Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

South America - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
16/04/2026 18:00
Sporting Cristal

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Copa Libertadores Predictions

Palmeiras temporarily shelve league duties to focus on CONMEBOL Libertadores when they welcome Club Sporting Cristal to the Allianz Parque on matchday two. The hosts are in second place in Group F, while the visitors lead at the top with a two-point cushion. Here's our match prediction.

Palmeiras are coming off a disappointing outcome against nine-man Corinthians in the Serie A Betano. It was a dreadful performance as they could only manage a point in a goalless draw away from home. The good news is that they still have a tight grip on the top spot, leading second-placed Flamengo by six points.

Attention now shifts to the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Abel Ferreira's men failed to secure a win in the first round against Junior de Barranquilla, playing to a 1-1 draw on the road.

The Green and White have now gone two games without a win in this competition and have only won just one of their last four matches. Still, their quality suggests a response is on the horizon.

Club Sporting Cristal's last league game was a 2-1 home defeat against Moquegua at the very beginning of April. That result marked their second straight defeat.

However, they didn't let that setback get in the way of a positive outcome in the first round of the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Los Cerveceros defeated Cerro Porteno 1-0 at home courtesy of Felipe Vizeu's effort in the second half.

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Palmeiras v Sporting Cristal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.18 6.8 15
Melbet
1.16 7.7 16
Betwinner
1.17 7.4 16
Bet365
1.18 7.5 13
Roobet
1.17 6.8 13
Check all Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal match is: Palmeiras to win and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2026 between Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.63% for a win of Palmeiras against Sporting Cristal with odds of 1.22 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal is 15.99% with odds of 7.7 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras with odds of 16 at Melbet.

Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal Prediction and Best Odds:

Palmeiras Sporting Cristal Prediction Probability Odds
Palmeiras wins 69.63% 1.22 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 61.43% 1.63 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 62.5%
Half-time / Full-time : Palmeiras/Palmeiras 41.99% 1.62 at LSbet

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Form

Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal's standings in the Copa Libertadores

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Palmeiras
11 6 3 2 1 +5
3 Sporting Cristal
6 6 2 0 4 -3

Palmeiras and Sporting Cristal Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  0
Palmeiras

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

CD Junior FC
1 :  1
Palmeiras

5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  2
Palmeiras

2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Gremio

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Palmeiras

18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Botafogo
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Gremio

18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Botafogo

15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Mirassol

4 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Gremio Novorizontino SP

1 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1

Palmeiras
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Fluminense
W L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  0
Palmeiras

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

CD Junior FC
1 :  1
Palmeiras

5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bahia
1 :  2
Palmeiras

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Palmeiras

12 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
2 :  1
Palmeiras

8 Mar 2026 - Paulista Serie A1

Gremio Novorizontino SP
1 :  2
Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
1 :  0
Cerro Porteno

3 Apr 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
1 :  2
CD Moquegua

21 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Los Chankas CYC
3 :  2
Sporting Cristal

15 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
3 :  0
Sport Boys Association

11 Mar 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
1 :  2
Carabobo FC

7 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
3 :  1
Alianza Atletico
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
1 :  0
Cerro Porteno

3 Apr 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
1 :  2
CD Moquegua

15 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
3 :  0
Sport Boys Association

11 Mar 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
1 :  2
Carabobo FC

7 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sporting Cristal
3 :  1
Alianza Atletico

24 Feb 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
0 :  0
CS 2 De Mayo
D W D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Los Chankas CYC
3 :  2
Sporting Cristal

4 Mar 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Carabobo FC
0 :  1
Sporting Cristal

28 Feb 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Sport Huancayo
2 :  1
Sporting Cristal

17 Feb 2026 - Copa Libertadores

CS 2 De Mayo
2 :  2
Sporting Cristal

14 Feb 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Juan Pablo II College
0 :  2
Sporting Cristal

1 Feb 2026 - Liga 1 Perú

Deportivo Garcilaso
1 :  1
Sporting Cristal

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

100 %

Draw

0 %

Sporting Cristal

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
4.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
6 :  0
Sporting Cristal

3 Apr 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Sporting Cristal
2 :  3
Palmeiras

Palmeiras against Sporting Cristal Lineups: Starting 11

Palmeiras

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
C. Miguel
4
A. Giay
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
12
Khellven
8
A. Pereira
17
M. Freitas
40
A. Elias
19
R. Sosa
11
J. Arias
42
J. Lopez
16
L. Iberico
11
I. Avila
23
M. Castro
19
Y. Yotun
55
G. Cazonatti
18
J. Gonzalez
90
Cristiano
5
R. Lutiger
20
M. Araujo
8
L. Sosa
1
D. Enriquez

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Sporting Cristal

Substitutes

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

Aranha

M. Lomba

Defender

B. Fuchs

A. Santana Marcolino

A. Giay 70'

Midfielder

Mauricio

E. Martinez

L. Ferreira dos Santos

L. Evangelista

A. Elias 88'

Forward

Luighi

R. Sosa 70'

F. Anderson

J. Arias 88'

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
Goalkeeper

C. Bautista

Defender

A. Posito

F. Lora

J. Cuenca

J. Gonzalez 71'

L. Abram

Midfielder

G. Castillo Lurita

I. Wisdom

C. Benavente

G. Cazonatti 85'

Forward

J. Moretti

M. Rodriguez

L. Sosa 85'

S. Gonzalez

M. Castro 59'

F. Vizeu

I. Avila 59'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato Sporting Cristal
Top Goalscorer
Colombia J. Arias (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil F. Vizeu (1 Goals) Argentina J. Gonzalez (1 Goals) Argentina S. Gonzalez (1 Goals) Peru C. Cabellos (1 Goals) Peru Y. Yotun (1 Goals) Brazil G. Cazonatti (1 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Lopez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Peru Y. Yotun (1 Assists)
Peru I. Avila (1 Assists)
Peru L. Iberico (1 Assists)
Brazil G. Cazonatti (1 Assists)

Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal Key Points

  1. Palmeiras have won five of their last seven matches across all competitions.
  2. Club Sporting Cristal have lost two of their last three matches across all competitions.
  3. Palmeiras have won three of their last four meetings against Club Sporting Cristal in the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
  4. Club Sporting Cristal have lost their last two away meetings against Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
  5. Palmeiras have seen each of their last 14 matches across all competitions end with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Palmeiras might have failed to win their last two games, but they can build momentum ahead of this clash. Their form has been consistent with five wins in seven games. Not to be underestimated, they have won three of their last four matches against Sporting Cristal in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. They should be able to secure their first win.

Sporting Cristal's last match against this opponent was a 6-0 defeat on the road. In fact, they've lost their last two away matches and could suffer a third straight defeat. Our Palmeiras vs Club Sporting Cristal prediction: Palmeiras to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Palmeiras to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Sporting Cristal

Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Palmeiras wins 1.17 1.22 +4.3%
Draw 7.5 7.7 +2.7%
Sporting Cristal wins 16 16 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Palmeiras is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 4.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 82.0% (-3.5%)

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Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Prediction