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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
The Netherlands could confirm their place in next year’s World Cup with a point against Lithuania in the last matchday of Group G of the UEFA section of the FIFA World Cup qualification campaign. This match on Monday between the top-placed Oranje and the bottom-ranked Tricolours comes with our prediction of a win for the Dutch with both teams scoring goals.
Ahead of the final matchday, the Netherlands have 17 points (W5, D2) and have a three-point lead over Poland. A point is enough for the Dutch to confirm direct qualification as section winners. Lithuania have three points (D3, L4) and are out of the qualification race;at best, they can finish fourth.
A 1-1 away draw at Poland continued the Netherlands’ unbeaten run, stretching it to 11 matches during regular time (W6, D5). They have been scoring goals in tonnes this qualification campaign, netting 23 in seven fixtures.
The Dutch have had alternating results in their last seven home games (W4, D3), including a 4-0 win over Finland in the last fixture. Lithuania drew 0-0 against Israel in their latest friendly but were beaten in three World Cup qualifiers in a row prior to that. Results were even more dire on the road, as Lithuania were beaten in six of their seven recent trips (D1, L6).
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The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v Lithuania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 17 | 41 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 51 |
|
|
1.05 | 13 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 13 | 29 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Lithuania?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Lithuania match is: Netherlands to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/11/2025 between Netherlands and Lithuania in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 75.47% for a win of Netherlands against Lithuania with odds of 1.05 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Lithuania is 24.2% with odds of 23 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 0.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Netherlands with odds of 51 at Betfred.
Netherlands vs Lithuania Form
Netherlands and Lithuania's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
|
5
|
3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 |
Netherlands and Lithuania Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Lithuania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Netherlands vs Lithuania last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
J. Frimpong
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
Lithuania
M. Depay
(8 Goals)
G. Gineitis
(3 Goals)
Netherlands - Lithuania Key Points
- The Netherlands won five of their last seven matches while drawing the other two.
- In four of their last seven home games, the Netherlands saw both teams score.
- Lithuania lost six of their recent away games, drawing the other.
- Lithuania lost the reverse fixture 3-2.
- Three of Lithuania’s last five matches produced goals from both teams.
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Our Netherlands vs Lithuania Prediction
The Netherlands are all but guaranteed a direct spot in the World Cup finals, barring a huge defeat here or a massive win for Poland. The Dutch are unlikely to let their guard down and are set to confirm their qualification with a win. All that’s left is for Lithuania to stretch the game and find a goal. Like in the reverse fixture where Lithuania found two goals, this match is likely to go all the way.
The hosts are likely to win but not without conceding. That’s why our Netherlands vs Lithuania prediction is Netherlands to win and BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
