Europe - Champions League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
Pafos will be playing the Champions League main draw for the first time, and they’ve been handed a tricky start. The Cypriots will be traveling to Greece to face Olympiacos. As Pafos mark their league phase debut, Olympiacos will be marking a return after a five-year absence. In case you are planning to bet on this match, read on for our prediction below.
Pafos negotiated their qualifying matches well, eliminating a number of established names to get here. As a result of dumping our Maccabi Tel Aviv, Dynamo Kyiv, and Red Star Belgrade, they will meet a Greek side for the first time in European competitions.
For Olympiacos, this will be the 11th meeting with a Cypriot side. In the previous 10, they won five. This will be the Greek giants’ chance to better their record in the Champions League main draw, having lost 16 of their last 20 matches at this stage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Olympiacos v Pafos FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 9 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.9 | 8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Olympiacos and Pafos FC?
Our prediction for the Olympiacos vs Pafos FC match is: Olympiacos to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2025 between Olympiacos and Pafos FC in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.18% for a win of Olympiacos against Pafos FC with odds of 1.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Olympiacos vs Pafos FC is 17.46% with odds of 5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Pafos FC vs Olympiacos with odds of 9 at Betfred.
Olympiacos - Pafos FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Olympiacos Pafos FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos wins | 52.18% | 1.4 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 52.81% | 2.17 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Olympiacos | 24.75% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Olympiacos vs Pafos FC Form
Olympiacos and Pafos FC's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
|
31
|
2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 |
Olympiacos and Pafos FC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Superleague
30 Aug 2025 - Superleague
23 Aug 2025 - Superleague
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Superleague
23 Aug 2025 - Superleague
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2025 - Superleague
13 Apr 2025 - Superleague
30 Mar 2025 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Superleague
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Cypriot First Division
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Cypriot First Division
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division
19 Aug 2025 - Champions League
5 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Olympiacos - Pafos FC: Form Analysis
Olympiacos couldn't have wished for a more comfortable match to mark their return to the apex of European club football. The Greek champions will go into this match in great form, and playing at home adds to their advantage.
They have given their league title defence a strong start, winning all of their opening three matches. In each of those opening exchanges, they scored at least two goals, keeping clean sheets in the wins.
Luis Mendilibar’s charges were ruthless in a 5-0 demolition of Panserraikos last time out. This victory was their eighth on the bounce in competitive action and marks the best run under the Spaniard.
Olympiacos have eight straight wins and five clean sheets in competitive action.
Pafos didn’t have the best of preparations for their first-ever league stage match in the Champions League. They are coming off a 1-0 defeat at home against Apollon, the first dent in their own title defence and conceding for the third game in four matches.
To get a positive result in Greece, the first target should be a clean sheet, but in their current shape, there’s a possibility of struggling. The visitors did well in the Champions League qualifiers, though, going through unbeaten.
Away from home in the qualifiers, they posted straight wins, beating Red Star Belgrade, Dynamo Kyiv, and Maccabi Tel Aviv.
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Olympiacos against Pafos FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Olympiacos & Pafos FC Squad Analysis
Ayoub El Kaabi is once again the man to watch for Olympiacos. The Moroccan, leading the Greek side’s attack last season, scored a total of 27 goals in all competitions.
Having already netted twice in three games this season, he has the momentum to build on. From his three matches so far, the forward has an xG of 1.65, and it can only get better, facing first-timers.
Chiquinho will be playing a supporting role for El Kaabi, but he is a threat himself. This season, the Portuguese midfielder has been engaged in three goals already, scoring once and assisting twice.
Olympiacos keeper Konstantinos Tzolakis is suspended, but the hosts should be able to cope.
The visitors will come into this game with their squad fully fit and all players available. Among the players expected to stand out for Pafos is former Arsenal, Chelsea, and PSG defender David Luiz.
The Brazilian may be squeezed in a defence marshaled by skipper David Goldar, with Derrick Luckassen adding the needed defensive presence.
Luckassen has already scored this season and poses a threat with set pieces.
Most goals and assists
Olympiacos
Pafos FC
A. El Kaabi
(7 Goals)
V. Dragomir
(4 Goals)
, 
D. Quina
(4 Goals)
D. Podence
(3 Assists)
K. Sema
(1 Assists)
Olympiacos - Pafos FC Key Points
- Olympiacos have three straight wins with clean sheets this season.
- Olympiacos are unbeaten in their last eight competitive matches.
- Olympiakos lost just twice in the last 10 matches in Europe.
- Pafos are coming off their first defeat of the season.
- Olympiacos have five wins in 10 against Cypriot sides.
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Our Olympiacos vs Pafos FC Prediction
Immediately upon seeing their UCL fixture list, Olympiacos will have been targeting this as a must-win. They are the more experienced of the two and will be expected to brush Pafos aside for a flying start to the competition.
Last season in Europe, Olympiacos lost two of 10 matches, and having started the season strongly, we are backing them for a comfortable win. Pafos are coming from a loss in their domestic league, and there might not be time to regroup to strategize. Our prediction for Olympiacos v Pafos is for Olympiacos to win without conceding.
Olympiacos vs Pafos FC - Other Interesting Predictions
Ayoub El Kaabi to score
Olympiacos forward Ayoub El Kaabi has started the season well, taking over from where he left off last season. He has in-form Chiquinho for support, and the Moroccan will definitely benefit from an assist or two to continue with his fine start. Our second prediction for this match is for El Kaabi to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Olympiacos Pafos FC
| Olympiacos vs Pafos FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos wins | 1.5 | 1.38 | -8.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.75 | +21.8% |
| Pafos FC wins | 6.5 | 8 | +23.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Olympiacos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 72.5% (5.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Olympiacos vs. Pafos FC game!
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Try your luck on this year's Champions League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Olympiacos vs Pafos FC match : Frequently asked questions
Yes. The Olympiacos v Pafos match will be aired on Cosmote TV and AlterEgo for Greek audiences. In Cyprus, CYTA will air the match. Meanwhile, on SportyTrader, you will also be able to follow the UEFA Champions League updates.
The Olympiacos v Pafos match will be hosted at Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki.
The Olympiacos v Pafos match will be played on Wednesday, 17th September.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
