Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
A tough away match against the much-improved Paris FC in Ligue 1 awaits troubled Marseille this Saturday. The visitors start the round in third place, while Paris are 14th as both teams look to return to winning ways. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
After a full week of rest, Paris FC will feel ready for this. Les Bleus have won three of their last five matches, making this their best spell this season. One of those recent wins was against PSG.
The first time these two teams faced off, back in August, Paris FC were still getting used to the topflight and they lost 5-2. It is a good time to also end their six-game home winless run.
Marseille are coming off a painful night in Europe. Les Phoceens were not only beaten in the Champions League but also saw the end of their European journey.
Despite being one of the most prolific teams around, Marseille were subjected to a 3-0 defeat at Club Brugge. That should be behind them now, and all focus is on rising in the league.
The leading scorers in Ligue 1, Marseille trail the leaders by seven points. Having already tasted victory over Paris, they will see this as a perfect chance to close in ahead of meeting PSG next.
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Paris FC v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.82 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.78 | 1.84 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.85 | 1.78 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Paris FC and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Paris FC vs Marseille match is: Marseille wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Paris FC and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.19% for a win of Paris FC against Marseille with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paris FC vs Marseille is 25.05% with odds of 3.94 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Paris FC with odds of 1.91 at 888Starz.
Paris FC - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paris FC Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 58.76% | 1.91 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.51% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Marseille/Marseille | 33.07% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Paris FC vs Marseille Form
Paris FC and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
Paris FC and Marseille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
Paris FC vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Paris FC against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. Ollila
D. Coppola
MidfielderM. Munetsi
V. Marchetti
J. Ikone
J. Lopez
ForwardW. Geubbels
L. Koleosho
J. De Lange
DefenderB. Pavard
A. Murillo
M. O'Riley
H. Traore
B. Nadir
G. Kondogbia
A. Vermeeren
A. Gouiri
Missing players
H. Traore
T. De Smet
S. Alakouch
MidfielderP. Lees-Melou
S. Chergui
R. Matondo
ForwardP. Hamel
L. Gueye
Emerson
MidfielderA. Gomes
Most goals and assists
Paris FC
Marseille
I. Kebbal
(9 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Lopez
(4 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Paris FC - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille won three of their last four Ligue 1 matches.
- Marseille’s league matches have averaged 3.3 goals so far.
- Marseille are the third-best-performing away team in Ligue 1.
- Paris FC have managed just two wins in nine home league games.
- Paris FC’s league matches have had on average 2.94 goals netted.
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Our Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction
Two sides with completely different seasons’ ambitions, and coming off contrasting fortunes, face off here. Marseille, aspiring to challenge for the title, are facing a side keen on survival in Ligue 1. There is one aspect that matches the two sides, though; both have been at the core of high-scoring encounters.
The goal averages in their league assignments this season point to a possibility of at least three goals. In terms of form, Marseille easily carries the day. Our prediction for Paris FC v Marseille is that Marseille wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paris FC Marseille
| Paris FC vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC wins | 5 | 4.33 | -13.4% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.94 | +3.7% |
| Marseille wins | 1.67 | 1.91 | +14.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 52.4% (-7.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
