World - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Peru and Paraguay finish off their engagements in the CONMEBOL 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification campaign when they meet on matchday 18 on Wednesday. This match at Estadio Nacional de Lima between ninth-placed La Bicolor and sixth-placed Los Guaranies comes with our prediction of under 1.5 goals.
With 12 points (W2, D6, L9), Peru are already out of qualification and are two points above bottom-placed Chile. Paraguay have 25 points and are three points behind second-placed Brazil.
A 3-0 away defeat at Uruguay last week continued Peru’s struggles up front, marking their fourth consecutive game without a goal. Their tally of six goals is the lowest in the division and was one of the reasons for their failure to qualify.
They can be a tough nut to crack at home, as Peru are unbeaten in six home qualifiers (W2, D4). Interestingly, three of the recent four games in this sequence produced one or fewer goals, so it could be another tight game.
Paraguay held Ecuador to a 0-0 home draw last week, continuing their impressive defensive streak. They have one of the best records in the division during this campaign, with only two teams conceding fewer goals than Paraguay (10) in the CONMEBOL qualifiers.
Away form remains a worry, as Paraguay failed to win their last 16 away qualifiers (D8, L8).
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The Best Betting Odds for Peru v Paraguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.88 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.28 | 3 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Peru and Paraguay?
Our prediction for the Peru vs Paraguay match is: under 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Peru and Paraguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.07% for a win of Peru against Paraguay with odds of 2.31 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Peru vs Paraguay is 50.77% with odds of 3.19 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Peru with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
Peru vs Paraguay Form
Peru and Paraguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
25 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
|
9
|
12 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -14 |
Peru and Paraguay Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
Peru vs Paraguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
2 Jul 2021 - Copa America
8 Oct 2020 - World Cup
Most goals and assists
Peru
Paraguay
Y. Yotun
(1 Goals)
,
A. Callens
(1 Goals)
,
M. Araujo
(1 Goals)
,
P. Guerrero
(1 Goals)
,
E. Flores
(1 Goals)
,
A. Polo
(1 Goals)
A. Sanabria
(4 Goals)
Peru - Paraguay Key Points
- Peru failed to score in their last four World Cup qualifiers.
- Three of Peru’s last four home World Cup qualifiers have produced under 1.5 goals.
- Peru scored just six goals in this qualification campaign, the lowest of any side.
- Paraguay conceded only ten goals in this campaign, and only two teams have a better defensive record.
- In nine of Paraguay’s last 14 matches in this qualification campaign, one or fewer goals were scored.
- In 13 of their last 15 away World Cup qualifiers, Paraguay failed to score.
- The last three matches between Peru and Paraguay produced only one goal in aggregate.
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Our Peru vs Paraguay Prediction
On paper, there’s nothing left to fight for for both teams, as their fate is already sealed – Peru eliminated from the race and Paraguay booking their ticket to the World Cup finals. A win here could push Paraguay up the final rankings, though, although they can’t finish lower than sixth. Peru will look to avoid the wooden spoon and maintain their two-point advantage over Chile.
Goals have been scarce in recent games involving these sides, which could be the case once again, and that’s why our Peru vs Paraguay prediction is under 1.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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