Metz vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
One of the key matches in the French Ligue 1 this weekend will see the bottom two face off. Metz will be hosting the side immediately above them, Nantes. This match will not alter their positioning but remains crucial in the survival picture. Below is our prediction.
Before shutting down temporarily for the international break, Metz put a halt to their losing run. They drew 0-0 with Rennes but will still be concerned at yet another failure to score, and the result has them 13 points away from safety.
The Maroons have only managed five clean sheets this season in the league and conceded a league-high 60 goals.
Nantes aren’t coming here in much better shape either. They are only three points ahead of Metz and 10 adrift of safety. Les Canaris took the lead twice against Strasbourg last time out but squandered the same in a 3-2 defeat.
They will be reflecting on that as they return to action stained by 17 defeats from the opening 26 matches. Only the side they are facing has lost more.
Nantes’ defeat in their last game was a third straight, and they failed to score in the earlier two. They lost 2-0 to Metz in the reverse fixture.
Two wins in their last 10 away matches is hardly a run to inspire a team battling relegation.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Nantes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.35 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.26 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.96 | 3.24 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.2 | 2.46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Nantes?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Nantes match is: BTTS-No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between Metz and Nantes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.85% for a win of Metz against Nantes with odds of 3.05 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Nantes is 14.52% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Metz with odds of 2.6 at Stake.
Metz - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Nantes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 49.64% | 2.6 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 2.11 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Nantes/Nantes | 21.35% | 4 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Nantes Form
Metz and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Nantes Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
27 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
Metz against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
J. Fischer
DefenderT. Yegbe
M. Diop
F. Ballo-Toure
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
B. Munongo
N. Mbala
L. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
P. Carlgren
DefenderA. Almusrati
K. Amian
D. Machado
I. Sissoko
B. Guirassy
R. Cabella
ForwardM. Mohamed
Y. El Arabi
Missing players
B. Stambouli
C. Melieres
MidfielderB. Traore
A. Toure
I. Guerti
ForwardJ. Mangondo
D. Assoumani
B. Deuff
Most goals and assists
Metz
Nantes
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
Metz - Nantes Key Points
- Both these sides scored in just one of their last five meetings.
- Only one of Metz’s last five matches had both teams score.
- Nantes failed to score in two of their last three matches.
- Metz have failed to score in 12 of their league games.
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Our Metz vs Nantes Prediction
Metz have scored three goals in their last five matches; all of them came in one game. Their visitors, Nantes, have also struggled in attack and come here having failed to score in two of their last three matches.
These scoring runs are reflected in the league standings, as both teams have netted under a goal in their league games. Their head-to-head numbers rarely hit over 2.5 goals, and both sides scored in just one of the last five meetings. In that regard, our prediction for Metz v Nantes is BTTS-No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Nantes
| Metz vs Nantes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 2.69 | 3.05 | +13.4% |
| Draw | 3.43 | 3.4 | -0.9% |
| Nantes wins | 2.85 | 2.6 | -8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nantes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 38.5% (3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
