Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Napoli
22/11/2025 14:45
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Napoli have to deal with their injury crisis and at the same time plan for big matches ahead. Next up, the Serie A champions host Atalanta, with both teams targeting a return to winning ways. Going into this match, Napoli are fourth and Atalanta 13th; below is our prediction.

Napoli’s title defence has hit stormy waters, and they’ve failed to win their last two league games. The latest was a 2-0 loss to Bologna.

Two wins only in their last five Serie A matches have left the champions two points behind leaders Inter Milan in a congested top four. Failure to score in the three winless outings is another key concern, especially with a few attacking players out injured.

Atalanta will hope to return rejuvenated after the international break. They have no wins in their last seven Serie A matches, five of which ended in draws.

The visitors will head into this game with a new man in charge after a poor start to the season saw Ivan Juric sacked. Raffaele Palladino will hope to engineer positive results to lift the team from the bottom half.

Atalanta are coming from their second defeat of the season, a 3-0 home loss to Sassuolo. This will be a tough assignment for the new leaders, as Atalanta have only won once in their last five away league games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Atalanta Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 3.1 3.4
Betfred
2.38 3.1 3.2
William Hill
2.38 3 3.1
Unibet
2.25 3.1 3.35
Betway
2.3 3.1 3.3
Check all Napoli vs Atalanta odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Napoli vs Atalanta match is: Napoli wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/11/2025 between Napoli and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.61% for a win of Napoli against Atalanta with odds of 2.42 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Atalanta is 29.38% with odds of 3.2 at Bwin.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Napoli with odds of 3.69 at 888Starz.

Napoli - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:

Napoli Atalanta Prediction Probability Odds
Napoli wins 47.61% 2.42 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 51.77% 2.2 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 46.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli 17.87% 5.5 at Bet365

Napoli vs Atalanta Form

Napoli and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Napoli
Napoli
39 19 12 3 4 13
7
Atalanta
Atalanta
31 20 8 7 5 6

Napoli and Atalanta Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
L W W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  2
Pisa SC
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  0
Napoli

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
D D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Slavia Prague
W D D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Slavia Prague

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907

30 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Club Brugge
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  3
Atalanta

17 Sept 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Napoli vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

67 %

Draw

0 %

Atalanta

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Napoli

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

11 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Nov 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

Players list

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

V. Milinkovic-Savic

Defender

S. Beukema

J. Jesus

A. Buongiorno

G. Di Lorenzo

P. Mazzocchi

Midfielder

S. Lobotka

S. Mctominay

Forward

M. Politano

L. Lucca

E. Elmas

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

Defender

B. Djimsiti

I. Hien

O. Kossounou

R. Bellanova

N. Zalewski

Midfielder

Ederson

M. De Roon

G. Scamacca

Forward

L. Samardzic

D. Maldini

Substitutes

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

N. Contini

M. Ferrante

Defender

J. Jesus

A. Rrahmani

P. Mazzocchi

M. Gutierrez

L. Marianucci

M. Olivera

Midfielder

A. Vergara

E. Elmas

N. Lang

Forward

L. Lucca

R. Hojlund

G. Ambrosino

M. Politano

D. Neres

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

M. Sportiello

Defender

O. Kossounou

H. Ahanor

L. Bernasconi

S. Kolasinac

Midfielder

L. Samardzic

C. De Ketelaere

A. Manzoni

N. Zalewski

D. Zappacosta

Y. Musah

Forward

N. Krstovic

G. Scamacca

M. Pasalic

D. Maldini

A. Lookman

K. Sulemana

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

A. Meret

Midfielder

C. Saco

L. Hasa

K. De Bruyne

B. Gilmour

F. Anguissa

Forward

R. Lukaku

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (8 Goals)
Scotland S. Mctominay (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (6 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil D. Neres (4 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (4 Assists)

Napoli - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Atalanta are winless in their last three Serie A away matches.
  2. Napoli have beaten Atalanta three times in their last five meetings.
  3. This season Napoli have won five of their seven home matches.
  4. Atalanta managed just one win in their last eight matches.
  5. Napoli are unbeaten in 18 matches at home.
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Our Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta were the last in Serie A to taste defeat this season, but that hasn’t been helpful at all for them. Their unbeaten run was laced with too many draws. La Dea come into this match having failed to win any of their last seven Serie A matches, and their away form isn’t great either.

This looks like an opponent Napoli would pounce on. The home team has done well in their backyard, and this could be a routine win. Our prediction for Napoli v Atalanta is that Napoli wins.

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Atalanta

Napoli vs Atalanta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Napoli wins 2.1 2.25 +7.1%
Draw 3.25 3.1 -4.6%
Atalanta wins 3.4 3.4 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Napoli is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 44.4% (-3.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction