Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Prediction
AS Monaco are in the driving sit against Bayer Leverkusen in their two-legged Europa League knockout round playoff tie and will like to keep it that way when the two teams meet in the return leg fixture on Thursday at the Stade Louis II. Monaco won the first leg, played in Leverkusen a week ago, 3-2 and now just have to avoid defeat by two or more clear goals to be assured of passage to the next round.
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A home win for this match is priced at 2.20 while the odds for a draw is 3.50. An away win comes in at 3.20.
Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Monaco and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2023 - Europa League
11 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2023 - Europa League
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
Monaco against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2023 - Europa League
7 Dec 2016 - Champions League
27 Sep 2016 - Champions League
Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen: Form Analysis
Monaco arrive for this match on the back of five straight wins across all competitions and are unbeaten in their last eight matches. In their rich vein of form, Philippe Clement’s men have been prolific in attack and have scored two or more goals seven times including putting seven goals past Ajaccio in mid-January. This form has allowed them to remain with an outside chance at the league title as they sit third, seven points behind leaders PSG. Les Rouge et Blanc finished tied on 10 points in Group H with Ferencvaros and had a superior goal difference but missed out on top spot due to the head-to-head record. The French side won three matches in their group with two coming at home. They have scored seven goals in their last two home matches in Europe and have conceded just two.
Bayer Leverkusen dropped to this tie after finishing third in their Champions League group and for them to remain active in Europe this season, then they have to win this match by at least two clear goals. After the first leg loss, Xabi Alonso’s men were unable to respond with a win in their next match and lost 3-2 at home to Mainz. Leverkusen have lost more matches (10) than they have won (8) in the Bundesliga and have fallen further away from next season’s European qualifying places. After winning their first two matches to start the year, Die Werkself have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions. They have been kept from scoring in two matches in that run and have conceded 10 goals. They have also struggled in Europe this season, winning just one of their last six matches and suffering defeat three times. Their away record in Europe also doesn’t inspire confidence coming to this do-or-die match with Monaco as they are without a win in their last three matches on the road with two losses.
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Monaco against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Monaco & Bayer Leverkusen Squad Analysis
Monaco have a long list of players out injured and who could miss Thursday’s match. Former Leverkusen striker Kevin Volland is out for this match with an ankle injury and will be missed having scored thrice in the Europa League this season. Monaco could also be without Gelson Martins and Rebuben Aguilar while Vanderson remains a long-term absentee.
Moussa Diaby scored in the first leg to level the scores at 1-1 making the goal his third in Europe this season but he could potentially miss this match with a groin injury. Midfielder Charles Aranguiz is also in the treatment room and so too is Andrey Lunyov. In the potential absence of Diaby, Leverkusen will rely on the strengths of midfielder Florian Wirtz to curve a path in France. The youngster has been directly involved in 12 goals in Europe and was on target in the first leg.
Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Monaco have won three of the last five matches with Leverkusen
- Leverkusen have lost four and won three of their last seven matches
- Monaco have won six of their last eight matches
- Monaco have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight matches
- Leverkusen have conceded six goals in their last two matches
- Leverkusen have not been able to come back in a European knockout tie after losing the first leg at home
- Monaco have won their previous 10 knockout ties in Europe after winning the first leg away from home
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Our Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Leverkusen need goals to win this tie but being without Diaby makes the task even harder. Their form away in Europe also doesn’t inspire confidence and they will be playing against a team in top form in recent outings. Our prediction for AS Monaco v Bayer Leverkusen is therefore a win for the home team.
Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Both teams to score
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