Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Perth Glory
31/10/2025 06:45
Melbourne Victory FC

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

HBF Park will host the Matchday 3 fixture in the A-League between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory on Friday. The Glory and the Big V are 12th and 11th in the league standings, respectively, after the first two games of the season. Let’s get into the match prediction!

After finishing bottom of the table in the last two seasons, the early signs are not very promising for Perth Glory, as they are already at the foot of the standings with one point to their name. 

PGFC played out a 2-2 draw against Wellington Phoenix in their opening match of the season, but suffered a deflating 4-0 drubbing at the hands of Melbourne City last week. They have only won two of their last nine league games (W2 D1 L6). 

The hosts only took eight points from 13 home league games last season - the worst in the division - and have lost three of their last four against their upcoming opponents at this venue. 

Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory have also endured a poor start to the season (D1 L1) and are only above the Glory in the standings by a better goal difference of one. 

After playing to a goalless draw against Auckland during the opening week, the Dark Blues were smashed 5-2 by Newcastle Jets last weekend - their biggest margin of defeat since December. 

The visitors have won four of their last six away league games, and scored two or more goals in all but one of those matches. 

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Perth Glory v Melbourne Victory FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3 3.65 2.11
1xbet
3.43 3.84 1.94
Melbet
2.97 3.88 2.18
Betwinner
2.81 3.62 2.3
Bet365
2.7 3.9 2.25
Check all Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory FC?

Our prediction for the Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2025 between Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.58% for a win of Perth Glory against Melbourne Victory FC with odds of 3.43 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC is 23.74% with odds of 4 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory FC vs Perth Glory with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Perth Glory Melbourne Victory FC Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne Victory FC wins 43.68% 2.35 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 60.4% 1.79 at Stake
Both Team To Score 54.58%
Half-time / Full-time: Melbourne Victory FC/Melbourne Victory FC 18.09% 3.75 at Bet365

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Form

Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory FC's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Melbourne Victory FC
40 26 11 7 8 +11
10 Perth Glory
31 26 8 7 11 -7

Perth Glory and Melbourne Victory FC Last Matches

Perth Glory
Perth Glory Last matches
W W D L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
2 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Perth Glory
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
4 :  1
Adelaide United

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
1 :  3
Brisbane Roar

22 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  0
Sydney
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

13 May 2025 - FFA Cup

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  3
Perth Glory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  2
Perth Glory

27 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Perth Glory

5 Apr 2025 - A-League

Western United
3 :  1
Perth Glory

30 Mar 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
3 :  1
Perth Glory
Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC Last matches
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
5 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  0
Auckland FC

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  3
Wrexham

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC
W L D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  0
Auckland FC

11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  1
Auckland FC

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
5 :  3
Adelaide United
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
5 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

29 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup

Olympic Kingsway SC
4 :  3
Melbourne Victory FC

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory FC

24 May 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Perth Glory

0 %

Draw

20 %

Melbourne Victory FC

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory FC

8 Dec 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  0
Perth Glory

31 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
2 :  1
Perth Glory

9 Apr 2023 - A-League

Melbourne Victory FC
0 :  0
Perth Glory

8 Aug 2020 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  4
Melbourne Victory FC
Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

Perth Glory against Melbourne Victory FC Lineups: Starting 11

Perth Glory

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

29
M. Sutton
19
J. Risdon
4
S. Wootton
45
B. Kaltak
2
C. Shamoon
18
R. Bozinovski
8
C. Timmins
11
L. Wales
34
T. Lawrence
22
A. Taggart
27
W. Freney
9
N. Vergos
14
M. Grimaldi
64
J. Mata
23
K. Jelacic
8
J. Valadon
10
D. Genreau
2
J. Davidson
4
L. Jackson
22
J. Rawlins
16
J. Inserra
25
J. Duncan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory FC

Substitutes

Perth Glory
Perth Glory
Goalkeeper

R. Warner

Defender

A. Lebib

Midfielder

T. Ostler

C. Shamoon 63'

A. Sulemani

A. Cardeno

C. Timmins 63'

S. Despotovski

T. Lawrence 46'

B. O'Neill

R. Bozinovski 85'

Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC
Goalkeeper

J. Warshawsky

Defender

S. Esposito

J. Inserra 89'

A. Traore

Midfielder

O. Dragicevic

D. Genreau 80'

X. Stella

M. Grimaldi 69'

C. Santos Rodrigues

J. Mata 69'

Forward

J. Reec

N. Vergos 80'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Perth Glory
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory FC
Top Goalscorer
Australia A. Taggart (5 Goals)
Wales T. Lawrence (5 Goals)
Australia N. Pennington (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Best assists
Australia J. Kucharski (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Mata (12 Assists)

Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory FC Key Points

  1. Seven of Perth Glory’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Perth Glory have conceded two or more goals in four of their last seven home league games.
  3. Six of Melbourne Victory’s last nine away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in each of their last four league games against this opponent.
  5. Both these sides are averaging over 2.5 goals conceded per 90 this season.
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Our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Prediction

It may still be very early in the season, but all indicators so far suggest that Perth Glory are in for another tough campaign, having already conceded a league-high six goals in their first two games of the new campaign.

Normally, we would expect Melbourne Victory to win this match fairly comfortably, but the Boys in Blue have not found their rhythm yet this season, and enter this match off the back of a 5-2 drubbing against the Jets. Therefore, our Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory prediction is more than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Perth Glory Melbourne Victory FC

Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Perth Glory wins 3.71 3.43 -7.5%
Draw 4.3 4 -7.0%
Melbourne Victory FC wins 1.82 2.35 +29.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne Victory FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 29.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.9% and is now 42.6% (-12.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.