England - Carabao Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo in Carabao Cup Predictions
Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur are set to face off in one of the most entertaining clashes in the English Cup. They cross paths in the fourth round of the EFL Cup, with the match being played at the home team's ground the St. James' Park. Check out our match prediction.
Newcastle United have a target on their backs in the EFL Cup this season, considering they are the defending champions. The previous edition was a historic moment for the Magpies, who clinched their first-ever title in this competition. This also marked their first major trophy since the 1968–69 season.
Tottenham Hotspur, on the other hand, have a storied history in the EFL Cup with the club emerging as champions on four occasions. However, the last time they clinched a trophy in this competition was in the 2007-08 season. In the previous edition, they were eliminated in the semi-finals and will hope for a more improved display this time around.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Tottenham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.71 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
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1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
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1.73 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
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1.7 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
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1.61 | 4 | 5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Tottenham match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2025 between Newcastle and Tottenham in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.87% for a win of Newcastle against Tottenham with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Tottenham is 27.47% with odds of 4 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Newcastle with odds of 5 at Unibet.
Newcastle vs Tottenham Form
Newcastle and Tottenham Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Tottenham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Sept 2024 - Premier League
22 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Apr 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Tottenham: Form Analysis
Newcastle United comes into this match full of confidence. The home team have won four of their last five competitive matches across all competitions, including a two-match winning streak.
The Magpies' recent match was a league outing against Fulham at home. Jacob Murphy opened the scoring within the first 18 minutes, while Bruno Guimaraes scored the winning goal late in the game to guide the team to a 2-1 victory.
Eddie Howe's men now turn their attention to the EFL Cup. Their first match in this competition was a fairly easy assignment as they were pitted against Bradford City in the third round. The outcome was a comfortable 4-1 home victory.
Newcastle United's last home defeat against Tottenham was in October 2021.
Despite being labeled as the underdogs in their recent Premier League game against Everton, Tottenham Hotspur managed to ease past with a comfortable 3-0 win at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
That result ended a two-match winless streak across all competitions. Another positive that came with that result was that it extended their unbeaten run on the road to seven matches.
The Lilywhites began the EFL Cup in the third round. Their opponents were Doncaster Rovers, and they won 3-0 at home. It wasn't one of their best performance against a League One side, especially in the offensive output, producing a mere 1.62 expected goals (xG).
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Newcastle vs Tottenham last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
T. Livramento
L. Hall
MidfielderY. Wissa
R. Dragusin
K. Takai
B. Davies
D. Udogie
C. Romero
MidfielderY. Bissouma
J. Maddison
D. Kulusevski
ForwardD. Solanke
Newcastle & Tottenham Squad Analysis
Newcastle United are expected to make some minor rotations. Jacob Murphy, who started against Fulham last time out, will watch the game from the sidelines as Harvey Barnes drifts out to the left wing.
Barnes produced an assist in his match against Bradford City, and all eyes will be on the creative player to deliver once again.
Head coach Eddie Howe has no major injury concern with the regular four set to miss out, including Harrison Ashby, Lewis Hall, Valentino Livramento, and Yoane Wissa.
It's not looking good for Tottenham Hotspur in the injury front.
Tottenham Hotspur are plagued with injury heading into this clash, as they have as many as eight players in the injury room. Out of those players, head coach Thomas Frank will feel that the exclusion of Cristian Romero and Destiny Udogie will leave gaps at the back against a side that has managed to rediscover its shooting boots.
Richarlison has been the team's focal point of attack this season. The Brazilian international is expected to lead the attack in a 4-3-3 formation this Wednesday, with Wilson Odobert and Mohamed Kudus providing support from the wings this time around.
However, a player that needs to be monitored closely is the Ghanaian international, Mohamed Kudus. Kudus has been a menace to opposition full-backs. In his last match against Everton, he completed 50% successful dribbles (2/4) and had 83% accurate passes in the final third (5/6).
Most goals and assists
Newcastle - Tottenham Key Points
- Newcastle United have seen six of their last nine matches across all competitions end with more than 2.5 goals.
- Tottenham Hotspur have seen scored 16 goals in their last eight away matches across all competitions.
- Six of Newcastle United's eight home matches across all competitions have seen more than 2.5 goals.
- Newcastle United and Tottenham Hotspur have seen each of their last nine competitive matches end with more than 2.5 goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Tottenham Prediction
Newcastle United come into this match full of confidence after winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. There were more than 2.5 goals in four of those outings, highlighting a high-scoring affair. When playing at home against Tottenham Hotspur, the last seven matches have produced more than 2.5 goals.
Tottenham Hotspur can contribute to a high-scoring affair with the team averaging 2 goals per game on the road this season. Considering they are plagued with injuries, their win in this one is not guaranteed. Our Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction is for more than 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs Tottenham - Other Interesting Predictions
Newcastle United wins
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.