Moldova vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

World - World Cup

Moldova
25/03/2025 13:00
Estonia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals to be scored

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions

The bottom two in World Cup qualifying group I face each other on Tuesday. Moldova are home to Estonia and both are still looking to earn their first point in the group. Can the Blueshirts get an away win? Here's our match prediction.

Also in this group are Israel and Italy. Saturday did not go well for Moldova as they were beaten 5-0 at home by Norway. That was their tenth consecutive World Cup qualifying defeat. Just three points have come from their last 21 qualifiers and it's 12 years since their last victory.

The Tricolours have had some success in recent months. They won promotion in the Nations League finishing top of their group but against nations such as Andorra and Malta. Back to playing against higher-ranked countries, it's back to their usual struggles.

Estonia also lost their opening match, losing 2-1 in Israel. They did lead in that match but the home side equalized thanks to an Estonian own goal. Israel scored the winner in the second half, condemning Estonia to defeat.

They have gone four games without a win and excluding over time have gone 14 on the road without a victory. We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

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Moldova v Estonia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.96 3.15 4.3
1xbet
2.08 3.11 4.4
Melbet
1.98 3.14 4.34
Betwinner
1.98 3.14 4.34
Bet365
1.91 3.1 4.75

What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Estonia?

Our prediction for the Moldova vs Estonia match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Moldova and Estonia in World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 60.26% for a win of Moldova against Estonia with odds of 2.08 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Estonia is 20.07% with odds of 3.2 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Moldova with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

Moldova - Estonia Prediction and Best Odds:

Moldova Estonia Prediction Probability Odds
Moldova wins 60.26% 2.08 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 53.24% 1.98 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 73.81% 1.65 at Betway
Half-time / Full-time : Moldova/Moldova 26.86% 3.3 at Betsson

Moldova vs Estonia Form

Moldova and Estonia's standings in the World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Estonia
4 8 1 1 6 -13
5 Moldova
1 8 0 1 7 -27

Moldova and Estonia Last Matches

Moldova
Moldova Last matches
W W L W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  5
Norway

19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
1 :  1
Moldova

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Andorra
0 :  1
Moldova

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
1 :  0
Moldova

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
2 :  0
Andorra

10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
1 :  0
San Marino
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  5
Norway

10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
2 :  0
Andorra

10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
1 :  0
San Marino

7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
2 :  0
Malta

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
0 :  4
Ukraine

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
3 :  2
Cyprus
D L D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
1 :  1
Moldova

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Andorra
0 :  1
Moldova

13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Malta
1 :  0
Moldova

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Moldova

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

Czechia
3 :  0
Moldova

15 Oct 2023 - Euro

Poland
1 :  1
Moldova
Estonia
Estonia Last matches
L W L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Israel
2 :  1
Estonia

19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
1 :  0
Estonia

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
0 :  0
Estonia

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  3
Sweden

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia
D L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  3
Sweden

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
3 :  1
Azerbaijan

5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
0 :  1
Slovakia

8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
4 :  1
Faroe Islands

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  2
Austria

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Estonia
1 :  1
Thailand
L D L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Israel
2 :  1
Estonia

19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
1 :  0
Estonia

16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan
0 :  0
Estonia

8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
3 :  0
Estonia

11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Estonia

4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Switzerland
4 :  0
Estonia

Moldova against Estonia Lineups: Starting 11

Moldova

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
A. Cojuhar
13
M. Cojocaru
14
A. Craciun
4
V. Baboglo
2
O. Reabciuk
8
N. Mospan
22
V. Rata
17
V. Postolachi
11
M. Caimacov
8
S. Bodisteanu
9
I. Nicolaescu
15
R. Sappinen
23
V. Sinyavskiy
9
I. Yakovlev
11
M. Ainsalu
10
K. Palumets
3
M. Kait
2
M. Kuusk
3
M. Paskotsi
19
M. Schjonning-Larsen
6
R. Peetson
12
M. Igonen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Estonia

Substitutes

Moldova
Moldova
Goalkeeper

N. Cebotari

C. Avram

Defender

I. Revenco

D. Dumbravanu

S. Platica

N. Mospan 78'

V. Posmac

V. Mudrac

Midfielder

V. Stina

V. Postolachi 78'

T. Lungu

V. Bogaciuc

Forward

D. Puscas

A. Boiciuc

S. Bodisteanu 85'

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

Andre Karl Vallner

K. Hein

Defender

K. Hussar

J. Tamm

Midfielder

D. Jepihhin

M. Poom

R. Saarma

J. Saliste

R. Peetson 52'

M. Miller

I. Yakovlev 87'

Forward

P. Kristal

A. Tamm

R. Sappinen 66'

H. Anier

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Moldova
CD Huachipato Estonia
Top Goalscorer
Moldova I. Nicolaescu (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Estonia M. Kait (3 Goals)
Best assists
Moldova V. Postolachi (1 Assists)
Moldova D. Forov (1 Assists)
Best assists
Estonia I. Yakovlev (1 Assists)
Estonia M. Schjonning-Larsen (1 Assists)
Estonia K. Palumets (1 Assists)

Moldova - Estonia Key Points

  1. Five previous meetings between these two countries have seen only four goals scored.
  2. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in two of the last three Estonia internationals.
  3. Three of the last five Estonia away games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  4. Before the loss to Norway, Moldova's last six matches had all had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Moldova vs Estonia Prediction

This and the return fixture are the best chances these two countries will have of winning matches in this group. Only 28 places separate these two countries in the latest FIFA world rankings. Moldova were totally outgunned by Norway on Saturday, while Estonia lost in Israel.

Previous game between Moldova and Estonia have all been low-scoring affairs.That is again likely to be the case when they meet on Tuesday. Our Moldova v Estonia prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals to be scored

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moldova Estonia

Moldova vs Estonia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Moldova wins 2.27 2.08 -8.4%
Draw 3 3.2 +6.7%
Estonia wins 3.49 4.75 +36.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Moldova is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.1% and is now 48.1% (4.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Moldova vs Estonia Prediction