Molde vs Tromsoe IL Prediction & Betting Tips - Eliteserien

Norway - Eliteserien

Molde
16/08/2026 11:00
Tromsoe IL

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Molde, currently sitting fifth in the table, will look to move into the Europa League spot as they host third-placed Tromsø at the Aker Stadion on matchday 18 of the Eliteserien. The two teams have been firing on all cylinders lately, with the hosts scoring three or more goals in two of their last three matches, while Tromsø are averaging 2 goals per game away, hence our prediction for over 2.5 goals.

Molde are going through a poor run of form in the Eliteserien, having managed five points from a possible 15 in their last five games. This has left them one point behind fourth place and two points ahead of the three chasing sides.

In their recent match, MFK lost 2-1 against Kristiansund over the weekend. Sindre Tjelmeland's men racked up an impressive 3.21 xG and had ten shots on target with four clear-cut chances. 

Tromsø IL are enjoying a purple patch of form. The visitors' recent Eliteserien match ended in a commanding 6-2 away win to Aalesunds. 

The win extended their winning streak to three matches, with an incredible 14 goals scored across that run at an average of 4.66 goals per game.

After that result, Gutan turned their attention to the Europa Conference League qualifiers. They beat CFR Cluj 7-1 on aggregate in the third qualifying round, with the second leg played on Thursday resulting in a 2-1 home victory.

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Molde v Tromsoe IL Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.91 3.80 3.45
1xbet
1.93 3.95 3.57
Melbet
1.98 3.84 3.46
Betwinner
1.90 3.94 3.64
22bet
1.93 3.95 3.57

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What is the prediction for the football match between Molde and Tromsoe IL?

Our prediction for the Molde vs Tromsoe IL match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2026 between Molde and Tromsoe IL in Eliteserien :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.42% for a win of Molde against Tromsoe IL with odds of 1.98 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Molde vs Tromsoe IL is 16.85% with odds of 4 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Tromsoe IL vs Molde with odds of 3.7 at Bet365.

Molde - Tromsoe IL Prediction and Best Odds:

Molde Tromsoe IL Prediction Probability Odds
Molde wins 43.42% 1.98 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 71.71% 1.60 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 60.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Molde 15.27% 6.00 at Betsson

Molde vs Tromsoe IL Form

Molde and Tromsoe IL's standings in the Eliteserien

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Molde
40 23 12 4 7 +17
4 Tromsoe IL
40 23 11 7 5 +11

Molde and Tromsoe IL Last Matches

Molde
Molde Last matches
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Kristiansund BK
2 :  1
Molde

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  3
Sarpsborg 08

26 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo
2 :  4
Molde

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
1 :  2
SK Brann

11 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  2
Molde

5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rosenborg
2 :  1
Molde
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
3 :  3
Sarpsborg 08

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
1 :  2
SK Brann

28 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Molde
1 :  4
Bodoe/Glimt

21 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Molde
5 :  1
KFUM Oslo

30 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
2 :  1
Sandefjord

16 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Molde
1 :  0
Kristiansund BK
L L L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Kristiansund BK
2 :  1
Molde

26 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo
2 :  4
Molde

11 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  2
Molde

5 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rosenborg
2 :  1
Molde

25 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08
2 :  1
Molde

10 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
2 :  0
Molde
Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  1
Hradec Kralove

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  4
Tromsoe IL
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
2 :  1
CFR Cluj

23 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  1
Hradec Kralove

11 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
4 :  0
Vålerenga

25 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
1 :  1
Aalesund

10 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
2 :  0
Molde

29 Apr 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
0 :  5
SK Brann
L D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

CFR Cluj
0 :  5
Tromsoe IL

2 Aug 2026 - Eliteserien

Aalesund
2 :  6
Tromsoe IL

30 Jul 2026 - Europa League

Hradec Kralove
3 :  1
Tromsoe IL

18 Jul 2026 - Eliteserien

HamKam
1 :  4
Tromsoe IL

29 May 2026 - Eliteserien

KFUM Oslo
0 :  0
Tromsoe IL

16 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Bodoe/Glimt
5 :  0
Tromsoe IL

Molde vs Tromsoe IL Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Molde

60 %

Draw

0 %

Tromsoe IL

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
20%
BTTS
1.8
Goals scored
1.2
Goals conceded
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
2 :  0
Molde

24 Aug 2025 - Eliteserien

Molde
2 :  0
Tromsoe IL

5 Jul 2025 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
1 :  0
Molde

28 Sept 2024 - Eliteserien

Molde
5 :  3
Tromsoe IL

28 Jun 2024 - Eliteserien

Tromsoe IL
0 :  2
Molde
Molde vs Tromsoe IL Prediction

Molde against Tromsoe IL Lineups: Starting 11

Molde

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
A. Posiadala
25
M. Linnes
4
S. Hansen
33
B. Risa
8
M. Lovik
10
E. Breivik
30
D. Daga
5
E. Hestad
23
S. Granaas
21
O. Spiten Nysaeter
9
J. Abdullai
22
H. Larsen
10
T. Nyhammer
29
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
7
L. Larsen
11
R. Jenssen
5
D. Edvardsson
17
I. Dahlqvist
3
M. Tonnessen
21
L. Hien
30
I. Vadebu
1
J. Haugaard

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Tromsoe IL

Substitutes

Molde
Molde
Goalkeeper

P. Lervik

Defender

N. Bye

S. Kabini

M. Lovik 74'

E. Haugan

M. Linnes 90'

Midfielder

V. Bender Larsen

D. Daga 74'

M. Daehli

Forward

T. Kone-Doherty

J. Abdullai 75'

I. Gosik

C. Zady Sery

O. Spiten Nysaeter 90'

Tromsoe IL
Tromsoe IL
Goalkeeper

O. Lauvli

J. Haugaard 31'

Defender

M. Mikkelsen

C. Oyvann

L. Hien 85'

Midfielder

D. Braut

T. Nyhammer 85'

S. Havik Innvaer

I. Dahlqvist 70'

J. Grundt

Forward

I. Camoes

L. Larsen 46'

A. Elvebu

V. Ekblom

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Molde
CD Huachipato Tromsoe IL
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Breivik (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway H. Larsen (10 Goals)
Best assists
Norway E. Breivik (9 Assists)
Best assists
Norway R. Jenssen (6 Assists)

Molde - Tromsoe IL Key Points

  1. Molde have seen each of their last seven Eliteserien games produce over 2.5 goals.
  2. Tromsø IL have scored four or more goals in each of their last three league games.
  3. Ten of Molde's last 16 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Tromsø IL have scored ten goals in their last two away Eliteserien games.
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Our Molde vs Tromsoe IL Prediction

An entertaining affair is undoubtedly on the cards when these two sides clash this Sunday. With Tromsø IL being ruthless in the final third lately, scoring a whopping 14 goals across three league games, Molde have also found themselves in high-scoring matches, with their last seven producing over 2.5 goals.

It's also worth mentioning that seven of the last eight league meetings between these two teams have ended with at least three or more goals, a trend we expect here. Our Molde vs Tromsø IL prediction: over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Molde Tromsoe IL

Molde vs Tromsoe IL Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Molde wins 2.26 1.98 -12.4%
Draw 3.50 4.00 +14.3%
Tromsoe IL wins 2.90 3.70 +27.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Molde is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.2% and is now 50.5% (6.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.