Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
09/09/2026 15:45
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins with -1 handicap

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Moreirense has conceded 2+ goals in three of its four Liga Portugal games this season. Now they prepare to face Benfica Lisbon, which has scored 12 goals in its past three, including a 7-0 rout over Casa Pia. With such a stark difference in goalscoring, it's no shock that our Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon match prediction backs the visitors to win with a -1 handicap.

Benfica’s rout over Casa Pia was followed up with a 2-1 victory over Estoril and a 3-0 victory over Maritimo. Over those three games, the team has only conceded one goal. These numbers make us confident that the As Águias will overcome Moreirense, beating them by at least two goals. 

Our prediction is bolstered by Os Cónegos’ struggle for form, which was capped by the 2-1 loss to Porto in their last league outing. And that was just two games after Moreirense lost 4-0 to Arouca. They have also managed four league goals all season, while picking up only four points in four games.

Another factor that points to a dominant win for Benfica is their recent head-to-head meetings. The last two outings between both sides ended with Benfica scoring four goals in each game, bringing Moreirense’s winless run against As Águias to eleven games. Hence, we expect  Moreirense to be blown away even with a handicap.

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Moreirense v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Moreirense and Benfica Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins with -1 handicap.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Moreirense and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.58% for a win of Moreirense against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon is 21.09% with odds of 8.15 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 61.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Moreirense with odds of 1.18 at Betway.

Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Moreirense and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Benfica Lisbon
10 4 3 1 0 +11
13 Moreirense
4 4 1 1 2 -4

Moreirense and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

Moreirense
Moreirense Last matches
L D D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Moreirense

30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Moreirense

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  0
Moreirense

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  2
SC Braga

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
2 :  0
Moreirense
L L W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  2
SC Braga

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
3 :  2
Estrela Amadora

20 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  0
Estoril

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
SC Braga

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  1
Arouca
D L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
Moreirense

30 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Moreirense

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
4 :  0
Moreirense

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
2 :  0
Moreirense

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Moreirense

10 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  1
Moreirense
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Estoril

27 Aug 2026 - Europa League

AGF Aarhus
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

20 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
AGF Aarhus

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Estoril

20 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  1
AGF Aarhus

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Academico De Viseu FC

6 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
6 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
St. Gallen

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  1
CF OS Belenenses
W L D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal

Maritimo
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

27 Aug 2026 - Europa League

AGF Aarhus
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

17 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  7
Benfica Lisbon

13 Aug 2026 - Europa League

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

St. Gallen
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Moreirense

0 %

Draw

33 %

Benfica Lisbon

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
4 :  1
Moreirense

14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  4
Benfica Lisbon

8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  2
Moreirense

30 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

3 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups

Moreirense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
A. Ferreira
76
D. Pinto
66
G. Batista
26
Maracas
27
Kiko
23
N. John
65
G. Liberato
11
L. Costa Araujo
20
J. Veloso
7
M. Mendonca
9
A. Duville-Parsemain
14
V. Pavlidis
25
G. Prestianni
10
G. Sudakov
27
R. Silva
36
J. Palhinha
18
L. Barreiro
26
S. Dahl
2
C. Lenglet
44
T. Araujo
6
A. Bah
24
S. Soares

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Benfica Lisbon

Substitutes

Moreirense
Moreirense
Goalkeeper

Aranha

Defender

L. Santos

?. Martinez

K. Monteiro

Midfielder

R. Alonso Martin

M. Stjepanovic

J. Janderson da Silva Marques

Forward

F. Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso

Yan Maranhao

T. Andrade

A. Fernandes Lopes Vieira

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Goalkeeper

A. Trubin

Defender

A. Circati

J. Neto

Midfielder

M. Silva

A. Schjelderup

E. Barrenechea

F. Aursnes

Forward

G. Moreira

A. Cabral

J. Kaminski

D. Lukebakio

J. Duran

Missing players

Moreirense
Moreirense
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Defender

A. Bah

Midfielder

R. Rios

F. Ivanovic

Forward

J. Rego

J. Umeh

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Moreirense
CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
England N. John (1 Goals)
Portugal J. Veloso (1 Goals)
Portugal Kiko (1 Goals)
Portugal D. Pinto (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (5 Goals)
Best assists
A. Duville-Parsemain (1 Assists)
Portugal J. Veloso (1 Assists)
Best assists
Greece V. Pavlidis (2 Assists)

Moreirense and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal

Moreirense
Moreirense
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
25%
Wins
75%
50%
Losses
0%
25%
Draws
25%
3
Average goals per match
4.25
1
Goals scored per match
3.5
2
Goals conceded per match
0.75
25%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
25%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

Moreirense - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. Benfica have scored 12 goals in their last three league games.
  2. Benfica have won all three league games with a -1 goal handicap.
  3. Benfica beat Moreirense 4-1 and 4-0 last season.
  4. Moreirense has only scored four goals in four league games this season.
  5. Moreirense have lost four of their last five games.
  6. Moreirense have lost two of their last three league games, including a 4-0 defeat to Arouca.
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Our Moreirense vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Benfica followed up its rout of Casa Pia with two dominant wins, including its 3-0 victory over Maritimo. Now it heads to an Os Cónegos side that is winless in its last eleven head-to-head meetings against As Águias. 

Recent history points to another dominant rout for As Águias, who scored at least four goals in each of the last two encounters with Moreirense, who only had one reply. We expect another dominant rout, with the away team winning with a -1 goal handicap. Hence, our Moreirense vs Benfica match prediction is that Benfica wins with -1 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Benfica wins with -1 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.