Nantes vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Off-color Nantes will welcome Lyon for a Ligue 1 match at Stade de la Beaujoire this Saturday. The hosts arrive for this game stuck in the bottom three, while in-form Lyon are fourth in the standings. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
Nantes are coming off yet another defeat. This time they lost 2-1 at Lorient, after back-to-back home defeats earlier. Les Canaris have had a very poor season, only managing three wins from the opening 20 league matches.
There isn’t much hope going into this one either, as they are the poorest performers on home soil, only winning once in 10 outings.
Lyon will be favorites to add to Nantes’ woes. Les Gones have been in great shape in recent months, dominating both at home and in Europe. A 2-0 win over Laval just booked them a quarter-final berth in the French Cup.
That marked their 11th straight win across all competitions, and they’ve only failed to win twice in their last 15 matches. In the reverse fixture back in November, Lyon blanked Nantes 3-0 for their fifth straight unbeaten outing in this match.
With only Lorient and Real Betis beating Lyon in the last 10 away matches, we expect the visitors to go for three points here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Nantes v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.9 | 3.85 | 1.76 |
|
|
5 | 3.76 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.82 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.8 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.65 | 1.72 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Nantes vs Lyon match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Nantes and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.17% for a win of Nantes against Lyon with odds of 5.22 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Lyon is 17.03% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 70.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Nantes with odds of 1.76 at Stake.
Nantes - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nantes Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 70.8% | 1.76 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.4% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lyon/Lyon | 39.16% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Nantes vs Lyon Form
Nantes and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Nantes and Lyon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Nantes vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2023 - French Cup
Nantes against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
P. Carlgren
DefenderA. Sylla
C. Awaziem
D. Machado
F. Coquelin
I. Sissoko
B. Guirassy
L. Leroux
ForwardEl Arabi
R. Descamps
DefenderN. Kamara
H. Hateboer
A. Karabec
M. De Carvalho
K. Merah
R. Ghezzal
ForwardA. Hamdani
R. Himbert
Missing players
F. Guilbert
MidfielderB. Deuff
N. Tagliafico
R. Kluivert
MidfielderC. Tolisso
O. Mangala
ForwardE. Nuamah
M. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Nantes
Lyon
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
Nantes - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon have posted 11 straight wins in all competitions.
- Lyon are unbeaten in five meetings with Nantes, winning four.
- Nantes are winless in their last five home league games against Lyon.
- Across all competitions, Nantes are winless in nine home games, losing six.
- In Ligue 1, Nantes are the poorest performers at home, with one win in 10 games.
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Our Nantes vs Lyon Prediction
On a weekend that Marseille and PSG face off, Lyon are among the sides looking to benefit. A win here, coupled with Marseille dropping points, will mean Les Gones move to third. Should Marseille and Lyon win, Lyon will have closed in on PSG in the title race.
In this encounter Lyon will feel disappointed if they don’t bag three points. All seems to be written in their favor, except that they will not be playing at home. They may not need that though, facing the league’s poorest hosts. Our prediction for Nantes v Lyon is that Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Lyon
| Nantes vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 4.86 | 5.22 | +7.4% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4 | -2.9% |
| Lyon wins | 1.76 | 1.76 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 56.8% and is now 56.8% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
