Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse travel to already relegated Nantes this Sunday on the final day of the 2025/26 French Ligue 1 campaign. They enter the weekend in 10th in the standings and have won over 20 points more than their hosts. The reverse meeting between these two had four goals, with both scoring for the third time in five meetings. Such stats have also been in Toulouse's last five games, favoring a similar prediction.
Nantes conclude a difficult campaign at home and will be looking to give their faithful something to smile about. The Canaries have lost 20 of their 33 matches and, with only five wins, sit on 23 points.
Only bottom club Metz, who have won just three games and garnered 16 points, have a worse record. Nantes, who saw a 13-year spell in the French top flight come to an end, lost 1-0 at Lens last time out.
Toulouse do not bear similar concerns as Nantes. They are already assured of another top-flight campaign. This match isn’t such a dead rubber fixture for them as it is for Nantes, though.
The Violets, who cannot finish any lower than 10th, can still earn a ninth-place finish. They will, therefore, set out to win this match to continue with their newfound form.
Carles Martinez Novell’s men have earned seven points from their last three games, winning the last two fixtures. Toulouse defeated Lyon 2-1 at home last weekend.
They have won 12 matches and drawn eight more to sit on 44 points.
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Nantes v Toulouse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.52 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.52 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.45 | 2.58 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Nantes vs Toulouse match is: more than 2.5 goals & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Nantes and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.97% for a win of Nantes against Toulouse with odds of 2.7 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Toulouse is 23.06% with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Nantes with odds of 2.7 at 888Starz.
Nantes - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nantes Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 40.97% | 2.7 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.73% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 16.61% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Nantes vs Toulouse Form
Nantes and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Nantes and Toulouse Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2026 - French Cup
17 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
Nantes vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
14 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Nantes against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
P. Carlgren
DefenderH. Lamy
E. Mongo
A. Yousef
MidfielderD. Tabibou
B. Guirassy
L. Leroux
ForwardEl Arabi
M. Mohamed
N. Said Mchindra
K. Haug
DefenderG. Bakhouche Piernas
W. Kamanzi
MidfielderA. Francis
M. Sauer
A. Vossah
ForwardJ. Russell Rowe
J. Vignolo
Missing players
A. Mirbach
DefenderF. Guilbert
K. Amian
F. Centonze
T. Tati
MidfielderB. Deuff
R. Messali
ForwardA. Donnum
I. Azizi
Most goals and assists
Nantes
Toulouse
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
Nantes - Toulouse Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in the most recent meeting between Toulouse and Nantes.
- Toulouse have scored two goals in all but one of their previous five outings.
- Both teams scored in Toulouse's last five competitive matches.
- Toulouse have kept one clean sheet in their last 15 games.
- Nantes have conceded over 50 goals in the league.
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Our Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction
Our prediction for Nantes v Toulouse is for more than 2.5 goals & BTTS. This is almost a dead rubber match for these two teams. It certainly is for Nantes, who have already been relegated. For Toulouse, it offers the chance to possibly end the season in the top half of the table.
We do expect a well-fought-out match, as Nantes will be looking to give their fans something to smile about after a difficult campaign. Toulouse, on their part, are in splendid form and will be keen to also end the season on a high. The reverse game saw four goals scored as both teams shared the spoils, and we could be in for another high-scoring battle.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Toulouse
| Nantes vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 2.78 | 2.7 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 3.39 | 3.66 | +8.0% |
| Toulouse wins | 2.78 | 2.7 | -2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.0% and is now 37.0% (1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
