World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula in World Cup Predictions
Moldova have failed to win a game in the last two World Cup qualification campaigns. They risk failing a third straight time with two matches remaining. Read on for our prediction of this Moldova v Italy match.
With one point from six matches, Moldova are sitting bottom of Group I. They haven't won any of their last nine matches, losing seven times.
Moldova even failed to beat Estonia last time out, only playing to a 1-1 draw. That happens to be the only time they avoided defeat in the last eight matches.
They’ve also scored in each of the last three matches now. At home they lost all their last three matches.
Meanwhile, Italy started their qualification campaign on a poor note but have lately been impressive. They are on five straight wins, the most recent being a 3-0 thrashing of Israel.
That marked Gennaro Gattuso’s side’s fourth straight game scoring three or more goals. The Italians will wrap up this campaign at home against leaders Norway and will be crossing fingers for Norway to falter this week.
A playoff spot is guaranteed, but the former world champions will want more. In 2018 and 2022 Italy missed the World Cup finals, a matter Gattuso will be looking to address.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Moldova v Italy Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19 | 12 | 1.09 |
|
|
26 | 10 | 1.09 |
|
|
23 | 8.5 | 1.1 |
|
|
17 | 8 | 1.1 |
|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.09 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Italy?
Our prediction for the Moldova vs Italy match is: Italy to win & over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2025 between Moldova and Italy in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.45% for a win of Moldova against Italy with odds of 31 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Italy is 8.11% with odds of 12 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 71.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Moldova with odds of 1.13 at Bwin.
Moldova - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moldova Italy Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 71.43% | 1.13 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.85% | 1.35 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 3.4 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Italy/Italy | 44.44% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
Moldova vs Italy Form
Moldova and Italy's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
|
5
|
1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -24 |
Moldova and Italy Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Moldova vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
Moldova against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Moldova
Italy
S. Bodisteanu
(1 Goals)
,
M. Caimacov
(1 Goals)
,
I. Nicolaescu
(1 Goals)
M. Retegui
(5 Goals)
Moldova - Italy Key Points
- Italy are unbeaten in past meetings with Moldova.
- Three of Italy’s last five matches had over 3.5 goals.
- 23 goals were scored in Moldova’s last five matches.
- Italy scored 3+ goals in their last four matches.
- Italy have five straight wins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Moldova vs Italy Prediction
We don’t expect Moldova to get their first win of the qualifiers here. The bottom-placed side in the group has never beaten Italy before and has been one of the most porous defensively in the qualifiers.
Moldova meet Italy at a point where the former world champions have gained momentum, and this will be a tough match for them. Italy are not just winning but are scoring a lot too. Our prediction for Moldova v Italy is for Italy to win & over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moldova Italy
| Moldova vs Italy | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova wins | 34 | 19 | -44.1% |
| Draw | 11 | 12 | +9.1% |
| Italy wins | 1.04 | 1.09 | +4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Italy is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 96.2% and is now 91.7% (-4.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Moldova vs. Italy game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Moldova and Italy? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
