OC Safi vs USM Alger Prediction & Betting Tips - Caf Confederation Cup

Africa - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
19/04/2026 15:00
USM Alger

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Caf Confederation Cup Predictions

Olympique de Safi and USM Alger will face off in the second leg of their CAF Confederation Cup semi-final clash on Sunday evening. The winner of this tie between the Sharks and the Red and Blacks will face either Zamalek or CR Belouizdad in the final of this year’s competition. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Olympique de Safi have enjoyed a dream run, reaching the semi-final of their first-ever Confederation Cup. They came away from the first leg of this tie in Algeria last week with a 0-0 draw. 

What made that outcome most impressive is that they ended the match with 10 men after their keeper Hamza Hamiani was sent off. The result marked their fifth game without defeat in all competitions. 

This week’s hosts are also unbeaten in their last five home matches in all competitions and only lost one of their six games on their home patch in this season’s Confederation Cup. 

Meanwhile, USM Alger are no strangers to the continental scene, but they will be kicking themselves for not making the most of their home advantage in the first leg last weekend. 

The Red and Blacks fired 17 shots at goal and five on target but failed to break the deadlock. They are now winless in their last four games in all competition, three of which ended in defeat. 

The visitors have also lost their last three away games and recorded only two wins in their five matches on the road in this competition (D1 L2). 

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OC Safi v USM Alger Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.5 2.8 2.9
Melbet
2.44 2.86 2.94
Betwinner
2.45 2.85 2.94
Bet365
2.5 2.7 2.9
Roobet
2.52 2.76 2.94
Check all OC Safi vs USM Alger odds

What is the prediction for the football match between OC Safi and USM Alger?

Our prediction for the OC Safi vs USM Alger match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between OC Safi and USM Alger in Caf Confederation Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.61% for a win of OC Safi against USM Alger with odds of 2.6 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between OC Safi vs USM Alger is 43.16% with odds of 2.86 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.22% chance ⭐ for a win of USM Alger vs OC Safi with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.

OC Safi - USM Alger Prediction and Best Odds:

OC Safi USM Alger Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 43.16% 2.86 at Melbet
Under 2.5 63.67% 1.76 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 52.08%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 30.09% 4 at Bet365

OC Safi vs USM Alger Form

OC Safi and USM Alger Last Matches

OC Safi
OC Safi Last matches
L D D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

4 Apr 2026 - Botola Pro

US Yacoub Mansour
1 :  3
OC Safi

1 Apr 2026 - Botola Pro

OC Safi
1 :  1
Renaissance de Berkane

22 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

WAC Casablanca
2 :  2
OC Safi

15 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
1 :  1
WAC Casablanca

7 Mar 2026 - Botola Pro

Raja Casablanca
2 :  0
OC Safi
L W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2026 - Botola Pro

OC Safi
1 :  1
Renaissance de Berkane

15 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
1 :  1
WAC Casablanca

28 Feb 2026 - Botola Pro

OC Safi
0 :  0
Olympique Dcheira

8 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
2 :  1
Djoliba AC

1 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
2 :  1
San Pedro

28 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
0 :  1
USM Alger
L D L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

4 Apr 2026 - Botola Pro

US Yacoub Mansour
1 :  3
OC Safi

22 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

WAC Casablanca
2 :  2
OC Safi

7 Mar 2026 - Botola Pro

Raja Casablanca
2 :  0
OC Safi

4 Mar 2026 - Botola Pro

KAC Marrakesh
1 :  1
OC Safi

20 Feb 2026 - Botola Pro

Codm Meknes
1 :  0
OC Safi
USM Alger
USM Alger Last matches
W W L L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

Chlef
2 :  1
USM Alger

1 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

MC Alger
1 :  0
USM Alger

25 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

USM Alger
0 :  1
JS Kabylie

22 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
1 :  0
Maniema Union

18 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

USM Alger
2 :  0
Setif
W D W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

0.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

25 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

USM Alger
0 :  1
JS Kabylie

22 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
1 :  0
Maniema Union

18 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

USM Alger
2 :  0
Setif

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

USM Alger
0 :  0
Constantine

4 Mar 2026 - Algerian Cup

USM Alger
1 :  0
JS Saoura
D W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

Chlef
2 :  1
USM Alger

1 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

MC Alger
1 :  0
USM Alger

15 Mar 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

Maniema Union
2 :  1
USM Alger

27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1 Mobilis

El Bayadh
0 :  0
USM Alger

8 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

San Pedro
2 :  3
USM Alger

1 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

Djoliba AC
0 :  0
USM Alger

OC Safi vs USM Alger Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

OC Safi

0 %

Draw

67 %

USM Alger

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.33
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

14 Feb 2026 - Caf Confederation Cup

USM Alger
0 :  0
OC Safi

28 Nov 2025 - Caf Confederation Cup

OC Safi
0 :  1
USM Alger

OC Safi - USM Alger Key Points

  1. Three of Olympique de Safi’s last four Confederation Cup games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.
  2. Olympique de Safi have not conceded more than one goal in any of their last six home games.
  3. Three of USM Alger’s last four Confederation Cup games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.
  4. USM Alger have failed to score in four of their last seven away games in all competitions.
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Our OC Safi vs USM Alger Prediction

Olympique de Safi have done remarkably well to reach the last final four in their first-ever Confederation Cup campaign, and they will undoubtedly have been the happier of the teams with the goalless draw in the first leg. 

USM Alger were wasteful at home last week and now have to find a way to break the deadlock on the road. However, we feel that clear-cut chances will be at a premium in this match, and the first goal could easily turn out to be the winner. Our Olympique de Safi vs USM Alger prediction is less than 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis OC Safi USM Alger

OC Safi vs USM Alger Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
OC Safi wins 2.55 2.6 +2.0%
Draw 2.85 2.86 +0.4%
USM Alger wins 3.05 3.05 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 35.0% (-0.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

OC Safi vs USM Alger Prediction