Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
The mounting danger of the relegation zone looms large as Nottingham Forest and Leeds face off on matchday 11 of the 2025-26 English Premier League. This match at the City Ground between the 19th-placed Tricky Trees and the 16th-placed Whites comes with our prediction of a home win.
Forest’s six points before this round (W1, D3, L6) put them four points adrift of the safety zone, while Leeds are fairly safe and start this round with 11 points (W3, D2, L5), although they haven’t yet built a buffer around the relegation zone.
With consecutive draws in the Europa League and against Manchester United last matchday, Forest seem to be shaping up for survival. Their performances at home will be monitored closely, as they won four points from their last two home matches. Leeds have been struggling to adapt to the top flight and come here after losing three in the last four. To add to that, they were beaten in four of their five away league fixtures. Can Leeds rise to the occasion and surprise their hosts? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nottingham Forest v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.1 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Leeds match is: Nottingham Forest Wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Nottingham Forest and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.99% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Leeds with odds of 2.39 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Leeds is 21.17% with odds of 3.45 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 3.72 at 888Starz.
Nottingham Forest - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nottingham Forest Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 40.99% | 2.39 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.16% | 2.43 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 38.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nottingham Forest | 15.36% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Form
Nottingham Forest and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
19 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -7 |
|
17
|
18 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -10 |
Nottingham Forest and Leeds Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
17 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2020 - Championship
10 Aug 2019 - Championship
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
27 Oct 2018 - Championship
Nottingham Forest - Leeds: Form Analysis
Forest drew 0-0 away at Sturm Graz in the Europa League, but their main focus is on improving domestically. They held Manchester United to a 2-2 draw last time out, while they were beaten just once in their last four league matches.
Playing at home hasn’t been a pleasant experience either, as Forest have been beaten in four of their last six home games. That said, they remain unbeaten in their last two home fixtures (W1, D1), giving confidence of beating the trend.
Forest are unbeaten in 13 top-flight home matches against Leeds (W6, D7).
History may be unkind to Leeds, but they are not helping themselves this season with poor results. A 3-0 away at Brighton last weekend was their third defeat in four league games (W1, L3), with only the win over West Ham being an exception.
The record gets dire playing away from home, as Leeds lost four of their five recent league trips (W1). All four of those defeats saw them fail to score, so the visiting fans will be jittery.
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Players list
M. Sels
DefenderN. Savona
N. Milenkovic
N. Williams
MidfielderMurillo
R. Yates
E. Anderson
Morato
O. Hutchinson
ForwardD. Ndoye
T. Awoniyi
L. Perri
DefenderJ. Bogle
J. Rodon
P. Struijk
J. Harrison
E. Ampadu
MidfielderD. James
J. Piroe
A. Stach
ForwardN. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes
J. Victor
DefenderMorato
J. Cunha
Z. Abbott
MidfielderO. Hutchinson
R. Yates
J. McAtee
ForwardA. Kalimuendo
T. Awoniyi
K. Darlow
DefenderP. Struijk
J. Justin
MidfielderI. Gruev
J. Harrison
A. Tanaka
ForwardD. Calvert-Lewin
D. James
J. Piroe
Missing players
A. Gunn
DefenderO. Aina
O. Zinchenko
MidfielderD. Luiz
ForwardD. Bakwa
C. Wood
C. Hudson-Odoi
S. Bornauw
ForwardG. Wilfried
Nottingham Forest & Leeds Squad Analysis
Forest have a lengthy injury list, and that was augmented last week when Douglas Luiz was forced off last matchday. Callum Hudson-Odoi missed the game on Thursday with an injury, while Chris Wood remains doubtful with a knee problem.
That leaves Igor Jesus to lead the 4-2-3-1 formation with the likes of Dan Ndoye and Morgan Gibbs-White slotting behind in the midfield. Wood’s goals are a miss, but Forest will be looking for more goals from the rest of the pack.
Gibbs-White has two goals in his last four games for Forest.
Leeds are likely to leave it till late before a decision on Wilfried Gnonto will be taken. Daniel James is all set to start, unless the visitors choose to start him on the bench.
The Lilywhites have usually featured in a 4-3-3 formation, although their latest fixture was in a 4-1-4-1 system. Dominic Calvert-Lewin is likely to lead the line, either alone or as part of a three-man line. Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor have two goals each this season and are likely to push for pace on the wings.
Most goals and assists
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Igor Jesus
(7 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(7 Goals)
M. Gibbs-White
(3 Assists)
S. Longstaff
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bogle
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Stach
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Bijol
(2 Assists)
, 
B. Aaronson
(2 Assists)
Nottingham Forest - Leeds Key Points
- Nottingham lost only one of their last four competitive matches, drawing two and winning once.
- Forest won and drew their last two home matches in all competitions.
- Leeds were beaten in three of their last four league fixtures.
- On the road, Leeds lost four of their five league matches this season.
- Forest won two of their last three matches against Leeds in all competitions.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction
Both teams are struggling for impact and are either in the relegation zone or are hovering around it. Forest are already four points behind the safety zone, and hence even a win won’t pull them out of the red zone. Leeds have a four-point cushion over the relegation zone, but their away form has been dire. Four defeats in their five away league games this season, with all four coming without scoring, is a mounting concern for Leeds.
That could continue here, and our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds prediction is Nottingham Forest wins.
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions
Morgan Gibbs-White to score anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nottingham Forest Leeds
| Nottingham Forest vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest wins | 2.3 | 2.2 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3 | -6.3% |
| Leeds wins | 3.2 | 3.6 | +12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nottingham Forest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 45.5% (2.0%)
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Nottingham Forest vs Leeds - FAQs
The Nottingham Forest vs Leeds English Premier League match will be shown live on the Sky Sports Main Event TV channel. It will also be streamed on the Sky Sport+ and Sky Go Apps.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Jarred Gillett is the match referee for this Nottingham Forest vs Leeds English Premier League fixture. He will be assisted on the pitch by the duo of Neil Davies and Edward Smart, while Anthony Taylor will be the fourth official. In the crucial VAR room, it will be Matt Donohue who will be the VAR and Wade Smith who will be the VAR assistant.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
