Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Prediction
Napoli are in the Champions League quarter finals for the first time in their history but the Italian league leaders are struggling to make it to the last four. They host the second leg but have to claw back a 1-0 deficit from the game played in Milan last week. Napoli have somewhat been slowed down in recent matches, losing twice to Milan in their last four games. For the aggregate winner here, a clash with either Inter Milan or Benfica awaits in the semi finals.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Napoli are the bookies’ favorites coming inro this game, despite trailing. A win for them is priced at 1.86 while Milan are deemed underdogs here with odds of 5.3 and a draw is offered at 3.71.
Napoli vs AC Milan Form
Napoli and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2023 - Serie A
12 Apr 2023 - Champions League
7 Apr 2023 - Serie A
2 Apr 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
15 Mar 2023 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2023 - Serie A
12 Apr 2023 - Champions League
7 Apr 2023 - Serie A
2 Apr 2023 - Serie A
18 Mar 2023 - Serie A
13 Mar 2023 - Serie A
Napoli against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2023 - Champions League
2 Apr 2023 - Serie A
18 Sep 2022 - Serie A
6 Mar 2022 - Serie A
19 Dec 2021 - Serie A
14 Mar 2021 - Serie A
Napoli - AC Milan: Form Analysis
The hosts have had a blistering season but in the last few matches their sprint has been checked and they come into this game struggling a little. In the last four matches, Napoli have gone without scoring in three, while they have two clean sheets in their last five matches. Napoli are coming from a 0-0 draw with Verona at home – that was their seconds straight home match without scoring. In the first leg of this tie, they suffered a 1-0 loss away to Milan, which came after a 4-0 loss at home to Milan. They have two wins in five home matches, and have also lost twice at their backyard. Napoli haven't done so well in their recent matches against Milan, losing three of the last four meetings. In each of the last three home matches against Milan, Napoli have lost, and they have no win in four home games against Milan.
AC Milan have the advantage coming inro this game, leading the tie 1-0 courtesy of Ismael Bennacer’s first half goal. They have a good record when playing at Napoli and this is one of the stats they will want to bank on, having gone unbeaten in their last four visits here. Milan had to come from behind to draw 1-1 with Bologna in their last game. With that result, they will carry to this game a run of four matches without a loss and two of them – the wins, are against Napoli. While they need just a draw to progress, Milan will go into this game more likely to win having also rested key players in their weekend Serie A game. Stats favor Milan as well – apart from a dominant run over Napoli, they have also won 38 of 44 ties in Europe after leading at home in the first leg.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Napoli against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
H. Lozano
M. Politano
I. Bennacer
ForwardZ. Ibrahimovic
Napoli & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Napoli will go into this game with mixed news regarding the playing unit. While Victor Osimhen’s return from injury boosts Napoli in attack, they will be without two defensive players – Frank Zambo Anguissa who was sent off in the first leg, and KimMin-jae who was booked for dissent in the same game. Giovanni Simeone will also be out of this game, as he nurses a thigh injury.
AC Milan fielded a largely second string side in their league game and will come into this game well rested. Only goalkeeper Mike Maignan was retained for the game. Of the returning players, Rafael Leao will be the player to attract more focus. He has been good for Milan in recent matches, and even scored twice in the 4-0 win at this same venue.
Napoli - AC Milan Key Points
- AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches
- AC Milan have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Napoli have one clean sheet in four matches
- Three of Napoli’s last five matches have had over 2.5 goals
- AC Milan have three wins in four matches against Napoli
- Napoli have two wins in their last five home matches
- Three of Milan’s last five away games have produced over 2.5 goals
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction
Napoli are coming from a weaker run, and they have suffered against Milan in recent matches. In their last four matches they have one win and it was courtesy of an own goal. While they are expected to get their sharpness back in attack as Victor Osimhen returns, Milan seems to have the momentum over them. Our prediction for this Napoli v AC Milan game is for Milan to win.
Napoli vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Milan to score in the first half
Soccer Acca Boost
Up to 70% bonus for accumulators on over 80 selected leagues at bet365. Applies to pre-match accumulators of 2+ selections on the standard Full Time Result or Result/Both Teams To Score markets only. The bonus percentage is dependent on the number of selections. Bonus capped at £100k and applied to returns. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.
The bonus will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, the bonus will be calculated based on the remaining active stake. Where all selections within the bet have been marked as won and this has been Cashed Out for the full return value, the bonus will apply and the maximum bonus that you can receive is £100,000 or currency equivalent. If a qualifying bet is edited using the Edit Bet feature, the bonus will be calculated based on the new stake. Where a bet has been edited to include or amend a selection for an event that is In-Play, the bonus will no longer apply.
Bets placed with Bet Credits, Double Chance bets or combination bets with bonuses such as Lucky 15's or Lucky 31's do not apply for this offer.
T&Cs apply. Only available to new and eligible customers. Registration required.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Soccer Accumulator: all details