Norwich vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
Championship action continues at Carrow Road on Saturday, with Norwich City playing host to Burnley. The last two games between these sides ended with 2-1 scorelines, and our prediction is that there will be goals in this one as well.
Norwich City booked their spot in the third round of this season's Carabao Cup by beating Cardiff City 2-1 on the road on Tuesday. They defeated MK Dons in the opening round of that competition.
However, the Canaries will be hoping to carry that momentum into their league campaign, where they are still seeking their first point, following back-to-back losses to West Brom and Millwall.
The hosts have been decent at home lately, earning 13 points from their last eight league matches at Carrow Road (W4 D2 L2), but they have lost their last two against this opponent at this venue.
Meanwhile, Burnley survived a penalty shootout in the opening round of the Carabao Cup against Notts County, but they were unable to do so again on Wednesday when they bowed out to Bradford City.
The Clarets' league results have also been disappointing. They kicked off the season with a 2-2 draw against West Ham before suffering a deflating 3-1 loss away to West Brom last weekend.
The visitors have now lost each of their last seven away games in all competitions. The last time they tasted victory on the road was in early February against Crystal Palace in the top flight.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Norwich v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.00 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.73 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.60 | 3.32 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.64 | 3.46 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Norwich vs Burnley match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2026 between Norwich and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.37% for a win of Norwich against Burnley with odds of 2.09 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norwich vs Burnley is 30.25% with odds of 3.73 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Norwich with odds of 3.64 at Betwinner.
Norwich - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Norwich Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 44.37% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.61% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Norwich | 22.92% | 5.50 at Bet365 |
Norwich vs Burnley Form
Norwich and Burnley's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 |
|
22
|
8 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 |
Norwich and Burnley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Norwich vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Dec 2024 - Championship
4 Feb 2023 - Championship
25 Oct 2022 - Championship
10 Apr 2022 - Premier League
2 Oct 2021 - Premier League
Norwich against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Grimshaw
DefenderH. Darling
D. Yongwa
K. Fisher
MidfielderA. Slimane
J. Wright
M. Kvistgaarden
A. Crnac
P. Diallo
G. Coudert
DefenderS. Sambo
J. Worrall
H. Ekdal
MidfielderU. Raghouber
Z. Amdouni
A. Hountondji
M. Tresor
M. Edwards
Missing players
M. Topic
ForwardA. Ahmed
J. Cullen
Most goals and assists
Norwich
Burnley
M. Toure
(5 Goals)
Z. Amdouni
(3 Goals)
M. Kvistgaarden
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Brooks
(2 Assists)
, 
P. Maghoma
(2 Assists)
,
O. Schwartau
(2 Assists)
L. Pires
(4 Assists)
Norwich - Burnley Key Points
- All four of Norwich’s games in all competitions this season ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Norwich have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight competitive home games.
- Both of Burnley’s league games this season ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Burnley have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six away league games.
- Each of the last three matches between these sides ended with 3+ goals.
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Our Norwich vs Burnley Prediction
Norwich have made a good start to their EFL Cup campaign, but they have yet to find the same success in the league, where they have lost both games and already conceded five goals in two games.
Burnley have looked very poor in the early stages of the season, and many of their issues revolve around their defence, which has also conceded five goals in their two league matches. With two questionable defences on display here, we feel there will be goals in this match. Our Norwich vs Burnley prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Norwich Burnley
| Norwich vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich wins | 2.50 | 2.09 | -16.4% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | +5.1% |
| Burnley wins | 2.55 | 3.64 | +42.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Norwich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 47.8% (7.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Norwich vs. Burnley game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
