Metz vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz haven’t enjoyed their return to Ligue 1 as much as Paris FC ahead of the two sides’ Sunday meeting. Going into this match, Metz are stuck at the bottom while Paris just opened up an 11-point buffer from the relegation zone. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
It increasingly looks like Metz will not survive another season in Ligue 1. After their latest 3-1 defeat to Marseille, Les Grenats have fallen 13 points below safety.
After 20 defeats in the season, Metz are left with just 15 points from their 29 matches. Their three wins were consecutive, between October and November, and since then they’ve gone winless in 17 league matches.
Paris FC, who beat Metz to the automatic promotion in Ligue 2, will definitely finish above their hosts again. Otherwise, at the moment, they still need five points to guarantee survival.
Les Parisiens moved closer to that target with a well-worked 4-1 win against in-form Monaco in the last round. The result extended their undefeated run in Ligue 1 to seven games, four of which were drawn.
They are, however, winless in their last six away matches across all competitions. Each of their latest five league games on the road ended in draws.
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Metz v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.15 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.48 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.48 | 2.22 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.45 | 2.24 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Paris FC match is: Paris FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Metz and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.94% for a win of Metz against Paris FC with odds of 3.29 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Paris FC is 44.16% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Metz with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
Metz - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.16% | 3.62 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 60.16% | 2.07 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.71% | 6 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Paris FC Form
Metz and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Paris FC Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
Metz vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 2
14 Sept 2024 - Ligue 2
29 Apr 2023 - Ligue 2
12 Nov 2022 - Ligue 2
22 Feb 2019 - Ligue 2
Metz against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Fischer
DefenderM. Diop
B. Stambouli
B. Sarr
J. Pandore
A. Toure
ForwardL. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
K. Trapp
DefenderM. Mbow
N. Sangui
M. Munetsi
A. Camara
M. Cafaro
J. Ikone
V. Marchetti
W. Geubbels
Missing players
M. Colin
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
B. Traore
I. Guerti
R. Riou
DefenderS. Alakouch
MidfielderP. Lees-Melou
ForwardM. Simon
P. Hamel
J. Krasso
Most goals and assists
Metz
Paris FC
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(9 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
,
M. Lopez
(4 Assists)
Metz - Paris FC Key Points
- Metz lost three of their last four home league games.
- Paris FC are coming off their third win in six matches.
- In all competitions, Metz are winless in nine away games.
- Paris FC are unbeaten in their last six away league games.
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Our Metz vs Paris FC Prediction
These two sides were promoted together, but Paris FC have had a much better season in the topflight. The visitors come here with some good momentum to lift them against a Metz side who have been struggling all season.
Paris won the reverse fixture and will be seeking a first league double over Metz. A lot point to that possibility, especially as Metz have lost six times in eight home games in Ligue 1. Our prediction for Metz v Paris FC is that Paris FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Paris FC
| Metz vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.51 | 3.29 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.62 | +3.1% |
| Paris FC wins | 2.25 | 2.3 | +2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.5% and is now 27.6% (-0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
