Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Nantes
18/01/2026 11:15
Paris FC

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

2.03
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Nantes and Paris are set to face off in a Ligue 1 relegation six-pointer this weekend. The Sunday match, hosted by Nantes, finds these two separated by two points, with Paris in 15th spot and Nantes sitting 16th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Nantes spun a major upset to start their year as they beat Marseille 2-0 away in Ligue 1. However, they couldn’t follow through in their second game, a French Cup tie that ended in defeat on penalties after drawing 1-1 with Nice.

Having only failed to score once in five league matches, Nantes will be confident of bagging three points here. That would see the hosts rise out of the drop zone for at least this match week.

Paris FC will have their own motivations coming into this game. They aren’t just presented with an opportunity to open a gap from the bottom three but also boost their survival chances.

They will look at this match and feel they can go for the kill, coming fresh from defeating PSG in the French Cup. Jonathan Ikone came off the bench in the first half and, with 16 minutes to go, scored the goal that dumped out PSG.

In their two earlier competitive meetings with Nantes, though, Paris lost. The most recent was in October, Nantes winning 2-1.

Welcome Bonus 

Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365

The Best Betting Odds for Nantes v Paris FC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 3.2 2.45
Stake
3 3.3 2.48
Melbet
3.12 3.18 2.4
BC Game
2.94 3.2 2.44
Tonybet
3.05 3.3 2.5
Check all Nantes vs Paris FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Paris FC?

Our prediction for the Nantes vs Paris FC match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Nantes and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.53% for a win of Nantes against Paris FC with odds of 3.18 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Paris FC is 22.64% with odds of 3.3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Nantes with odds of 2.53 at 888Starz.

Nantes vs Paris FC Form

Nantes and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15
Paris FC
Paris FC
16 17 4 4 9 -9
16
Nantes
Nantes
14 17 3 5 9 -12

Nantes and Paris FC Last Matches

Nantes
Nantes Last matches
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Nantes
1 :  1
Nice

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

US Concarneau
3 :  5
Nantes

12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
4 :  1
Nantes

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Nantes
L L L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Nantes
1 :  1
Nice

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  2
Lens

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Lorient

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille
W D L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
Nantes

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

US Concarneau
3 :  5
Nantes

12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
4 :  1
Nantes

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Nantes

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  1
Nantes

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes
Paris FC
Paris FC Last matches
D D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

US Raonnaise
0 :  3
Paris FC

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre
W L D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  3
Toulouse

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre

7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  1
Rennes

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  3
Lyon

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  0
Lorient
W L D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

US Raonnaise
0 :  3
Paris FC

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Paris FC

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
0 :  1
Paris FC

Nantes vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nantes

67 %

Draw

0 %

Paris FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
4
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nantes
2 :  3
Paris FC

30 Oct 2019 - Coupe de la Ligue

Nantes
8 :  0
Paris FC

Missing players

Nantes
Nantes
Defender

C. Awaziem

F. Centonze

Forward

M. Mohamed

Paris FC
Paris FC
Defender

T. De Smet

S. Alakouch

Midfielder

P. Lees-Melou

M. Munetsi

S. Chergui

Forward

N. Dicko

M. Simon

A. Gory

P. Hamel

W. Geubbels

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nantes
CD Huachipato Paris FC
Top Goalscorer
Morocco Y. El Arabi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Algeria I. Kebbal (6 Goals)
Best assists
France B. Guirassy (1 Assists)
France L. Leroux (1 Assists)
France M. Abline (1 Assists)
France K. Amian (1 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria I. Kebbal (4 Assists)

Nantes and Paris FC Stats in Ligue 1

Nantes
Nantes
Paris FC
Paris FC
18%
Wins
24%
53%
Losses
53%
29%
Draws
24%
2.59
Average goals per match
3.12
0.94
Goals scored per match
1.29
1.65
Goals conceded per match
1.82
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
41%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
18%
No goals conceded
18%
47%
BTTS
65%

Nantes - Paris FC Key Points

  1. Three of Paris’ last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
  2. A total of 20 goals were scored in Nantes’ last five matches.
  3. 13 goals were netted in Paris FC’s last five matches on the road.
  4. On average, 3.4 goals were scored in Nantes’s last five home games.
Welcome Bonus 

Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365

Our Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction

This will be the third time Paris FC and Nantes face off competitively in their history. The first two meetings between them produced 11 goals, with Nantes prevailing. Going into this game, with both sides fighting for survival, there’s no outright favorite.

This will be one of the exciting battles to follow in Ligue 1 this weekend. End-to-end action is expected here as both seek three crucial points. A high-scoring match is therefore very likely. Our prediction for Nantes v Paris FC is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

2.03
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Nantes vs. Paris FC game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Nantes and Paris FC? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction