Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Palmeiras will be targeting fourth spot when they host Atletico MG in their next Brazilian Serie A match. The two sides are three points and places apart, Palmeiras being fifth and Atletico eighth. Read on for our prediction.
Palmeiras returned with a lukewarm performance after participation at the Club World Cup, drawing 1-1 with Mirassol. That extended their winless run in the league to three matches, and Verdao will be desperate to bounce back.
In six home matches in the league, Palmeiras managed just two wins and failed to score in three. All six home league matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
Atletico, who lost in their last two meetings with Palmeiras, will feel this is a perfect chance to collect three points in this fixture. In the last 10 meetings with their hosts, Atletico managed just one win.
This match comes in the wake of their return from a 1-0 away Copa Sudamericana win against Bucaramanga. They’ll hope to pick up inspiration from that, having lost their last league game, 2-1 at Bahia.
Across their last 10 matches in all competitions, Atletico lost once, and this should be encouraging enough. They won five of their last nine league matches but only two of seven on the road this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Atletico MG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.3 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.4 | 5.25 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Atletico MG match is: under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/07/2025 between Palmeiras and Atletico MG in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44% for a win of Palmeiras against Atletico MG with odds of 1.73 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Atletico MG is 27.36% with odds of 3.66 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs Palmeiras with odds of 5.95 at 888Starz.
Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Form
Palmeiras and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|
8
|
20 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Palmeiras and Atletico MG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Aug 2023 - Copa Libertadores
2 Aug 2023 - Copa Libertadores
28 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs Atletico MG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Atletico MG
Estevao
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Lopez
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Torres
(4 Goals)
Rony
(5 Goals)
R. Rios
(5 Assists)
Hulk
(3 Assists)
Palmeiras and Atletico MG Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras - Atletico MG Key Points
- Palmeiras’ last six home league matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Palmeiras failed to score in three of their six home league matches.
- Both sides scored in only one of the last five meetings between these sides.
- Four of Atletico MG’s last six away Serie A games produced under 2.5 goals.
- At least one side failed to score in four of Atletico’s seven away league matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Palmeiras vs Atletico MG Prediction
The last two meetings between these two sides were uncharacteristically high scoring. We do not expect the same here, going by the teams’ recent performances and trends in their matches.
Six of their last eight head-to-head meetings produced under 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in only two of their last five clashes. Lately, their league games have had low scores, and we will bet on the same here. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Atletico MG is for under 2.5 goals & BTTS – No.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Palmeiras vs. Atletico MG game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Palmeiras and Atletico MG? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
