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21 June 2024 - 20:00 

- Day 1

South America - Copa America

Peru
VS
Chile

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Peru vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions

The inaugural Copa American Champions, Peru, will be up against two-time Champions, Chile, as the teams look to start their 2024 campaign on a high.

Both teams are in Group A, which also has powerhouse Argentina. That leaves very little margin for error in this match, as the loser here is unlikely to regain lost ground to finish in the top two and qualify for knockouts.

The AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, on early Saturday morning, UK time, will host this match. An underlying theme for this game is the fact that both teams are currently struggling in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers.

Peru are at the bottom of the ten-team World Cup qualification campaign with two points from six matches, while Chile are eighth with five points and currently out of even the Inter-Confederation play-offs.

Which struggling side will keep aside their troubles and make a winning start to their Copa America campaign? Let’s look at some key stats.

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The Best Betting Odds for Peru v Chile Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
17 1.1 11
Ladbrokes
4.2 3.1 2
NetBet
3.85 3.05 1.88
1xbet
4.51 3.13 2.04
22bet
4.51 3.13 2.04
Betwinner
4.2 3.14 2.02
Stake
4.3 3.15 2.04
Melbet
3.84 3.1 2.13
Tonybet
3.9 3.1 2.15
Check all Peru vs Chile odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Peru and Chile?

Our prediction for the Peru vs Chile match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/21/24 between Peru and Chile in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.37% for a win of Peru against Chile with odds of 17 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Peru vs Chile is 30.74% with odds of 3.15 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Chile vs Peru with odds of 11 at Bet365.

Peru - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:

Peru Chile Prediction Probability Odds
Peru wins 44.37% 17 at Bet365
Under 2.5 67.08% 1.99 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 25% 2.25 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Peru/Peru 21.89% 7 at Bet365

Peru vs Chile Form

Peru and Chile's standings in the Copa America

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Chile
Chile
2 3 0 2 1 -1
4
Peru
Peru
1 3 0 1 2 -3

Peru and Chile Last Matches

Peru
Peru Last matches
L D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
1 :  0
El Salvador

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
0 :  0
Paraguay

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
4 :  1
Dominican Republic

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Peru
2 :  0
Nicaragua

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Peru
1 :  1
Venezuela

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia
2 :  0
Peru
Chile
Chile Last matches
L D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Chile
3 :  0
Paraguay

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  2
Chile

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  3
Chile

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  0
Chile

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Chile
0 :  0
Paraguay

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela
3 :  0
Chile

Peru against Chile : Head to Head (H2H)

Peru

50 %

Draw

0 %

Chile

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.25
BTTS
0%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Chile
2 :  0
Peru

7 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Peru
2 :  0
Chile

13 Nov 2020 - World Cup

Chile
2 :  0
Peru

3 Jul 2019 - Copa America

Chile
0 :  3
Peru
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Peru - Chile: Form Analysis

Peru are unbeaten in five matches in all competitions, winning three and drawing two. Most of those games have come against lower-ranked opponents, though, casting doubt on their actual form.

New coach Jorge Fossati has clearly shown his preference to be on the defensive side and could once again build from the back.

They have good memories of touring these parts of the world, as the last time Copa America was held in the United States in 2016, Peru won their group by remaining unbeaten on that stage! That was the only time they did so in this century, so the chances of a repeat are low, but they can be a surprise package.

One familiar Peruvian face will be in the Chile dugout, as their manager, Ricardo Gareca, has guided Peru to the 2018 World Cup. He made a great start to his life as Chile manager, winning two of their three matches in charge.

The wins were comprehensive, ending in a 3-0 score both times against Albania and Paraguay in friendlies. The only reverse was a 3-2 defeat to France, and even in that game, Chile took an early sixth-minute lead.

The fans back home will hope they can keep building under Gareca because the side has missed out on World Cup qualification for two consecutive editions. At least their Copa America form is settled, with the Chileans winning back-to-back titles in 2015 and 2016, while bagging a fourth-place finish and a quarter-final appearance in the last two editions.

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Peru against Chile Lineups: Starting 11

Peru

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

1
P. Gallese
7
A. Polo
15
M. Araujo
5
C. Zambrano
22
A. Callens
17
L. Advincula
8
S. Pena
16
W. Cartagena
23
P. Quispe
14
G. Lapadula
20
E. Flores
11
E. Vargas
9
V. Davila
10
A. Sanchez
7
M. Nunez
13
E. Pulgar
15
D. Valdes
2
G. Suazo
5
P. Diaz
16
I. Lichnovsky
4
M. Isla
1
C. Bravo

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Chile

Missing players

Peru
Peru
Defender

M. Araujo

L. Advincula

Forward

A. Polo

Chile
Chile
Goalkeeper

C. Bravo

Peru & Chile Squad Analysis

It’s an experienced squad on show for Peru, with only goalkeeper Diego Romero without a senior cap.

Edison Flores has recently scored his 16th goal for Peru, making him the joint-tenth highest scorer for the nation. All eyes will be on Gianluca Lapadula, who scored three goals in the previous Copa America competition for Peru.

Chile has an equally strong and experienced squad for this tournament. The only uncapped player they brought in is Thomas Goldames.

Claudio Bravo is nearing 150 caps, while Eduardo Vargas is set to make his 110th appearance. Vargas has 42 national goals but is second behind all-time record scorer Alexis Sanchez, who has 51 to his name.

Peru - Chile Key Points

  1. Nine of Peru’s last ten matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Peru have failed to score in six of their last ten matches.
  3. Chile’s last five matches in the Copa America have produced fewer than three goals.
  4. The last three matches between Chile and Peru have produced exactly two goals each time.
  5. Chile haven’t scored in three of their last six matches.
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Our Peru vs Chile Prediction

Peru came into this tournament unbeaten in five matches, but that only tells you half the story.

Most of the teams they faced are not on par with the quality they will face in this tournament, starting with Chile. On the other hand, Chile faced some considerably better opponents, like Albania, France, and Paraguay.

They had mixed results, but they should be confident about their chances. Both teams, nevertheless, have struggled for goals recently.

Peru have built their team from the back in recent matches, and that could once again be the case here. Our prediction for Peru vs Chile is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Peru vs Chile - Other Interesting Predictions

Chile to Win

Chile have won the latest World Cup qualifier between these sides 2-0, in October 2023. They have had some tough preparation going into the tournament and will fancy their chances of a win here.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Peru Chile

Peru vs Chile Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Peru wins 4.33 17 +292.6%
Draw 3.1 1.1 -64.5%
Chile wins 2 11 +450.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Peru is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 292.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 5.9% (-17.2%)

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Peru vs Chile match : Frequently asked questions

The Peru vs Chile Copa America match is scheduled for a 1am UK time kick-off on Saturday, June 22, 2024, which will be 8pm ET on Friday, June 21, 2024.
The two South American teams are set to clash at the AT & T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

The Peru vs Chile Copa America Group A match will be available on Fox Sports 1 TV Channel in the USA. It can also be streamed live on the Fox Sports app.

Check out our Copa America Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Peru vs Chile Prediction
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