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Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Perth Glory
31/10/2025 06:45
Melbourne Victory

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions

HBF Park will host the Matchday 3 fixture in the A-League between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory on Friday. The Glory and the Big V are 12th and 11th in the league standings, respectively, after the first two games of the season. Let’s get into the match prediction!

After finishing bottom of the table in the last two seasons, the early signs are not very promising for Perth Glory, as they are already at the foot of the standings with one point to their name. 

PGFC played out a 2-2 draw against Wellington Phoenix in their opening match of the season, but suffered a deflating 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Melbourne City last week. They have only won two of their last nine league games (W2 D1 L6). 

The hosts only took eight points from 13 home league games last season - the worst in the division - and have lost three of their last four against their upcoming opponents at this venue. 

Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory have also endured a poor start to the season (D1 L1) and are only above the Glory in the standings by a better goal difference of one. 

After playing to a goalless draw against Auckland during the opening week, the Dark Blues were smashed 5-2 by Newcastle Jets last weekend - their biggest margin of defeat since December. 

The visitors have won four of their last six away league games, and scored two or more goals in all but one of those matches. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.95 3.75 2.15
Betfred
3 3.4 2.1
William Hill
3 3.4 2.15
Betway
3 3.5 2.2
Unibet
3.2 3.75 1.98
Check all Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory?

Our prediction for the Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2025 between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.14% for a win of Perth Glory against Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory is 23.59% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory with odds of 2.2 at Betway.

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:

Perth Glory Melbourne Victory Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory wins 44.27% 2.2 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 60.61% 1.88 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 54.58% 1.57 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time: Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory 18.58% 3.5 at Bet365

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Form

Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
1 2 0 1 1 -3
12
Perth Glory
Perth Glory
1 2 0 1 1 -4

Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory Last Matches

Perth Glory
Perth Glory Last matches
L W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
4 :  1
Adelaide United

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
1 :  3
Brisbane Roar

22 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  0
Sydney
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory

27 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Perth Glory

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Western United
3 :  1
Perth Glory

30 Mar 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  1
Perth Glory
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
L W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
5 :  2
Melbourne Victory

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Auckland FC

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
0 :  3
Wrexham

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory
W L D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Auckland FC

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory
0 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Auckland FC

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United
W W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
5 :  2
Melbourne Victory

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Perth Glory

0 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.2
Goals scored (home team)
2
Goals scored (away team)
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory

8 Dec 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Perth Glory

31 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Perth Glory

9 Apr 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  0
Perth Glory

8 Aug 2020 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  4
Melbourne Victory
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Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory last Lineups

Perth Glory

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

29
M. Sutton
20
T. Ostler
45
B. Kaltak
4
S. Wootton
19
J. Risdon
11
L. Wales
9
J. Kucharski
6
B. O'Neill
18
R. Bozinovski
25
S. Despotovski
22
A. Taggart
9
N. Vergos
11
C. Santos Rodrigus
10
D. Genreau
23
K. Jelacic
8
J. Valadon
34
X. Stella
2
J. Davidson
4
L. Jackson
15
S. Esposito
16
J. Inserra
25
J. Duncan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Perth Glory
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
Top Goalscorer
Australia J. Kucharski (1 Goals)
Australia A. Taggart (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia K. Jelacic (1 Goals) Australia D. Genreau (1 Goals)
Best assists
Australia L. Wales (1 Assists)
Australia A. Taggart (1 Assists)
Best assists
Australia D. Genreau (1 Assists)

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Key Points

  1. Seven of Perth Glory’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Perth Glory have conceded two or more goals in four of their last seven home league games.
  3. Six of Melbourne Victory’s last nine away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in each of their last four league games against this opponent.
  5. Both these sides are averaging over 2.5 goals conceded per 90 this season.
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Our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

It may still be very early in the season, but all indicators so far suggest that Perth Glory are in for another tough campaign, having already conceded a league-high six goals in their first two games of the new campaign.

Normally, we would expect Melbourne Victory to win this match fairly comfortably, but the Boys in Blue have not found their rhythm yet this season, and enter this match off the back of a 5-2 drubbing against the Jets. Therefore, our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory prediction is more than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Perth Glory Melbourne Victory

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Perth Glory wins 3.6 2.95 -18.1%
Draw 4 3.75 -6.3%
Melbourne Victory wins 1.79 2.15 +20.1%
Latest odds movements:

At 3 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 20.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.9% and is now 46.5% (-9.4%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Perth Glory vs. Melbourne Victory game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Enjoy the promotion!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

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