New Zealand vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches

International - Test Matches

New Zealand
10/10/2026 02:10
Australia

Prediction :

 

New Zealand –11.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Southern Hemisphere rugby powerhouses New Zealand and Australia renew their rivalry in the first Test of the Bledisloe Cup series at Eden Park in Auckland on Saturday. New Zealand are unbeaten in 53 matches at Eden Park and have won each of their last 11 meetings with Australia, leading us to back the hosts in our prediction. 

Dave Rennie will be keen to guide New Zealand back to winning ways after their four-Test series against South Africa ended on a disappointing note in September. The All Blacks secured a shock victory in the opening Test against the Springboks at Ellis Park Stadium before losing their next three matches in the series, including a 43–28 defeat in the final Test. 

Nevertheless, the World No. 2 have every reason to be confident of bouncing back in Saturday's clash. They are unbeaten in 53 matches at Eden Park and have won 10 of their last 11 Tests on New Zealand soil, six of which by convincing margins. 

Australia are unbeaten in their last six Test matches (W5, D1), including an impressive 42–38 victory over World No. 1 South Africa in the Mandela Challenge Plate Test in Perth last time out. However, Wallabies have lost their last 11 matches against New Zealand, with their last 20 visits to Eden Park to face the All Blacks ending in defeat. 

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New Zealand v Australia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.23 20 4.52
Melbet
1.23 20 4.52
Betwinner
1.23 20 4.52
22bet
1.23 20 4.52
Bet365
1.21 34 4
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New Zealand vs Australia Form

New Zealand and Australia Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
43 :  28
New Zealand

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
29 :  24
New Zealand

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
43 :  28
New Zealand

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
29 :  24
New Zealand

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand
Australia
Australia Last matches
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

27 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
42 :  38
South Africa

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
28 :  28
Australia

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
21 :  27
Australia

15 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
56 :  17
Japan

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Japan
32 :  35
Australia

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
57 :  10
Italy
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
42 :  38
South Africa

15 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
56 :  17
Japan

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
57 :  10
Italy

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
26 :  42
France

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
14 :  28
New Zealand
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
28 :  28
Australia

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
21 :  27
Australia

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Japan
32 :  35
Australia

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

France
48 :  33
Australia

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
46 :  19
Australia

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Italy
26 :  19
Australia

New Zealand vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

100 %

Draw

0 %

Australia

0 %

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
14 :  28
New Zealand

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

4 Aug 2023 - Test Matches

New Zealand
23 :  20
Australia

29 Jul 2023 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
7 :  38
New Zealand
New Zealand vs Australia Prediction

Players list

New Zealand
New Zealand
L. Carter J. Lord F. Newell T. Vaa'i C. Roigard W. Sititi P. Lakai E. de Groot D. Mckenzie S. Barrett C. Taylor J. Barrett Q. Tupaea W. Jordan B. Barrett
Australia
Australia
J. Suaalii B. Donaldson A. Bell M. Jorgensen J. Williams I. Henry T. Wright L. Salakaia-Loto A. Alaalatoa B. Paenga-Amosa H. Wilson F. McReight L. Ikitau R. Lonergan R. Valetini

Substitutes

New Zealand
New Zealand
A. Segner P. Tosi J. Moorby K. Preston R. Ioane G. Bower A. Aumua S. Frizell
Australia
Australia
N. Champion de Crespigny J. Nasser M. de Lutiis L. Shaw D. Meredith H. Potter A. Ross T. McDermott

New Zealand - Australia Key Points

  1. New Zealand are unbeaten in 53 matches at Eden Park.
  2. New Zealand have won 10 of their last 11 Tests at home, with six of those coming by convincing margins.
  3. Australia have lost their last 11 matches against New Zealand.
  4. Wallabies have lost their last 20 visits to Eden Park to face the All Blacks.
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Our New Zealand vs Australia Prediction

Australia boast a strong run of results recently, but the real test awaits at Eden Park, where they have lost their last 20 matches against New Zealand. Wallabies will also be looking for just their first win in 12 Test meetings with the hosts on Saturday, having lost the previous 11.

New Zealand enter this clash with a staggering 53-match unbeaten run at Eden Park. They have also been dominant on home soil recently, dispatching most of their opponents by emphatic margins. Our New Zealand vs Australia prediction: New Zealand –11.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

New Zealand –11.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.