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18 April 2023 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Champions League

Napoli
VS
AC Milan

Prediction :

AC Milan wins the match

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Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Prediction

Napoli are in the Champions League quarter finals for the first time in their history but the Italian league leaders are struggling to make it to the last four. They host the second leg but have to claw back a 1-0 deficit from the game played in Milan last week. Napoli have somewhat been slowed down in recent matches, losing twice to Milan in their last four games. For the aggregate winner here, a clash with either Inter Milan or Benfica awaits in the semi finals.

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Napoli are the bookies’ favorites coming inro this game, despite trailing. A win for them is priced at 1.86 while Milan are deemed underdogs here with odds of 5.3 and a draw is offered at 3.71.

Napoli vs AC Milan Form

Napoli and AC Milan Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
W W L W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

15 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Hellas Verona

12 Apr 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

7 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Napoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

19 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Turin
0 :  4
Napoli

15 Mar 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
3 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
D L W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

15 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
AC Milan

12 Apr 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

7 Apr 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Empoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

18 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  1
AC Milan

13 Mar 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Salernitana

Napoli against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

50 %

Draw

0 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
17%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

12 Apr 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

18 Sep 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Napoli

6 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
AC Milan

19 Dec 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Napoli

14 Mar 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Napoli
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Napoli - AC Milan: Form Analysis

The hosts have had a blistering season but in the last few matches their sprint has been checked and they come into this game struggling a little. In the last four matches, Napoli have gone without scoring in three, while they have two clean sheets in their last five matches. Napoli are coming from a 0-0 draw with Verona at home – that was their seconds straight home match without scoring. In the first leg of this tie, they suffered a 1-0 loss away to Milan, which came after a 4-0 loss at home to Milan. They have two wins in five home matches, and have also lost twice at their backyard. Napoli haven't done so well in their recent matches against Milan, losing three of the last four meetings. In each of the last three home matches against Milan, Napoli have lost, and they have no win in four home games against Milan.

AC Milan have the advantage coming inro this game, leading the tie 1-0 courtesy of Ismael Bennacer’s first half goal. They have a good record when playing at Napoli and this is one of the stats they will want to bank on, having gone unbeaten in their last four visits here. Milan had to come from behind to draw 1-1 with Bologna in their last game. With that result, they will carry to this game a run of four matches without a loss and two of them – the wins, are against Napoli. While they need just a draw to progress, Milan will go into this game more likely to win having also rested key players in their weekend Serie A game. Stats favor Milan as well – apart from a dominant run over Napoli, they have also won 38 of 44 ties in Europe after leading at home in the first leg.

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Napoli against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Meret
22
G. Di Lorenzo
13
A. Rrahmani
5
J. Jesus
6
M. Rui
91
T. Ndombele
68
S. Lobotka
20
P. Zielinski
21
M. Politano
9
V. Osimhen
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
9
O. Giroud
17
R. Leao
4
I. Bennacer
10
B. Diaz
8
S. Tonali
33
R. Krunic
19
T. Hernandez
23
F. Tomori
24
S. Kjaer
2
D. Calabria
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

AC Milan

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Forward

H. Lozano

M. Politano

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

I. Bennacer

Forward

Z. Ibrahimovic

Napoli & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Napoli will go into this game with mixed news regarding the playing unit. While Victor Osimhen’s return from injury boosts Napoli in attack, they will be without two defensive players – Frank Zambo Anguissa who was sent off in the first leg, and KimMin-jae who was booked for dissent in the same game. Giovanni Simeone will also be out of this game, as he nurses a thigh injury.

AC Milan fielded a largely second string side in their league game and will come into this game well rested. Only goalkeeper Mike Maignan was retained for the game. Of the returning players, Rafael Leao will be the player to attract more focus. He has been good for Milan in recent matches, and even scored twice in the 4-0 win at this same venue.

Napoli - AC Milan Key Points

  1. AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches
  2. AC Milan have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches
  3. Napoli have one clean sheet in four matches
  4. Three of Napoli’s last five matches have had over 2.5 goals
  5. AC Milan have three wins in four matches against Napoli
  6. Napoli have two wins in their last five home matches
  7. Three of Milan’s last five away games have produced over 2.5 goals
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Our Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction

Napoli are coming from a weaker run, and they have suffered against Milan in recent matches. In their last four matches they have one win and it was courtesy of an own goal. While they are expected to get their sharpness back in attack as Victor Osimhen returns, Milan seems to have the momentum over them. Our prediction for this Napoli v AC Milan game is for Milan to win.

Prediction :

AC Milan wins the match

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Napoli vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5 goals

Napoli have lacked incisiveness in attack in their recent matches, but we expect to see some sharpness with Victor Osimhen returning. Milan have done well in attack and we don’t expect them to slow down here. This makes over 2.5 goals a solid prediction as well.

Milan to score in the first half

Milan have scored in the opening half in four of their last five matches. They know with a slim lead, this tie isn’t done and they will want to secure their place with an early goal. It has been the case in their recent matches and we are backing Milan to score in the first half here too.
Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction

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