Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
HBF Park will host the Matchday 3 fixture in the A-League between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory on Friday. The Glory and the Big V are 12th and 11th in the league standings, respectively, after the first two games of the season. Let’s get into the match prediction!
After finishing bottom of the table in the last two seasons, the early signs are not very promising for Perth Glory, as they are already at the foot of the standings with one point to their name.
PGFC played out a 2-2 draw against Wellington Phoenix in their opening match of the season, but suffered a deflating 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Melbourne City last week. They have only won two of their last nine league games (W2 D1 L6).
The hosts only took eight points from 13 home league games last season - the worst in the division - and have lost three of their last four against their upcoming opponents at this venue.
Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory have also endured a poor start to the season (D1 L1) and are only above the Glory in the standings by a better goal difference of one.
After playing to a goalless draw against Auckland during the opening week, the Dark Blues were smashed 5-2 by Newcastle Jets last weekend - their biggest margin of defeat since December.
The visitors have won four of their last six away league games, and scored two or more goals in all but one of those matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.65 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.43 | 3.84 | 1.94 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.88 | 2.18 |
|
|
2.81 | 3.62 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.9 | 2.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2025 between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.58% for a win of Perth Glory against Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.43 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory is 23.74% with odds of 4 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.
Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Perth Glory Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 43.68% | 2.35 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% | 1.79 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory | 18.09% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Form
Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
10
|
31 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 |
Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
13 May 2025 - FFA Cup
4 May 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
13 May 2025 - FFA Cup
4 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
5 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
31 May 2025 - A-League
24 May 2025 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
20 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2025 - A-League
8 Dec 2024 - A-League
31 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Apr 2023 - A-League
8 Aug 2020 - A-League
Perth Glory against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Warner
DefenderA. Lebib
MidfielderT. Ostler
A. Sulemani
A. Cardeno
S. Despotovski
B. O'Neill
J. Warshawsky
DefenderS. Esposito
A. Traore
MidfielderO. Dragicevic
X. Stella
C. Santos Rodrigus
J. Reec
Most goals and assists
Perth Glory
Melbourne Victory
A. Taggart
(5 Goals)
, 
T. Lawrence
(5 Goals)
,
N. Pennington
(5 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
J. Kucharski
(3 Assists)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Seven of Perth Glory’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Perth Glory have conceded two or more goals in four of their last seven home league games.
- Six of Melbourne Victory’s last nine away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in each of their last four league games against this opponent.
- Both these sides are averaging over 2.5 goals conceded per 90 this season.
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Our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
It may still be very early in the season, but all indicators so far suggest that Perth Glory are in for another tough campaign, having already conceded a league-high six goals in their first two games of the new campaign.
Normally, we would expect Melbourne Victory to win this match fairly comfortably, but the Boys in Blue have not found their rhythm yet this season, and enter this match off the back of a 5-2 drubbing against the Jets. Therefore, our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Perth Glory Melbourne Victory
| Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory wins | 3.71 | 3.43 | -7.5% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4 | -7.0% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.82 | 2.35 | +29.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 29.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 42.6% (-12.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
