Osasuna vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Defeats in the last round in La Liga have left Osasuna and Alaves in the bottom half of the standings ahead of their meeting. The hosts, Osasuna, are 15th, while Alaves start the weekend in 12th place. We have a prediction for this match below.
Both sides faced off with the two biggest sides in La Liga last week. Osasuna fell 2-0 at Barcelona but battled to advance in the Copa del Rey against Huesca.
They won 4-2 after extra time and will be hoping to take encouragement from that, though fatigue remains a concern. That will not be the only worry for Osasuna; they have managed just one win in eight league matches, losing five.
That run is to account for the fact they are only above the relegation zone by goal difference.
Alaves’ push for safety has suffered a few setbacks in recent matches, and they will hope the situation improves. They lost 2-1 to Real Madrid in their last league outing.
However, in the Copa del Rey, Alaves recovered to record a 1-0 win at home against Sevilla. With that, across all competitions, they have now managed five wins in 10.
Four of those wins came with clean sheets as well. A run of five matches without a win in away league games poses difficult questions for Alaves. They are winless in their last five away matches against Osasuna.
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Osasuna v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.29 | 2.95 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.92 | 3.76 |
|
|
2.24 | 2.86 | 3.88 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.88 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.28 | 2.88 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Osasuna and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Osasuna vs Alavés match is: Osasuna wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Osasuna and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.28% for a win of Osasuna against Alavés with odds of 2.35 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Osasuna vs Alavés is 15.41% with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Osasuna with odds of 3.97 at 888Starz.
Osasuna - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Osasuna Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 52.28% | 2.35 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 53.26% | 1.78 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Osasuna/Osasuna | 26.03% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Osasuna vs Alavés Form
Osasuna and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
|
17
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 |
Osasuna and Alavés Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
Osasuna vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
Osasuna against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Cruz
I. Munoz
A. Osambela
M. Gomez
ForwardR. Garcia
I. Arguibide
K. Barja
S. Becker
R. Fernandez
DefenderX. Ibarzabal
Y. Enriquez
C. Ballestero
MidfielderC. Benavidez
A. Guevara
C. Alena
J. Guridi
C. Vicente
A. Manas
Missing players
I. Benito
Most goals and assists
Osasuna
Alavés
A. Budimir
(17 Goals)
T. Martinez
(14 Goals)
R. Garcia
(5 Assists)
C. Alena
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Rebbach
(4 Assists)
,
A. Hidalgo
(4 Assists)
Osasuna - Alavés Key Points
- Osasuna have collected 13 of their 15 points in home matches.
- Alaves are winless away to Osasuna in the last five meetings.
- From their current 18 points, Alaves managed just four points on the road.
- Away from home in the last five league games, Alaves won none, losing four.
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Our Osasuna vs Alavés Prediction
Osasuna are going through tough times in their recent matches, but there are all the positives to look at when playing at home. They are a bit more stable at home, and most of their points this season have come in home matches.
While Osasuna are enjoying a stronger run at home, Alaves are struggling badly on the road. The visitors come into this game having only pocketed four away points. They have also not done well in their visits to Osasuna. Our prediction for Osasuna v Alaves is that Osasuna wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Osasuna Alavés
| Osasuna vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 2.15 | 2.35 | +9.3% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.05 | -3.2% |
| Alavés wins | 3.9 | 3.97 | +1.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Osasuna is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 42.6% (-4.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
