Nice vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Nice
22/08/2026 14:45
Lorient

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Nice will be seeking a flying start in Ligue 1 after surviving through the playoffs last season. Their campaign starts at home to Lorient, who had a rather positive season. Four times in the last six meetings, these sides drew, and our prediction is for the same.

Nice had a torrid campaign last season, finishing low in the Europa League and Ligue 1, before losing in the French Cup final. Their turnaround came in the relegation playoff, and Les Aiglons will be gunning for a good start, and a better season.

Their poor run occasioned fan unrest, and that is another concern the club will be dealing with. At home, Nice are currently winless in 11 league games, seven ending in draws.

In the last five seasons, Nice failed to win on matchday one, and Lorient will be keen on taking advantage. The visitors had a better season last term, finishing 10th.

However, their form wasn’t too inspiring towards the end of the campaign. They won just two of their last eight league matches, and a better start will be welcome here.

Losing key players in Bamba Dieng and Pablo Pagis doesn’t help as Alexandre Dujeux looks to settle in well. The fact that Lorient have only won once in the last eight games against Nice means Dujeux must plan his debut with much caution.

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Nice v Lorient Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
2.48 3.30 3.10
1xbet
2.34 3.36 3.26
Melbet
2.41 3.26 3.02
Betwinner
2.39 3.32 2.99
22bet
2.30 3.28 3.19

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What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lorient?

Our prediction for the Nice vs Lorient match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Nice and Lorient in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.36% for a win of Nice against Lorient with odds of 2.48 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lorient is 34.84% with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Nice with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.

Nice - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:

Nice Lorient Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 34.84% 3.70 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 57.22% 2.22 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 53.33%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 14.3% 5.75 at LSbet

Nice vs Lorient Form

Nice and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lorient
12 8 3 3 2 +1
10 Nice
11 8 3 2 3 -2

Nice and Lorient Last Matches

Nice
Nice Last matches
W W W L D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hull
0 :  0
Nice

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Juventus
2 :  0
Nice

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
0 :  3
Nice

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nice
4 :  0
Nimes

29 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
4 :  1
Saint Etienne
L D D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nice
4 :  0
Nimes

29 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
4 :  1
Saint Etienne

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Metz

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Lens

12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Le Havre

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  4
PSG
L D W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Hull
0 :  0
Nice

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Juventus
2 :  0
Nice

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
0 :  3
Nice

26 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
0 :  0
Nice

22 May 2026 - French Cup

Lens
3 :  1
Nice
Lorient
Lorient Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
Lorient

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
2 :  1
Lorient

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
5 :  1
UNFP Selection

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Guingamp
0 :  2
Lorient

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
1 :  0
Nantes

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

US Concarneau
1 :  2
Lorient
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
5 :  1
UNFP Selection

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lorient
1 :  0
Nantes

17 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  2
Le Havre

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  3
Strasbourg

18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Marseille

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Paris FC
D W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Spvgg Elversberg
4 :  1
Lorient

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
2 :  1
Lorient

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Guingamp
0 :  2
Lorient

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

US Concarneau
1 :  2
Lorient

10 May 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  4
Lorient

2 May 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  2
Lorient

Nice vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nice

17 %

Draw

67 %

Lorient

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
0 :  0
Nice

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  1
Nice

19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  0
Lorient

20 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Nice

19 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Lorient
Nice vs Lorient Prediction

Nice against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11

Nice

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

23
Y. Diouf
33
A. Mendy
55
Y. Ndayishimiye
35
X. Mandza
92
J. Clauss
39
D. Coulibaly
87
E. Pereira
26
M. Bard
7
G. Hein
10
S. Diop
44
Z. Diallo
17
J. Makengo
33
G. Bernardeau
42
M. Kone
43
A. Kouassi
8
N. Cadiou
62
A. Ebong
11
T. Le Bris
32
N. Adjei
3
M. Talbi
20
D. Sylla
38
Y. Mvogo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lorient

Substitutes

Nice
Nice
Goalkeeper

T. Boulhendi

Defender

M. Abdelmoneim

H. Koutoune

B. Mantsounga

Midfielder

A. Camara

I. Camara

N. N`Goumou

I. Jansson

Forward

M. Cho

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

S. Toure

A. Georgen

Midfielder

N. Mbamba

P. Katseris

D. Semedo

B. Fadiga

Forward

S. Faye

T. Aiyegun

Missing players

Nice
Nice
Defender

A. Abdi

M. Bombito

Midfielder

A. Witsel

M. Sanson

L. Abergel

H. Boudaoui

Forward

M. Amoura

Lorient
Lorient
Forward

B. Mohamed

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nice
CD Huachipato Lorient
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast E. Wahi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France J. Makengo (1 Goals) ,  Ivory Coast M. Kone (1 Goals) ,  Belgium N. Mbamba (1 Goals) ,  France I. Balde (1 Goals) ,  Denmark I. Jensen (1 Goals) ,  France G. Bernardeau (1 Goals) ,  N. Cadiou (1 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco S. Diop (2 Assists)
Best assists
Greece P. Katseris (3 Assists)

Nice - Lorient Key Points

  1. Six of Nice’s last 10 matches ended in draws.
  2. Lorient posted two wins in their last eight matches.
  3. Nice drew five times in their last eight home games, winning once.
  4. These two sides drew four times in their last six meetings.
  5. Half of Lorient’s last six away matches ended in draws.
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Our Nice vs Lorient Prediction

These two sides will be gunning for fast starts to the season, but there is a lot working against them coming into this game. Nice had a poor season last term and had to secure their Ligue 1 place through the playoffs. Seven of the last nine matches they hosted ended in draws.

Lorient may want to take advantage of Nice’s winless run, but they have also not been superb in their latest competitive matches. In the last eight games, the visitors managed just two wins. With this fixture producing a draw four times in the last six meetings, our prediction for Nice v Auxerre is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lorient

Nice vs Lorient Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nice wins 2.22 2.48 +11.7%
Draw 3.60 3.70 +2.8%
Lorient wins 3.29 3.26 -0.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 27.0% (-0.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.