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Norwich vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Norwich
26/08/2025 14:45
Southampton

Prediction :

 

goal range 2-4 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Carabao Cup Predictions

Norwich will play host to Southampton in this Carabao Cup second round fixture at Carrow Road. Can the Canaries see off the Saints to qualify for the third round of the competition? Check out our prediction for the match below.

Norwich are grappling with mixed fortunes this season. The Canaries began their campaign with a disappointing 2-1 home defeat against Millwall in the Championship's opening weekend. However, they were able to bounce back in their next match, edging out Watford 2-1 away in the Carabao Cup first round. 

Their most recent fixture ended in a 2-1 home loss against Middlesbrough. The onus is now on the Liam Manning-led side to avoid a second straight defeat and secure their place in the third round of the Carabao Cup.

Mateus Fernandes' 48th-minute strike was all Southampton needed to defeat Northampton at Sixfields Stadium and book their place in the Carabao Cup second round. This result marked their second straight victory after their Championship opening-day win versus Wrexham. 

However, they have stumbled in their last two matches, failing to pick up a win in any of them. This includes a 2-1 defeat at home against Stoke City last weekend. The Southampton-based outfit will look to return to winning ways as they travel to face familiar foes, Norwich in this winner-takes-all fixture.

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The Best Betting Odds for Norwich v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.9 3.4 2.35
Betfred
3 3.4 2.38
William Hill
2.8 3.4 2.3
Betway
2.75 3.5 2.38
Unibet
2.8 3.7 2.32
Check all Norwich vs Southampton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Norwich vs Southampton match is: goal range 2-4 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/08/2025 between Norwich and Southampton in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.58% for a win of Norwich against Southampton with odds of 3 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Southampton is 27.6% with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Norwich with odds of 2.4 at 22bet.

Norwich - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:

Norwich Southampton Prediction Probability Odds
Norwich wins 38.58% 3 at Betfred
Over 2.5 goals 54.62% 1.93 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 74.17% 1.62 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Norwich 18.3% 7 at Bet365

Norwich vs Southampton Form

Norwich and Southampton Last Matches

Norwich
Norwich Last matches
D W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Norwich

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  2
Norwich

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Millwall

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
2 :  0
NAC Breda

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

ADO The Hague
0 :  0
Norwich
W W D W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Millwall

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
2 :  0
NAC Breda

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
1 :  1
Volendam

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
3 :  1
Northampton Town

3 May 2025 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  2
Cardiff
D D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  2
Norwich

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  2
Norwich

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

ADO The Hague
0 :  0
Norwich

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Olympiacos
3 :  0
Norwich

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Zulte Waregem
1 :  1
Norwich

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Norwich
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L D W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Northampton Town
0 :  1
Southampton

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Wrexham

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Espanyol
2 :  1
Southampton
D L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Wrexham

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
1 :  0
Valenciennes

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Arsenal

10 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  0
Manchester City
L W D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Northampton Town
0 :  1
Southampton

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Espanyol
2 :  1
Southampton

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

CD Castellon
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Eastleigh
1 :  2
Southampton

18 May 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Southampton

Norwich vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Norwich

17 %

Draw

33 %

Southampton

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
2.17
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

1 Jan 2024 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Aug 2023 - Championship

Southampton
4 :  4
Norwich

25 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  0
Norwich

20 Nov 2021 - Premier League

Norwich
2 :  1
Southampton

19 Jun 2020 - Premier League

Norwich
0 :  3
Southampton

4 Dec 2019 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  1
Norwich
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Norwich vs Southampton last Lineups

Norwich

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
V. Kovacevic
5
J. Medic
6
H. Darling
33
J. Cordoba
3
J. Stacey
22
M. Topic
16
J. Wright
19
P. Diallo
17
A. Crnac
11
E. Marcondes
9
J. Sargent
46
J. Robinson
18
M. Fernandes
9
A. Armstrong
24
S. Charles
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
4
F. Downes
5
J. Stephens
15
N. Wood
34
Welington
26
R. Fraser
31
G. Bazunu

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Southampton

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Norwich
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Sargent (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Robinson (1 Goals) England T. Harwood-Bellis (1 Goals) England J. Stephens (1 Goals) Rep. of Ireland R. Manning (1 Goals) Portugal M. Fernandes (1 Goals)
Best assists
Panama J. Cordoba (1 Assists)
Scotland K. McLean (1 Assists)
Best assists
Scotland R. Fraser (1 Assists)
Portugal M. Fernandes (1 Assists)

Norwich - Southampton Key Points

  1. Each of Norwich’s four matches this season has produced three goals.
  2. Norwich have scored and conceded in each of their four matches this season.
  3. Six of Norwich’s last eight meetings with Southampton have ended with between two and four goals scored.
  4. Three of Southampton’s four matches this season have produced between two and three goals.
  5. Southampton have scored and conceded in three of their four matches this season.
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Our Norwich vs Southampton Prediction

The two teams will enter this match on the back of defeats in their respective Championship fixtures last weekend. We expect a close contest as both teams lock horns to return to winning ways and also book their place in the Carabao Cup third round.

Meanwhile, their attacking strength and defensive challenges this season is worth noting. Six of their eight most recent meetings have produced between two and four total goals, and this match is not likely to be a departure. Hence, our Norwich vs Southampton prediction is goal range 2-4 goals. 

Prediction :

 

goal range 2-4 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norwich Southampton

Norwich vs Southampton Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Norwich wins 3 2.9 -3.3%
Draw 3.4 3.4 0%
Southampton wins 2.3 2.35 +2.2%
Latest odds movements:

At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Norwich is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 34.5% (1.1%)

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bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Norwich vs Southampton Prediction
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