Munster vs Castres Olympique Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup

Europe - Champions Cup

Munster
17/01/2026 12:30
Castres Olympique

Prediction :

 

Munster wins on a -21.5 handicap

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 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions

Munster hold the final qualifying place going into their final European Rugby Champions Cup Pool 2 fixture. They are home to Castres who are bottom of the table but could yet qualify for the knockout stages. Read our match prediction below.

The home side are only ahead of fifth-placed Gloucester on points difference and a point clear of Castres.

Their penultimate pool fixture last weekend saw Munster lose by just two points away at RC Toulon. That was the third successive loss for Munster who are eighth in the United Rugby Championship.

Both of their last two home games have been lost but inflicted by leaders Stormers and in-form Leinster.

Castres are propping up the table but are only a point behind Munster and fifth-placed Gloucester. A win in Ireland will see them at least guaranteed a transfer to the Challenge Cup. They could even qualify depending on the result of the Gloucester v Toulon match.

The visitors have only won one match in this pool, a 33-0 home victory over Edinburgh. They lost at home to Bath last weekend and their only away pool game saw them beaten 34-14 at Gloucester.

Their last three away games have been lost.

We tip Munster to win on a -21.5 handicap.

The Best Betting Odds for Munster v Castres Olympique Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.05 41 9
Melbet
1.03 49 16
BC Game
1.05 20 8.8
Tonybet
1.03 45 11
888Starz
1.03 49 16
Check all Munster vs Castres Olympique odds

Munster vs Castres Olympique Form

Munster and Castres Olympique's standings in the Champions Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Munster
Munster
6 3 1 0 2 0
6
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
5 3 1 0 2 -10

Munster and Castres Olympique Last Matches

Munster
Munster Last matches
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster

2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
28 :  3
Munster

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
8 :  13
Leinster

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Munster
31 :  3
Gloucester Rugby

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bath Rugby
40 :  14
Munster
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
8 :  13
Leinster

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Munster
31 :  3
Gloucester Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
21 :  27
Stormers

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Munster
31 :  28
Argentina XV

25 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
17 :  15
Connacht Rugby

10 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
20 :  19
Edinburgh Rugby
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster

2 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
28 :  3
Munster

20 Dec 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
10 :  26
Munster

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bath Rugby
40 :  14
Munster

18 Oct 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Leinster
14 :  31
Munster

27 Sept 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
21 :  34
Munster
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique Last matches
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

9 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
20 :  43
Bath Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
36 :  22
Lyon Ou

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
33 :  0
Edinburgh Rugby

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
34 :  14
Castres Olympique
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

9 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
20 :  43
Bath Rugby

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
36 :  22
Lyon Ou

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
33 :  0
Edinburgh Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
23 :  7
USA Perpignan

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
26 :  28
Union Bordeaux Begles

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  24
Stade Francais Paris
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
34 :  14
Castres Olympique

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
63 :  14
Castres Olympique

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
28 :  32
Castres Olympique

Munster vs Castres Olympique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Munster

0 %

Draw

0 %

Castres Olympique

100 %

13 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Castres Olympique
16 :  14
Munster

Players list

Munster
Munster
B. O'Connor S. Daly A. Nankivell M. Ala'alatoa J. Loughman T. Farrell J. O'Donoghue T. Beirne G. Coombes F. Wycherley C. Nash E. Edogbo J. Crowley C. Casey D. Barron
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
T. Durand B. Delaporte P. Popelin Q. Walcker J. Goodhue T. Ardron W. Collier C. Ambadiang T. Chabouni V. Karawalev N. Hulleu J. Fernandez B. Cope G. Ducat F. Vanverberghe

Substitutes

Munster
Munster
N. Scannell J. Ryan B. Gleeson R. Quinn E. Coughlan M. Milne D. Kelly J. Hanrahan
Castres Olympique
Castres Olympique
G. Doubrere T. Staniforth G. Palis N. Corato L. Zarantonello A. Sokobale E. Herve S. Meka

Munster - Castres Olympique Key Points

  1. Munster won their one previous home game in this pool 31-3 against Gloucester.
  2. Castres have lost their last three away games.
  3. Castres are bottom of this pool.
  4. Castres have only won one of their last five away games.

Our Munster vs Castres Olympique Prediction

Munster only conceded three points in their first home game in this pool. They begin the weekend holding the final qualification place and a win over Castres could even see them finish in the top two and play at home in the last 16.

Castres need to earn at least a bonus point in Ireland or their European season will be over. They can qualify with a win but struggle on the road with six away defeats this season. Our Munster v Castres Olympique prediction is Munster wins on a -21.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Munster wins on a -21.5 handicap

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Munster vs Castres Olympique Prediction