Nantes vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Nantes
02/11/2025 11:15
Metz

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Downcast after losing an eight-goal thriller, 15th-placed Nantes return home to face bottom side Metz in their next Ligue 1 game. Nantes being out of the relegation zone is down to goal difference, and they are four points better than Metz. Here’s our prediction for the match.

Nantes twice rallied from behind against Monaco in midweek but went on to lose 5-3 at home. Les Canaries will be disappointed at scoring three times in a game but still ending up empty-handed.

A second straight home match will lift their hopes of bouncing back, though they’ve suffered back-to-back home league defeats. Nantes need to work on their defence, as witnessed in the Monaco game and having conceded 10 in the last five home matches. 

Metz will look at their 2-0 win over high-flying Lens for inspiration to do better on the road. Across their opening five away matches, Metz haven't been able to pick up a point from the 15 on offer.

They completed a league double over Nantes the last time they were in the league before relegation. Les Grenats would love to invoke that here, especially seeing that Nantes haven't had a great home run so far.

Their biggest undoing, though, has been a porous backline. While Nantes have been poor in attack, it is hard to see them not scoring here. They face a defence that’s conceded 2.6 goals per game on average.

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The Best Betting Odds for Nantes v Metz Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 3.6 3.4
Betfred
2.1 3.4 3.5
William Hill
2.1 3.4 3.3
Unibet
2.02 3.65 3.4
Betway
2.1 3.4 3.4
Check all Nantes vs Metz odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Metz?

Our prediction for the Nantes vs Metz match is: More than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Nantes and Metz in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.7% for a win of Nantes against Metz with odds of 2.15 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Metz is 17.52% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Nantes with odds of 4 at Stake.

Nantes - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:

Nantes Metz Prediction Probability Odds
Nantes wins 49.7% 2.15 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 61.98% 2.03 at 22bet
Both Team To Score 44.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Nantes/Nantes 20.98% 3.3 at Betfair

Nantes vs Metz Form

Nantes and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17
Nantes
Nantes
11 16 2 5 9 -14
18
Metz
Metz
11 16 3 2 11 -20

Nantes and Metz Last Matches

Nantes
Nantes Last matches
W L D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  2
Rennes
W L L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  2
Rennes

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  0
Auxerre

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nantes
2 :  3
Paris FC
L L L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Nantes

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  0
Nantes

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Angers
1 :  0
Nantes
Metz
Metz Last matches
L D L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Lens

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
5 :  2
Metz
W W L D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Lens

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Angers

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Strasbourg

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
4 :  0
Red Star
W L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
4.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz

21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
5 :  2
Metz

31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Metz

23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hoffenheim
8 :  0
Metz

Nantes vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nantes

17 %

Draw

33 %

Metz

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (home team)
1.33
Goals scored (away team)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1

Metz
3 :  1
Nantes

27 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Nantes

15 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  0
Metz

24 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  0
Nantes

22 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Metz

Players list

Nantes
Nantes
Goalkeeper

P. Carlgren

Defender

K. Amian

C. Awaziem

T. Tati

U. Radakovic

Midfielder

L. Leroux

J. Mwanga

B. Deuff

Y. Benhattab

Forward

M. Mohamed

M. Abline

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

J. Fischer

Defender

K. Kouao

T. Yegbe

M. Colin

G. Abuashvili

Midfielder

J. Gbamin

B. Stambouli

B. Traore

M. Bokele

Forward

M. Bokele

J. Asoro

Substitutes

Nantes
Nantes
Goalkeeper

P. Carlgren

A. Lopes

Defender

U. Radakovic

N. Cozza

F. Centonze

Midfielder

Y. Benhattab

B. Guirassy

S. Ziani

B. Deuff

D. Assoumani

K. Hyeok-kyu

Forward

A. Camara

M. Mohamed

Y. El Arabi

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

R. Jean-Baptiste

Defender

C. Melieres

B. Stambouli

A. Toure

M. Diop

Midfielder

J. Asoro

H. Diallo

B. Traore

J. Deminguet

I. Guerti

G. Abuashvili

I. Sane

Forward

M. Bokele

G. Tsitaishvili

Missing players

Nantes
Nantes
Midfielder

F. Coquelin

J. Lepenant

H. Hyun-seok

Forward

M. Lahdo

Metz
Metz
Goalkeeper

P. Sy

Defender

U. Mboula

F. Ballo-Toure

Forward

M. Mbaye

S. Sane

B. Madjo

G. Hein

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nantes
CD Huachipato Metz
Top Goalscorer
Morocco Y. El Arabi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France G. Hein (5 Goals)
Best assists
France B. Guirassy (1 Assists)
France K. Amian (1 Assists)
France M. Abline (1 Assists)
France L. Leroux (1 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Hein (2 Assists)

Nantes - Metz Key Points

  1. Nantes’ league matches this season have averaged 2.5 goals.
  2. Metz have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per league game.
  3. The last two matches between these sides returned six goals.
  4. A total of 34 goals have been scored in Metz’s 10 league matches.
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Our Nantes vs Metz Prediction

In the seasons before their relegation in 2023/24, Metz was the dominant side in this fixture. The visitors have three wins in five against Nantes. However, the biggest impediment to extending that run is their defensive performance.

No team has conceded as many goals as Metz’s 26 after only 10 matches this season. Nantes haven't been the sharpest in attack, but they should have enough in them to edge this. Les Canaris will, however, be wary of a Metz coming off a key win. Our prediction for Nantes v Metz is: More than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Metz

Nantes vs Metz Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nantes wins 2 2.1 +5.0%
Draw 3.4 3.6 +5.9%
Metz wins 3.5 3.4 -2.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Nantes is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 47.6% (-2.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nantes vs Metz Prediction