thunder are on a four-match win streak.
- The Thunder have beaten this opponent twice already this season.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in three of their last four games.
- The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against this opponent.
- The team installed as the favourite has covered the spread in the last six games involving the Suns.
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Our Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Phoenix Suns have surprised many this season with their performances, and now playing at home and holding the best cover rate in the NBA this term, they are definitely tempting in the underdog role.
However, the Thunder have rediscovered their form of late, and while they do not have the best cover rate, it is worth noting that they have very rarely been given single-digit lines this season. Therefore, our Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
If your team in the Phoenix Suns and Oklahoma City Thunder game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.