England - Carabao Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Oxford United are set to host Brighton & Hove Albion at Kassam Stadium in the second round of the EFL Cup. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.
Oxford United have endured a dreadful start to the 2025-26 Championship season. Three defeats in a row currently see them second to bottom in the league standings.
In their recent league game, Gary Rowett's men suffered a 1-0 away defeat against Birmingham. It is safe to say confidence is at a low in the camp.
Regarding how they managed to book their spot in the second round of the EFL Cup, the U's beat Colchester United in the first round courtesy of a Tyler Goodrham effort in the first nine minutes.
Brighton & Hove Albion are seeking redemption after suffering their first English Premier League defeat over the weekend.
The inflictors of that defeat were Everton. Away from home, they found themselves on the receiving end of a 2-0 defeat. This result extended their winless league run to two games.
The Seagulls' realistic path to victory in the 2025-26 season is in the EFL Cup, particularly against Oxford United. In this fixture, they are currently on a two-match winning streak.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oxford United v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 5 | 1.32 |
|
|
8 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
|
7 | 5.2 | 1.37 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Brighton match is: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Oxford United and Brighton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.73% for a win of Oxford United against Brighton with odds of 8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Brighton is 24.4% with odds of 5.2 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Oxford United with odds of 1.4 at Betfred.
Oxford United - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 50.87% | 1.4 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 55.92% | 2.43 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brighton/Brighton | 19.08% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
Oxford United vs Brighton Form
Oxford United and Brighton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Players list
M. Ingram
DefenderE. Moore
L. Sibley
S. Long
J. Currie
MidfielderB. De Keersmaecker
L. Harris
W. Vaulks
N. Prelec
S. Mills
ForwardT. Bradshaw
J. Steele
DefenderC. Tasker
T. Watson
Igor
D. Coppola
O. Boscagli
MidfielderH. Howell
C. Baleba
S. Tzimas
B. Gruda
C. Kostoulas
Substitutes
J. Cumming
DefenderH. Ter Avest
MidfielderT. Goodhram
L. Snowden
L. Harris
L. Sibley
B. De Keersmaecker
T. Bradshaw
N. Prelec
T. McGill
DefenderT. Lamptey
F. Simmonds
MidfielderM. O'Riley
C. Tasker
C. Baleba
C. Kostoulas
S. Tzimas
T. Watson
Missing players
C. Brown
ForwardO. Romeny
A. Webster
MidfielderS. March
Most goals and assists
Oxford United
Brighton
W. Lankshear
(3 Goals)
D. Gomez
(5 Goals)
B. De Keersmaecker
(2 Assists)
G. Rutter
(2 Assists)
, 
Y. Minteh
(2 Assists)
Oxford United - Brighton Key Points
- Oxford United are currently on a two-match losing streak.
- Brighton & Hove Albion are currently on a two-match winning streak against Oxford United.
- Oxford United and Brighton & Hove Albion have seen each of their last six meetings end with over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have won three of their last five away matches against Oxford United.
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Our Oxford United vs Brighton Prediction
Oxford United have shown close to nothing with their performance this season. They indeed secured a win in the EFL Cup, but their opponents from the first round were a walkover compared to a strong Brighton & Hove Albion side.
Brighton & Hove Albion have won two matches in a row in this fixture. Each of those outings produced over 2.5 goals. The visitors can secure a routine win in this upcoming encounter and progress to the next round. Our Oxford United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Brighton
| Oxford United vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 6.5 | 7 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 5 | +19.0% |
| Brighton wins | 1.48 | 1.32 | -10.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 75.8% (8.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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