South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Palmeiras host River Plate in this Copa Libertadores quarter-final second leg on Thursday. The three-time champions won the first leg 2-1 in Argentina and will look to build on that result to secure their spot in the semi-finals. Here is our prediction for the match.
Palmeiras have one foot in the 2025 Copa Libertadores semi-final after their shock first-leg win. First-half goals from Gustavo Gomez and Victor Roque secured the crucial victory for the Green and White.
Notably, Abel Ferreira's men have enjoyed remarkable recent form across competitions. They have yet to taste defeat in their last nine matches (W7, D2) and have won each of their last three matches. This includes a comprehensive 4-1 victory over Fortaleza on the domestic scene at the weekend.
River Plate's 2-1 first-leg loss to Palmeiras ended an impressive 12-match unbeaten run for the Primera Division giants. Moreover, the Millionaires' fortunes have taken a sharp turn in the last two weeks. They also lost at the weekend, suffering a 2-0 away defeat to Atl. Tucuman in the Primera Division.
Enzo Francescoli's side faces a tall order overturning their first-leg deficit against Palmeiras, particularly with the away disadvantage. They have lost two of their three encounters with the Brazilian giants.
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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v River Plate Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.3 | 5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.25 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.78 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.3 | 4.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and River Plate?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs River Plate match is: Palmeiras win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2025 between Palmeiras and River Plate in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.55% for a win of Palmeiras against River Plate with odds of 1.9 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs River Plate is 33.8% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.65% chance ⭐ for a win of River Plate vs Palmeiras with odds of 5 at Bet365.
Palmeiras - River Plate Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras River Plate Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 47.55% | 1.9 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 55.58% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 22.56% | 4.6 at Unibet |
Palmeiras vs River Plate Form
Palmeiras and River Plate Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
25 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
25 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
Palmeiras vs River Plate Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
12 Jan 2021 - Copa Libertadores
5 Jan 2021 - Copa Libertadores
Palmeiras against River Plate Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
River Plate
V. Roque
(20 Goals)
S. Driussi
(10 Goals)
Mauricio
(9 Assists)
G. Montiel
(4 Assists)
Palmeiras - River Plate Key Points
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last nine matches.
- Palmeiras won the first leg of this match 2-1 in Argentina.
- Palmeiras have won their last three matches.
- River Plate have lost their last two matches.
- River Plate have lost two of their three fixtures against Palmeiras.
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Our Palmeiras vs River Plate Prediction
River Plate are on a thin line between hope and disappointment in their 2025 Copa Libertadores campaign following their shock defeat at home in the first leg. The four-time champions, now playing away from home, are unlikely to pull an upset. They have lost both of their recent fixtures, including two of their three matchups with Palmeiras.
Meanwhile, Palmeiras stand tall as the clear favorites to win this match. Abel Ferreira's men are unbeaten in their last nine matches, and have won each of their last three fixtures. Our Palmeiras vs River Plate prediction is Palmeiras win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras River Plate
| Palmeiras vs River Plate | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 1.91 | 1.75 | -8.4% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.3 | +1.5% |
| River Plate wins | 4.33 | 5 | +15.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 57.1% (4.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Palmeiras vs. River Plate game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa Libertadores! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
