Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
15/08/2026 10:00
Lincoln City

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions

We head to the Riverside Stadium on Saturday, where Middlesbrough will be playing host to Lincoln City in the EFL Championship. Boro had the second-best defensive home record last season, which sees us leaning toward a low-scoring outcome here as our match prediction. 

Middlesbrough finished fifth in the league standings last season. They reached the final of the Playoffs after Southampton were disqualified, but lost to Hull City 1-0 at Wembley. 

Boro failed to win any of their three pre-season matches, drawing two and losing one, but they kicked off the season on a positive note, beating Wrexham in the EFL Cup 1-0 last weekend. 

The hosts had the fifth-best home record in the Championship last season (W12 D6 L5) and conceded just 18 goals in 23 matches at this venue. 

Meanwhile, Lincoln City’s rise over the past few years has been incredible, and after winning League One last season, they are now set to return to the Championship for the first time in 65 years. 

The Imps played five matches in pre-season and recorded two wins and three defeats. However, they were impressive last week when they beat Derby 2-1 in the first round of the EFL Cup. 

The visitors went unbeaten in their final 14 away league games last season (W10 D4) and scored two or more goals in 12 matches during that period. 

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Middlesbrough v Lincoln City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.34 5.2 8.2
1xbet
1.33 4.95 8.8
Melbet
1.33 4.95 8.8
Betwinner
1.33 4.95 8.8
22bet
1.33 4.95 8.8
Check all Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Lincoln City?

Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City match is: under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between Middlesbrough and Lincoln City in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.47% for a win of Middlesbrough against Lincoln City with odds of 1.36 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City is 16.95% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Lincoln City vs Middlesbrough with odds of 9.65 at Betsson.

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City Form

Middlesbrough and Lincoln City Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
D L L D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Espanyol

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 May 2026 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

12 May 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

9 May 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Southampton
L W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Espanyol

9 May 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Southampton

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Watford

22 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Portsmouth
D D D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 May 2026 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

12 May 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 May 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

19 Apr 2026 - Championship

Ipswich Town
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  2
Middlesbrough
Lincoln City
Lincoln City Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnsley
3 :  0
Lincoln City

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Doncaster
0 :  1
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Grimsby Town
5 :  1
Lincoln City

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leyton Orient London
2 :  0
Lincoln City

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boston United FC
0 :  1
Lincoln City
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  3
Wycombe Wanderers

11 Apr 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
2 :  1
Leyton Orient London

3 Apr 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
1 :  0
AFC Wimbledon

21 Mar 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
3 :  0
Rotherham

14 Mar 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
3 :  1
Stockport County FC

28 Feb 2026 - League One

Lincoln City
4 :  0
Blackpool
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnsley
3 :  0
Lincoln City

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Doncaster
0 :  1
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Grimsby Town
5 :  1
Lincoln City

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leyton Orient London
2 :  0
Lincoln City

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boston United FC
0 :  1
Lincoln City
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City Prediction

Players list

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

S. Brynn

Defender

N. Borges

C. Brittain

L. Ayling

M. Arfsten

A. Malanda

Midfielder

S. Berhalter

L. Castledine

Forward

M. Whittaker

J. Sarmiento

W. Lankshear

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Goalkeeper

G. Wickens

Defender

T. Hamer

D. Elerewe

T. Darikwa

Midfielder

C. McGrandles

A. Reach

D. Jefferies

V. Oleksandrovych

Forward

B. House

F. Draper

R. Street

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

S. Dieng

Defender

J. Daley

G. Edmundson

J. Dede

Midfielder

L. McCabe

F. Cartwright

Forward

K. Joseph

C. Ibeh

Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Goalkeeper

J. Gauci

J. Pardington

Defender

C. Elder

J. Honohan

A. Coubis

Midfielder

R. Towler

Forward

I. Olaofe

R. Hackett-Fairchild

M. Melia

Middlesbrough - Lincoln City Key Points

  1. Six of Middlesbrough’s last nine competitive matches ended with under 3.5 goals.
  2. Middlesbrough averaged under one goal conceded per home league game last season.
  3. Seven of Lincoln’s last nine competitive matches ended with under 3.5 goals.
  4. Lincoln kept clean sheets in six of their last 10 away league games last season.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City Prediction

Lincoln have been one of the fairytale stories of English football over the past few years, and they will be carrying solid momentum into this match after their EFL Cup victory over the Rams last weekend. 

However, the Imps have a massive task at hand here, up against one of the meanest home defences in the league last season. Boro averaged under one goal conceded per home league game last term, and we feel that clear chances may be at a premium for the visitors in this match. Our Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City prediction is under 3.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.