Metz vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz welcome Lorient this weekend as the French Ligue 1 enters matchday 32. They arrive for this match placed bottom, while Lorient are in ninth. In the goals market, our prediction here backs a high-scoring game.
Metz have already been relegated. They are the only team among the three promoted that will be returning to the second tier.
Les Grenats have found the going extremely tough on their return to the topflight, and so far have managed only three wins. Metz, who have lost a league-leading 22 matches, will finish the season rock bottom in the standings.
With 16 points, they are seven behind the team above them with two rounds to go. Yet to win a match in 2026, Metz were defeated 2-1 last weekend at home by Monaco.
Lorient were promoted alongside Metz and have had a much better run in their return to the top. Les Merlus have racked up 42 points and, at the moment, have the best record of the promoted sides.
They have won 10 games and drawn another 12. Olivier Pantaloni’s men have been in poor form lately. They have won just two of their last nine outings but are coming off an excellent outing in the capital.
Lorient fought through a 2-2 draw with league leaders PSG last weekend.
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Metz v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.58 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.56 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Lorient match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Metz and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.61% for a win of Metz against Lorient with odds of 3.25 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Lorient is 36.24% with odds of 3.75 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Metz with odds of 2.28 at 888Starz.
Metz - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 39.15% | 2.28 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.01% | 2.22 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient | 24.28% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Metz vs Lorient Form
Metz and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Lorient Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 2
21 Sept 2024 - Ligue 2
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
Metz against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Fischer
DefenderB. Stambouli
M. Colin
F. Ballo-Toure
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
A. Toure
B. Munongo
U. Mboula
ForwardH. Diallo
B. Kamara
DefenderI. Silva
I. Toure
I. Monnier
MidfielderA. Ebong
P. Pagis
B. Mohamed
S. Soumano
B. Dieng
Missing players
O. Ba
DefenderC. Melieres
T. Le Bris
Most goals and assists
Metz
Lorient
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Metz - Lorient Key Points
- Metz have scored in four consecutive outings.
- Metz have conceded 72 league goals so far this season.
- Lorient have scored two or more goals in three consecutive games.
- Only one of Lorient’s last 11 matches has seen them fail to concede.
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Our Metz vs Lorient Prediction
Our prediction for Metz v Lorient is for more than 2.5 goals. Metz have been the weakest team in Ligue 1 this season, and this has led to their relegation. They have struggled on both ends of the pitch, but it is in defence where they have labored the most.
Metz have conceded a league-leading 72 goals, which is an average of more than two a game. Lorient, on the other hand, have fared much better this season. They are an above-average attacking team, and there is a strong chance they will be able to score more than once here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Lorient
| Metz vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.03 | 3.25 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.75 | +2.5% |
| Lorient wins | 2.43 | 2.28 | -6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.2% and is now 43.9% (2.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Metz vs. Lorient game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
