Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
This Nations League Group C3 match sees Northern Ireland take on Luxembourg in a rare clash between the two nations. The Green and White Army has Michael O'Neill back in charge for a second spell, and they hope he can restore form to a young and inexperienced team. Luxembourg, The Red Lions , won't be pushovers, as Luc Holtz has marshalled this team into an effective unit. Which one of the Group C3 hopefuls will our prediction back?
Northern Ireland came into this game after losing just one of their last five, which came away to Euro 2024 winners Spain in June. They recorded excellent wins over Denmark and Scotland in that run, beating Andorra and drawing away to Romania.
O'Neill will undoubtedly be relying on a number of exciting young talents, including Conor Bradley of Liverpool, Ross McCausland of Rangers and Isaac Price of Standard Liege to take his team on to the next level.
Luxembourg are far from the whipping boys of European football nowadays. Luc Holtz has them playing some good football, and they have earned some eye-catching wins in recent times, such as a 4-1 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina back in November 2023. However, their recent form, three defeats in four games, isn't great heading into this opening fixture of the Nations League.
Striking duo Gerson Rodrigues and Danel Sinani will be the main threat in attack for Luxembourg. At the same time, Benfica midfielder Leandro Barreiro could earn his 57th cap in this game at the tender age of 24.
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The Best Betting Odds for Northern Ireland v Luxembourg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.5 | 6.5 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.3 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.59 | 6.92 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.59 | 6.92 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.28 | 3.82 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.4 | 6.2 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.32 | 3.84 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.3 | 3.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Northern Ireland and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg match is: Northern Ireland to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Northern Ireland and Luxembourg in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.09% for a win of Northern Ireland against Luxembourg with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg is 13.24% with odds of 3.59 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland with odds of 6.92 at 1xbet.
Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northern Ireland Luxembourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 58.09% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 56.39% | 2.07 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 27.08% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Northern Ireland/Northern Ireland | 31.13% | 3.2 at Ladbrokes |
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Form
Northern Ireland and Luxembourg's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
Northern Ireland and Luxembourg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
Northern Ireland against Luxembourg : Head to Head (H2H)
25 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
Northern Ireland against Luxembourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Key Points
- Northern Ireland come into this game with just one defeat in their last five (away to Spain).
- Luxembourg have lost three of their last four, failing to score in each of those games.
- Currently, Northern Ireland are ranked 74th in the FIFA Rankings, Luxembourg are 84th.
- Luxembourg have scored just five against Northern Ireland, conceding 11 in the five matches between the two.
- In five games between the teams, Northern Ireland has won three, Luxembourg one, with one draw.
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Our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction
Our prediction for Northern Ireland vs. Luxembourg in the Nations League Group C3 is: Northern Ireland to win.
This Nations League group is wide open, so a good start is imperative for the teams. Northern Ireland have home advantage, better recent form and also have the benefit of winning the two most recent games between the two. That includes a 3-1 win in Luxembourg in 2022. Michael O'Neill worked wonders in his first spell as Norn Iron boss and he will be keen to get this campaign off positively here. The data suggests a closed game, but the Irish to win it.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Northern Ireland Luxembourg
| Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 2.1 | 1.62 | -22.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Luxembourg wins | 3.5 | 6.5 | +85.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Northern Ireland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 61.7% (14.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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