Nantes vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Nantes
23/11/2025 11:15
Lorient

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

It is still too early to call, but Nantes facing Lorient in the 13th round of Ligue 1 already feels like a relegation six-pointer. Nantes, sitting 16th, plays host to 17th placed Lorient. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

It is another season of struggles for Nantes, as they find themselves low in the Ligue 1 standings after 12 games. Les Canaris have managed just two wins in that run, and playing at home will not help by much.

They are the poorest-performing home team in Ligue 1, with just four points from six matches. A 1-1 draw with Le Havre before the international break wasn’t good enough to offer the liftoff needed. It was, however, some break after back-to-back defeats.

Lorient will want to take advantage of the fact that Nantes are the worst-performing host. However, their plate is also full. The newly promoted side ranks as the poorest traveler in Ligue 1, having banked just one point from six matches on the road.

They had an identical result as Nantes in the last match, drawing 1-1 with Toulouse. Actually, at this point of the season, these two sides are only separated by goal difference.

Lorient will, however, head into this match seeking a win to pull them out of the bottom three. The problem is that they are winless in the last six matches.

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Nantes v Lorient Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.05 3.4 2.46
Melbet
2.9 3.3 2.46
Betwinner
2.93 3.32 2.43
Bet365
3 3.3 2.4
Roobet
2.92 3.25 2.4
Check all Nantes vs Lorient odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Lorient?

Our prediction for the Nantes vs Lorient match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Nantes and Lorient in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.46% for a win of Nantes against Lorient with odds of 3.05 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Lorient is 26.35% with odds of 3.45 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Nantes with odds of 2.54 at 888Starz.

Nantes - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:

Nantes Lorient Prediction Probability Odds
Nantes wins 44.46% 3.05 at Stake
Under 2.5 61.79% 2.07 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nantes 17.82% 7.25 at LSbet

Nantes vs Lorient Form

Nantes and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lorient
45 34 11 12 11 -3
17 Nantes
23 33 5 8 20 -23

Nantes and Lorient Last Matches

Nantes
Nantes Last matches
D L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  1
Nantes

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes
L W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Metz

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
3 :  5
Monaco

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
2 :  2
Rennes

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  0
Auxerre

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG
L L D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  1
Nantes

24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  2
Nantes

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Nantes

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  0
Nantes

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  0
Nantes
Lorient
Lorient Last matches
L D L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Lorient

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Lorient

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Brest

3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  0
Lorient
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  3
Brest

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  1
Monaco

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  7
Lille

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
4 :  0
Rennes
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
3 :  0
Lorient

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Lorient

3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  0
Lorient

21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  1
Lorient

12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Lorient

Nantes vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Nantes

67 %

Draw

17 %

Lorient

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Nantes
1 :  1
Lorient

24 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient
0 :  1
Nantes

23 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1

Nantes
5 :  3
Lorient

12 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  0
Lorient

11 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  2
Nantes

23 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1

Nantes
4 :  2
Lorient

Nantes against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11

Nantes

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
A. Lopes
98
K. Amian
6
C. Awaziem
78
T. Tati
3
N. Cozza
17
D. Assoumani
5
K. Hyeok-kyu
18
J. Mwanga
15
M. Lahdo
10
M. Abline
19
Y. El Arabi
28
S. Soumano
29
D. Karim
15
T. Aiyegun
43
A. Kouassi
8
N. Cadiou
62
A. Ebong
11
T. Le Bris
44
D. Yongwa
3
M. Talbi
5
B. Meite
38
Y. Mvogo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Lorient

Substitutes

Nantes
Nantes
Goalkeeper

P. Carlgren

Defender

U. Radakovic

F. Centonze

Midfielder

J. Lepenant

K. Hyeok-kyu 59'

B. Deuff

B. Guirassy

M. Lahdo 62'

H. Hyeon-seok

Forward

A. Camara

D. Assoumani 81'

M. Mohamed

Y. El Arabi 59'

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Kamara

Defender

I. Monnier

N. Adjei

B. Meite 90'

S. Siba

Midfielder

J. Mvuka

J. Makengo

T. Aiyegun 59'

Forward

B. Dieng

B. Mohamed

S. Soumano 71'

P. Pagis

D. Karim 59'

Missing players

Nantes
Nantes
Midfielder

F. Coquelin

L. Leroux

Lorient
Lorient
Defender

I. Silva

S. Toure

A. Faye

Midfielder

L. Abergel

B. Fadiga

P. Katseris

Forward

T. Sanusi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Nantes
CD Huachipato Lorient
Top Goalscorer
France M. Abline (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France P. Pagis (10 Goals) Senegal B. Dieng (10 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Abline (3 Assists)
Best assists
Burkina Faso A. Kouassi (6 Assists)

Nantes - Lorient Key Points

  1. Both Lorient and Nantes are coming off draws in the last round.
  2. Each of these sides has managed two wins so far in Ligue 1.
  3. Lorient have drawn three of their last five league matches.
  4. Nantes are winless in their last four home matches.
  5. Lorient are winless in six straight away games.
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Our Nantes vs Lorient Prediction

From the early season exchanges, there are indications these two sides will be involved in the relegation battle. That’s why this is a really crucial match for both of these teams. Nantes have dominated previous head-to-head meetings, but back Lorient to carry their own weight well here too.

The visitors haven't done well on the road in Ligue 1, collecting just one point from a possible 18. So going for them to win might be a long shot here. On the other hand, Nantes have the poorest home record so far and could still fall short here. Our prediction for Nantes v Lorient is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Lorient

Nantes vs Lorient Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Nantes wins 2.32 3.05 +31.5%
Draw 3.3 3.45 +4.5%
Lorient wins 3.3 2.54 -23.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Nantes is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 31.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 43.1% and is now 32.8% (-10.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Nantes vs Lorient Prediction