England - League Two
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by Steve Ashfield in Football Predictions
These two clubs had contrasting 2024-25 seasons. Newport County only just avoided relegation and they begin this new season with a home game against Notts County who lost in the play-offs. Can the Magpies start with an away win? Here's our match prediction.
Newport ended last term one place and seven points ahead of relegation to the National League. That poor performance led to a managerial change in the summer. Former Manchester United academy manager David Hughes is now in charge.
There have been transfers aplenty and the arrival of Matt Smith is an eye-catching one. Last season saw them ten home league games but just three on their travels.
Notts County finished sixth in League Two last term and then lost in the play-off semi-finals. They had the second best away record with ten victories. They have also changed their manager with Martin Paterson taking over.
A new approach is being taken by them with a 'technical board' putting heavy reliance on stats and data. They earned four points against Newport last season and are unbeaten against them in four matches with only one goal being conceded.
County are one of the favorites to be promoted and we tip them to begin this new season with an away win..
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The Best Betting Odds for Newport County v Notts County Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
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5 | 3.75 | 1.7 |
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4.6 | 3.75 | 1.7 |
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4.5 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
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4.7 | 4.1 | 1.63 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newport County and Notts County?
Our prediction for the Newport County vs Notts County match is: Notts County to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/08/2025 between Newport County and Notts County in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.33% for a win of Newport County against Notts County with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newport County vs Notts County is 26.43% with odds of 4.1 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Notts County vs Newport County with odds of 1.72 at Betobet.
Newport County - Notts County Prediction and Best Odds:
Newport County Notts County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Notts County wins | 46.24% | 1.72 at Betobet |
Under 2.5 | 54.85% | 2.05 at Betfair |
Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Notts County | 18.27% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Newport County vs Notts County Form
Newport County and Notts County Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jul 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
1 Apr 2025 - League Two
29 Mar 2025 - League Two
15 Mar 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jul 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - League Two

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
11 Apr 2025 - League Two
2 Apr 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - League Two
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
Newport County vs Notts County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2025 - League Two
23 Nov 2024 - League Two
13 Feb 2024 - League Two
Most goals and assists




Newport County - Notts County Key Points
- Newport finished 22nd in the table last season.
- Newport have lost three of their last four games against Notts County.
- Newport are favorites to be relegated this season.
- Notts County had the second best away record in League Two last season.
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Our Newport County vs Notts County Prediction
Notts County only missed out on automatic promoton by five points last season. Their promotion dreams then perished in the play-offs and they will hope to do better this season. Last term saw them win ten away league games and earn four points out of six against Newport.
The home side have made plenty of changes during the summer after nearly being relegated last season. They look stronger than last season but will need to improve their away form. Our Newport County v Notts County prediction is Notts County to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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