Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Middlesbrough
01/03/2025 10:00
Derby County

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough will look to pile pressure on the relegation-threatened Derby as the sides meet in a Championship matchday 35 meeting on Saturday. This match at the Riverside Stadium between the 11th-placed Boro and the 23rd-placed Rams comes with our prediction of a home win.

Ahead of this round, Middlesbrough’s 47 points put them four points behind the playoff spots. Derby have 29 points to their credit and are still four points adrift of safety.

Middlesbrough won 3-1 away at Stoke last weekend, ending a run of five consecutive defeats. These results took them farther from the playoff race, but they can now hope to revive their push.

The hosts need to be careful of their form at Riverside Stadium in recent weeks, having lost two league games in a row here. Derby may struggle to make the most of those results, as they are beaten 1-0 at home by Millwall. That result extended their winless run to 11 matches in all competitions, losing nine and drawing two.

The Rams remain closer to the bottom of the points tally, as they struggle for goals. While they have been scoring consistently away from home, Derby’s record of five defeats and one draw suggests it could be a tricky visit this weekend.

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Middlesbrough vs Derby County Form

Middlesbrough and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Middlesbrough
64 46 18 10 18 +8
19 Derby County
50 46 13 11 22 -8

Middlesbrough and Derby County Last Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

21 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

3 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  3
Sunderland

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Middlesbrough
D D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

3 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  3
Sunderland

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
West Brom

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Blackburn

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Cardiff

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

21 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Middlesbrough
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
0% BTTS
0 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  2
Watford

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Leeds
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Derby County

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Derby County

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
4 :  2
Derby County

Middlesbrough vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Middlesbrough

0 %

Draw

67 %

Derby County

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

1 Jan 2019 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

27 Oct 2018 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  1
Derby County

Middlesbrough against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11

Middlesbrough

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

32
M. Travers
15
A. Dijksteel
12
L. Ayling
6
D. Fry
30
N. Borges
18
A. Morris
7
H. Hackney
21
M. Forss
11
M. Whittaker
20
F. Azaz
22
T. Conway
10
J. Yates
19
K. Jackson
18
M. Harness
7
T. Barkhuizen
28
H. Armstrong
32
E. Adams
20
C. Elder
3
C. Forsyth
6
S. Langas
24
R. Nyambe
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Derby County

Substitutes

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

T. Glover

Defender

J. Dede

Midfielder

J. Howson

D. Barlaser

R. Giles

L. Ayling 62'

L. McCabe

Forward

D. Burgzorg

F. Azaz 83'

S. Iling-Junior

T. Conway 84'

K. Iheanacho

M. Forss 72'

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Vickers

Defender

N. Phillips

J. Rooney

Midfielder

K. Goudmijn

M. Harness 76'

L. Thompson

T. Barkhuizen 65'

K. Roofe

K. Jackson 83'

B. Osborn

H. Armstrong 76'

Forward

L. Salvesen

J. Yates 76'

C. Agbawodikeizu

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Scotland T. Conway (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (10 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland F. Azaz (11 Assists)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists) , 
England J. Yates (4 Assists) , 
Scotland C. Forsyth (4 Assists)

Middlesbrough - Derby County Key Points

  1. Derby lost ten of their last 12 competitive matches, drawing the other two.
  2. Away from home, Derby failed to win any of their last ten competitive trips, losing seven.
  3. Derby lost five of their last six away league matches.
  4. Middlesbrough scored in six of their last eight home league matches.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction

Only Luton have scored fewer goals than Derby this season in the Championship, and the Rams are feeling the pressure of relegation trouble. While there is still a lot of time left in the campaign, Derby need to find a way past its scoring troubles to have hopes of beating the drop. Middlesbrough lost their two recent home games but have otherwise been a difficult side at this venue. They will be desperate to continue winning, and our Middlesbrough vs Derby County prediction is Middlesbrough wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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Middlesbrough vs Derby County Prediction