Metz vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
A poor run has seen Metz drop to the bottom of the league once again, and next they have a match against PSG. These two sides are on the extreme ends in the league standings, with PSG entering the weekend in second place. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Between October and November, Metz went on a powerful run and looked destined to leave the bottom three. However, after beating Nantes, Lens, and Nice, they returned to losing ways, and it has been so since.
To this match, they carry a three-match winless streak, losing all three and conceding six goals. They are winless in the last 15 matches against PSG, and there is only one way this one is headed.
PSG last failed to win in this matchup in 2007. They are coming into this match having lost to Metz just once in the last 17 matches. Les Parisiens are coming from a goalless draw with Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League.
That marked only the second time in the season that they failed to score, the first being in the Ligue 1 defeat to Marseille. Meanwhile, the French giants are on two straight clean sheets, something that doesn’t happen often.
The visitors have lacked their normal mojo in recent matches, but their record against Metz should stand.
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Metz v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 6.8 | 1.27 |
|
|
9.4 | 6.45 | 1.26 |
|
|
9.4 | 6.45 | 1.26 |
|
|
9 | 6.5 | 1.27 |
|
|
9.4 | 6.2 | 1.26 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and PSG?
Our prediction for the Metz vs PSG match is: PSG win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2025 between Metz and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.44% for a win of Metz against PSG with odds of 12 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs PSG is 22.85% with odds of 7 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.7% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Metz with odds of 1.28 at Tonybet.
Metz - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 58.7% | 1.28 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.27% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 27.92% | 1.78 at LSbet |
Metz vs PSG Form
Metz and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Metz vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
21 May 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2020 - Ligue 1
Metz against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
O. Ba
DefenderB. Stambouli
S. Sane
I. Sane
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
A. Toure
B. Madjo
M. Bokele
C. Sabaly
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderN. Mendes
Beraldo
J. Neves
ForwardB. Barcola
D. Doue
K. Kvaratskhelia
Missing players
P. Sy
MidfielderU. Mboula
Marquinhos
A. Hakimi
ForwardO. Dembele
Most goals and assists
Metz
PSG
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
Metz - PSG Key Points
- PSG have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches.
- Metz failed to score in four of their seven home matches.
- PSG posted wins in six of their last 10 matches.
- Metz are on three straight defeats.
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Our Metz vs PSG Prediction
This match comes at the worst possible time for Metz. They have lost their earlier momentum, and three straight defeats have landed them back at the bottom of the standings. They are definitely low in confidence and meet PSG when the champions are coming off a 5-0 win in their last league outing.
This doesn’t look like it will end well for the hosts, who have a lengthy winless run against the champions. Our prediction for Metz v PSG is: PSG win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz PSG
| Metz vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 12 | 12 | 0% |
| Draw | 6.4 | 7 | +9.4% |
| PSG wins | 1.23 | 1.28 | +4.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 81.3% and is now 78.1% (-3.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
