England - League Two
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by Ian John in Football Predictions
Saturday lunchtime sees League Two action at Rodney Parade as hosts Newport County seek their first home win of the new season against strong opponents in the shape of MK Dons. The Exiles sole win this season came away from home and their home form is a real concern heading into this game against the Dons, who are yet to taste defeat in the league. Which of the two teams will our prediction for this match back for the victory?
The two teams' differing starts to the season are reflected in their positions in the early league table. After the midweek games, Newport County lie in 16th place in the table with four points from their four fixtures. In contrast, MK Dons strong start sees them currently occupying fifth spot in the league table with eight points from four games. Impressively, they have conceded just one goal in their four league matches so far this season.
Newport come into this game on the back of three successive defeats, two of which came at home. They lost 1-0 to Millwall at home in the EFL Cup before a 2-1 defeat away to Grimsby last weekend. They then were beaten 1-0 at Rodney Parade in midweek by Salford City.
MK Dons form is much more impressive with a 5-0 win over Cheltenham Town last weekend followed by a 1-1 draw away to Crawley Town in midweek.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newport County v Milton Keynes Dons Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.65 |
|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.6 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.8 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newport County and Milton Keynes Dons?
Our prediction for the Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons match is: MK Dons wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Newport County and Milton Keynes Dons in League Two :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.46% for a win of Newport County against Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 5.25 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons is 26.45% with odds of 4.1 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County with odds of 1.74 at 888Starz.
Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons Form
Newport County and Milton Keynes Dons's standings in the League Two
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
|
16
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
Newport County and Milton Keynes Dons Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
29 Jul 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
3 May 2025 - League Two
21 Apr 2025 - League Two
12 Apr 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
29 Jul 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - League Two
2 Aug 2025 - League Two
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - League Two
18 Apr 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2025 - League Two
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League Two
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Apr 2025 - League Two
21 Dec 2024 - League Two
24 Feb 2024 - League Two
Most goals and assists
Newport County
Milton Keynes Dons
C. Antwi
(1 Goals)
,
M. Reindorf
(1 Goals)
,
G. Garner
(1 Goals)
, 
L. Shephard
(1 Goals)
,
K. Whitmore
(1 Goals)
,
M. Baker
(1 Goals)
C. Paterson
(2 Goals)
,
A. Gilbey
(2 Goals)
Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Key Points
- Newport County have lost two of their three home games this season, drawing the other.
- MK Dons are unbeaten this season home or away.
- Newport have scored just one goal in three home games (conceding three).
- No team has conceded fewer than MK Dons one goal conceded this season in League One.
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Our Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
Our prediction for the Newport County vs. MK Dons League Two match is: MK Dons wins the match.
Newport County's struggles at home continue this season and they face a huge test here against an MK Dons side that has a very strong attack, but which also has the best defence in League Two, conceding just once in four games. The visitors also have won over half their contests against their Welsh hosts (winning five of nine games) and their current form means it is a simple pick to back them for the win here.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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