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Oxford United vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
27/08/2025 14:45
Brighton

Prediction :

 

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Carabao Cup Predictions

Oxford United are set to host Brighton & Hove Albion at Kassam Stadium in the second round of the EFL Cup. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.

Oxford United have endured a dreadful start to the 2025-26 Championship season. Three defeats in a row currently see them second to bottom in the league standings. 

In their recent league game, Gary Rowett's men suffered a 1-0 away defeat against Birmingham. It is safe to say confidence is at a low in the camp.

Regarding how they managed to book their spot in the second round of the EFL Cup, the U's beat Colchester United in the first round courtesy of a Tyler Goodrham effort in the first nine minutes. 

Brighton & Hove Albion are seeking redemption after suffering their first English Premier League defeat over the weekend. 

The inflictors of that defeat were Everton. Away from home, they found themselves on the receiving end of a 2-0 defeat. This result extended their winless league run to two games.

The Seagulls' realistic path to victory in the 2025-26 season is in the EFL Cup, particularly against Oxford United. In this fixture, they are currently on a two-match winning streak. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Oxford United v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
7 5 1.32
Betfred
8 4.6 1.4
William Hill
7 4.6 1.36
Betway
7 5 1.38
Unibet
7 5.2 1.37
Check all Oxford United vs Brighton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Brighton match is: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/08/2025 between Oxford United and Brighton in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.73% for a win of Oxford United against Brighton with odds of 8 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Brighton is 24.4% with odds of 5.2 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Oxford United with odds of 1.4 at Betfred.

Oxford United - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:

Oxford United Brighton Prediction Probability Odds
Brighton wins 50.87% 1.4 at Betfred
Under 2.5 55.92% 2.43 at Unibet
Both Team To Score 40.48%
Half-time / Full-time: Brighton/Brighton 19.08% 2 at Ladbrokes

Oxford United vs Brighton Form

Oxford United and Brighton Last Matches

Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Oxford United

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Oxford United

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
1 :  0
Colchester

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Portsmouth

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
3 :  0
Málaga

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
1 :  1
Leganés
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
1 :  0
Colchester

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Portsmouth

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
3 :  0
Málaga

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
1 :  1
Leganés

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
0 :  1
Bristol Rovers

15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Oxford United
0 :  0
Maidenhead United
L W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Oxford United

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Oxford United

3 May 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  3
Oxford United

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Oxford United

12 Apr 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Oxford United

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Oxford United
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W W D W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Brighton

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke

19 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool

4 May 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
West Ham
L W W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Las Palmas
0 :  2
Brighton

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Brighton

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Brighton

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  2
Brighton
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

M. Ingram

Defender

S. Long

J. Currie

E. Moore

L. Sibley

Midfielder

N. Prelec

S. Mills

B. De Keersmaecker

L. Harris

W. Vaulks

Forward

T. Bradshaw

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

Igor

C. Tasker

T. Watson

D. Coppola

O. Boscagli

Midfielder

S. Tzimas

C. Kostoulas

B. Gruda

H. Howell

C. Baleba

Substitutes

Oxford United
Oxford United
Goalkeeper

J. Cumming

Defender

H. Ter Avest

Midfielder

L. Sibley

B. Spencer

B. De Keersmaecker

C. Brannagan

T. Goodhram

L. Harris

M. Phillips

L. Snowden

Forward

T. Bradshaw

M. Harris

N. Prelec

P. Placheta

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

T. McGill

Defender

F. Simmonds

T. Lamptey

Midfielder

C. Baleba

J. Hinshelwood

C. Tasker

J. Veltman

M. O'Riley

Forward

T. Watson

F. Kadioglu

S. Tzimas

D. Gomez

C. Kostoulas

J. Milner

Missing players

Oxford United
Oxford United
Defender

C. Brown

Forward

O. Romeny

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

Midfielder

S. March

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Oxford United
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay D. Gomez (5 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium B. De Keersmaecker (2 Assists)
Best assists
Gambia Y. Minteh (2 Assists)
France G. Rutter (2 Assists)

Oxford United - Brighton Key Points

  1. Oxford United are currently on a two-match losing streak.
  2. Brighton & Hove Albion are currently on a two-match winning streak against Oxford United.
  3. Oxford United and Brighton & Hove Albion have seen each of their last six meetings end with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Brighton & Hove Albion have won three of their last five away matches against Oxford United.
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Our Oxford United vs Brighton Prediction

Oxford United have shown close to nothing with their performance this season. They indeed secured a win in the EFL Cup, but their opponents from the first round were a walkover compared to a strong Brighton & Hove Albion side. 

Brighton & Hove Albion have won two matches in a row in this fixture. Each of those outings produced over 2.5 goals. The visitors can secure a routine win in this upcoming encounter and progress to the next round. Our Oxford United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Brighton

Oxford United vs Brighton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Oxford United wins 6.5 7 +7.7%
Draw 4.2 5 +19.0%
Brighton wins 1.48 1.32 -10.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Brighton is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 75.8% (8.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Oxford United vs Brighton Prediction
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