Norway vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Senegal could be looking at an early exit if they fail to win against Norway on matchday two of Group I in the 2026 World Cup. Norway are leading the group with three points after a 4-1 win over Iraq, while Senegal are third after losing 3-1 to France. If Iraq surprises France with a win on this matchday, then Senegal could be eliminated with a loss to Norway. The 'Vikings' could confirm their knockout qualification with a win, so will they and the 'Lions of Teranga' dish out a thrilling game?
Superstar Erling Haaland scored twice on his World Cup debut as Norway broke to a 4-1 win over Iraq. It was a stunning return to the global stage after a 28-year absence for the Vikings, who can confirm their top-two spot without worrying about the final group game against France.
Senegal were impressive in the first half but wilted under the quality of France in a 3-1 defeat in their first match. They are now under pressure to improve or perish with eliminating staring them in the face. Can they improve and get a positive result against Norway? Time to read our analysis and match predictions.
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Norway v Senegal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 3.4 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.55 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.42 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.42 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.55 | 3.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Senegal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/06/2026 between Norway and Senegal in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.93% for a win of Norway against Senegal with odds of 2.38 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Senegal is 21.05% with odds of 3.55 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Norway with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
Norway vs Senegal Form
Norway and Senegal's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Norway and Senegal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
Norway - Senegal: Form Analysis
Norway recorded their largest ever win in a World Cup finals game as they overcame a dogged Iraqi side. All thanks to Haaland's brace, with his 29th and 43rd minute goals edging the encounter before late goals added cushion in the 4-1 win.
The Vikings have now gone four games unbeaten (W2, D2) and have lost just once in their last 17 fixtures (W13, D3). Their defense could come under scrutiny, though, as Norway conceded in seven of their last eight games.
Norway scored 3 or more goals in four of their last seven games.
Senegal held France goalless for more than 60 minutes, but Kylian Mbappe punished them late in a 3-1 defeat. It was a bitter pill to swallow as the Lions of Teranga dominated the first half and should have done better in the final third.
The loss makes it three games without a win for Senegal (D1, L2), who have struggled for wins recently. Only two victories in their last six games (D1, L3) put them in a tricky spot with the looming prospect of a final match day against Iraq to see who finishes third.
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Norway vs Senegal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
E. Selvik
DefenderF. Bjorkan
M. Holmgren Pedersen
L. Ostigard
S. Langas
H. Falchener
MidfielderO. Bobb
K. Thorstvedt
M. Thorsby
P. Berg
T. Aasgaard
J. Hauge
A. Schjelderup
ForwardJ. Strand Larsen
M. Diaw
Y. Diouf
DefenderM. Sarr
A. Mendy
A. Seck
I. Jakobs
MidfielderH. Diarra
B. Ndiaye
P. Sarr
P. Ciss
ForwardI. Ndiaye
A. Diao
I. Mbaye
B. Dieng
C. Ndiaye
Norway & Senegal Squad Analysis
Norway came out unscathed from the game against Iraq, although Martin Odegaard's fitness remains a concern. The Arsenal playmaker was substituted after 81 minutes, although it was more of a precaution to save him for the rest of the tournament.
The Vikings used a 4-1-4-1 formation against Iraq, a minor change from their usual 4-4-2. They have the tactical flexibility to have two strikers up front, with Alexander Sorloth pairing up with Haaland.
Haaland scored at least twice in five of his last seven games for Norway.
Senegal also didn't report any major injuries after their game against France. They used a 4-2-3-1 system in that fixture, although in recent times the Africans have shown enough flexibility for a 4-1-4-1 formation.
That could see Nicolas Jackson as the lone striker, although he missed a big chance and had just 14% success in duels against France. The young PSG forward Ibrahim Mbaye showed enough glimpses of his talent in a 15-minute cameo and could be pushing for a starting role here.
Most goals and assists
Norway
Senegal
E. Haaland
(2 Goals)
I. Mbaye
(1 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(1 Assists)
,
D. Moller Wolfe
(1 Assists)
I. Ndiaye
(1 Assists)
Norway - Senegal Key Points
- Seven of Norway’s last eight matches have seen both teams score goals.
- Norway failed to score just once in their last 20 matches.
- Three of Senegal’s last four matches have returned goals from both teams.
- Senegal’s last three matches at the World Cup finals have seen BTTS.
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Our Norway vs Senegal Prediction
This is a must-win for both teams for contrasting reasons. A loss here for Norway would put pressure on winning their final group game against France. Senegal would be closer to the exit door if they lost here, especially with two defeats out of two, even though they could still be in the reckoning to finish third. Both teams have shown in recent times that they have the ability to score at will, so this could be a free-flowing game.
Both teams have had issues defensively, so our Norway vs Senegal prediction is BTTS.
Norway vs Senegal Alternative Predictions
Norway wins
With a superstar like Erling Haaland in their side, do Norway have an edge? Not just him, Odegaard's form also tilt the balance in their favor. Senegal have shown against France that they are vulnerable to quality, and that could be their downfall against Norway too. Back the Vikings to win.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Norway vs. Senegal game!
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Norway vs Senegal - FAQs
The Norway vs Senegal World Cup match will be shown live on NRK and TV2, while RTS are the broadcasters in Senegal. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
